Why a Trump Landslide of Reagan Proportions is coming -vanity

November 7, 2016 | self

[Future Useless Eater]

Real Clear Politics, (RCP) aggregates only the polls its Chicago-based HQ prefers, and as a result it still calls Florida BLUE!
They briefly had Florida RED, until N.C. had to be put in Trump's column. If they also allowed Florida to stay RED,
that would predict Trump's 270 electoral votes and the win, which is something Podesta's 'Rats are desperate to NOT allow before the election.



Everyone realizes Trump should win his own 2nd-home state.
But rigged pollsters tricked Trump in May with phoney Florida polls, which by his own admission caused him to lose Ohio.
And phoney pollsters are trying this again with more rediculous Florida data....

But in reality..

Florida's preference for Trump also surpasses several states that RCP already painted RED...

And Florida's preference for Trump is comparable to these un-disputed states...

There are ALSO these...

The bottom line is that to those of us who study details carefully, this should be a TRUMP LANDSLIDE.
If it is not, then heavy "rigging" has certainly occurred....

Methodology: These charts are my interpetation of data from ISideWith.com, with the following assumptions and adjustments:      
      - Everyone who told ISW their #1 most preferred candidate is Trump or Clinton is assumed to be a likely voter.
      - Trump + Clinton combined shall garner a presumed 90% of all votes cast, so their data is re-weighted to 90%, with 10% presumed for "other".
      - Numerical numbers  in the top right of each chart include a small amount of momentum adjustment since ISW uses 30-day averages.
Notes: ISW does admit it samples slightly more R than D, and I can't tell if they sample an appropriate ratio of Males vs Females,       
        so on most ISW data, I presume their data to be roughly 5% "off" in the GOP's direction.
       ISW data currently consists of 33.4% Democrats / 36.0% Republicans / 30.6 Independents.
       LA Times uses Dem+6 points, plus they over-samples Females by 11 points.
       The actual Nationwide sentiment on Trump vs Clinton may be somewhere between the two polling methods (ISW vs LA Times)
       These charts are intended for educational, and comparison purposes. 
       If you don't agree with this data you can apply for a refund of how much you paid to read this.
       IsideWith daily internet polling data came from here:   https://www.isidewith.com/poll/801555698
FutureUselessEater
FUE

[Future Useless Eater]

So in summary...

1) STOP worrying,

2) VOTE, and get everyone you know to vote,

3) Be VERY vigilant for voter fraud and vote-counting fraud.

4) Celebrate President-elect Trump

5) Help him DRAIN THE SWAMP

[Repeal 16-17]

May everything you said come to pass.

[encm(ss)]

I hope that you’re correct.

[Future Useless Eater]

battleground state data here

[Bobalu]

This is a good post, Future Useless Eater!

Preach on :-)

[Viennacon]

Comey switcheroo seems to be a little late. Most recent polls are good for Trump. Silver puts Florida in Trump’s hands. Ohio, Iowa and North Carolina trending heavily for Trump.

If he gets these states, he’s at 259. Here you have the actual blue wall, but its turning into blue swiss cheese.

If he wins Michigan, he doesnt need a single other state, not even the Maine 2nd. I say Trump’s easiest path right now is

IA
NC
OH
FL
MI

Anything beyond this is bonus. Trump should HAMMER these states in the last hours

[GLDNGUN]

I'll be doing cartwheels and flips if Trump wins by a single electoral vote, but I, too, see the distinct possibility of a Trump landslide (300+ EVs). Of course, most pollsters are going to err on the side of favoring the Democrats, especially those run by major media conglomerates. They are going to give Clinton the benefit of the doubt and assume that she will do as well as Obama, including with black voters. They are also not going to give Trump any benefit of the doubt. Frankly, they just don't know what to do with Trump. Normally, they would be able to plug in their normal biases and be pretty accurate, but Trump is anything but a normal politician. Trying to plug Trump into their normal biases as a normal GOP candidate is trying to ram a round peg into a square hole.

Hillary should do worse, much worse than Obama did in 2012, and he was down from 2008. Blacks will obviously not turn for her like they did for him.

Meanwhile, Trump is on the verge of doing the unthinkable...holding the GOP votes, while at the same time getting more independents and more democrats to vote for him than any recent GOP candidate, while also getting people out to vote for him who haven't voted in decades or perhaps never at all.

The pollsters have no idea of how to measure that or bake that into their cake. That is where the "hidden" Trump vote will come from.

[Voluntaryist]

Excellent write up!!!

I’ve seen them do this several times with other states. I specifically remember them doing the same thing with Florida (making it blue) immediately after Colorado was polling red a few weeks ago.

[knighthawk]

I live in the Netherlands and there they went to Florida to see who was voting for Trump. They filmed some village were retired people live, big villa’s. There everyone was voting Trump and showing it driving around with golf-carts with like 5 Trump-Pence signs glued to the cart. Hope they can tip the balance enough!

[fortheDeclaration]

Trump is going to win FL. and the election.

[hoosiermama]

“POLLS ARE FOR STRIPPERS!” Sarah Palin

[SaveFerris]

me too!

[Doogle]

Saved for future.....reference

[RC one]

I don’t know about landslide but he definitely has a path to victory. There are a couple paths to a tie as well.

[EliRoom8]

Great job!!! Kudos!!!!

[Theophilus]

“rediculous”? Punny?

[Netz]

We’re way too overconfident...”landslide”?? Hoping but probably not, maybe close call but Trump wins...praying.

[Biggirl]

Thank-you and God Bless!

No more Debbie Downers!

Get out there and VOTE FOR MR. TRUMP!

[Daniel Ramsey]

I need to go out today and get myself some decent champagne for tuesday night.

[Future Useless Eater]

Tweaking a couple coloring mistakes...