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Florida Early Vote Final Update, 11/08/2016
11/08/2016 | self

Posted on 11/08/2016 4:50:41 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas

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To: KavMan

but heard white vote is also way up.


21 posted on 11/08/2016 5:10:28 AM PST by scbison
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To: scbison

Hispanic vote was up 453K votes
AA up 70K
White up 900K.

using polling data that would translate into a net plus of 56K for Trump


22 posted on 11/08/2016 5:13:30 AM PST by rocklobster11
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To: KavMan

WTF do Republicans do about anything we want?


23 posted on 11/08/2016 5:13:44 AM PST by polymuser (Enough is enough!)
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To: KavMan

That doesn’t calculate to automatic votes for the old hag.....my entire family voted Trump.


24 posted on 11/08/2016 5:13:50 AM PST by rrrod (just an old guy with a gun in his pocket.l)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Thanks for the updates!


25 posted on 11/08/2016 5:14:03 AM PST by ballplayer (hvexx NKK c bmytit II iyijjhihhiyyiyiyi it iyiiy II i hi jiihi ty yhiiyihiijhijjyjiyjiiijyuiiijihyii)
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To: lodi90

Don’t forget the Venezuelans that are there too. They won’t be voting for Hillary.


26 posted on 11/08/2016 5:14:03 AM PST by ssfromla
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I guess I should be feeling better? =) ---> Bill Mitchell ‏@mitchellvii 21m21 minutes ago Two polls, YouGov and ABC, both predict big election day wins for Trump in FL, 16 and 10%.
27 posted on 11/08/2016 5:16:50 AM PST by KavMan
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To: scbison

Also heard the increase in the white vote (votes not percentages) dwarfs the increase in the Hispanic vote.


28 posted on 11/08/2016 5:17:02 AM PST by CaptainK (...please make it stop. Shake a can of pennies at it.)
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To: SpeedyInTexas
“first Tuesday after the first Monday in November.”

is a tautology.

29 posted on 11/08/2016 5:17:25 AM PST by gasport (Live and Let Live)
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To: KavMan
Should we be worried about FL?

I keep hearing from FOX that 200,000 more Hispanics have voted than in 2012!!!

What the media fails to mention is that in Florida "Hispanic" often means Cuban, and Cuban's tend to vote Republican. Cuban's don't really consider themselves Hispanic even though demographers lump them in with Hispanics and most couldn't care less what Trump says about Mexicans or if he's going to build a wall on the Mexican border, because they aren't very fond of central American Hispanics themselves.

30 posted on 11/08/2016 5:18:12 AM PST by apillar
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To: KavMan

Hispanics like me... my wife... her family.

Who all voted for Trump.


31 posted on 11/08/2016 5:19:37 AM PST by rwilson99 (How exactly would John 3:16 not apply to Mary?)
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To: rocklobster11

Excellent! (at least that’s how it looks to me)

On a 1-10 scale, how good are those numbers?


32 posted on 11/08/2016 5:21:10 AM PST by Ken H (Best election ever!)
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To: KavMan

The percentage of Hispanics voting is up. But more whites are voting in absolute terms. Just a smaller percentage increase.

AA vote will be down.

Trump will take 30-35% of the Hispanic vote (primarily Cubans).

Yes we should be worried about FL, but I’m giving Florida to Trump by 2.5% - mainly based on a projected win of the Indys.


33 posted on 11/08/2016 5:22:39 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
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To: scbison
but heard white vote is also way up.

Yes, and that's the bigger story. Notice how almost no one is talking about it.
34 posted on 11/08/2016 5:23:42 AM PST by JamesP81
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To: wright2bear

Correct. While a smaller percentage increase, absolute numbers are way bigger than Hispanic increase.


35 posted on 11/08/2016 5:23:45 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
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To: SpeedyInTexas
Speedy,

I haven't posted a lot on your threads, but I appreciate them.

Thanks for all your hard work!

And, speaking of Florida:


36 posted on 11/08/2016 5:25:14 AM PST by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: rocklobster11

“Hispanic vote was up 453K votes
AA up 70K
White up 900K.”

Yep, those are the correct numbers.

As to the AA up numbers, absolute number up (more people in the state), but as a percentage of the vote, AA is down.


37 posted on 11/08/2016 5:26:16 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
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To: KavMan
Yeah. There were Twitter posts on Nov.1 of long lines of cars in Hispanic districts going to vote early, covered with Trump signs.

And don't forget there are, what, 100,000 Haitians living in Florida.

They don't like the Clinton Foundation one bit, Precious.

38 posted on 11/08/2016 5:26:43 AM PST by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: KavMan
Trafalgar just published a poll conducted in FL on 11/6 which puts Trump +3.6

I'm feeling confident about FL, and any shenanigans in Broward County will be fiercely litigated, IMHO.

Judging by all the momentum Trump is showing in traditional Democratic strongholds (e.g. MI, MN, PA) and battleground states (FL, NC, OH, NH), it sure feels like a Trump victory, and possibly a landslide.

I just feel like once faced with the security and privacy of the voting booth, each American individual will vote his/her conscience, and thus a substantial "hidden vote" will manifest for Donald Trump, ensuring his victory.

On my electoral map, I've got Trump at 264, taking what's expected plus FL, NC, OH, NH, and 1 EV from ME.

Thus, if Trump can just pick off one of: NV (latest poll has Trump +4.6), CO, NM, MN, WI, MI (latest poll has Trump +1.7), PA (latest poll has Trump +1.92), or VA, he wins. And if there's any hidden vote at all for Trump, or his crowds mean anything, or enthusiasm means anything, he should be able to manage that.

A lot of these late polls are from Trafalgar, which seems like a legit outfit trying to establish itself. If anyone has good late polls from CO, NM, MN, WI, or VA, please supplement my info.

The Revolution is ON!

Vote Trump!

39 posted on 11/08/2016 5:26:56 AM PST by sargon (The Revolution is ON! Vote Trump!)
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To: Ken H

The numbers look good. In most polls Trump gets 30+% of hispanic vote.

However, I’ve read that there are a lot of new Puerto Rican hispanics in FL and they tend to vote similar to AA (90% D). So I’m not sure how much that offsets the Cuban vote which is typically more R.


40 posted on 11/08/2016 5:27:43 AM PST by rocklobster11
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