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Latest Upshot Poll Shows Trump With a Lead in Florida (T 46%, H 42%)
nytimes.com ^ | OCT. 30, 2016

Posted on 10/30/2016 5:30:59 AM PDT by Helicondelta

Donald J. Trump has slowly but surely improved his standing in state and national polls since the final presidential debate.

A New York Times Upshot/Siena poll released Sunday is consistent with that trend: It gives Mr. Trump a four-point lead in Florida, 46 percent to 42 percent, in a four-way race. In our first poll of Florida a month ago, Mr. Trump trailed Hillary Clinton by a percentage point.

...

But the poll is not the only one to show Mr. Trump in the lead. A Bloomberg/Selzer poll, which is methodologically similar to the New York Times Upshot/Siena poll, showed Mr. Trump with a two-point edge last week.

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: election2016; fl; florida
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1 posted on 10/30/2016 5:30:59 AM PDT by Helicondelta
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To: Helicondelta

Later


2 posted on 10/30/2016 5:34:17 AM PDT by preacher
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To: preacher

I can not believe it’s that close......who would vote for Hill now.....VOTE TRUMP......early and often.


3 posted on 10/30/2016 5:35:27 AM PDT by mastertex
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To: Helicondelta
Romney lost FL while Trump is +4....good sign.Very good sign.
4 posted on 10/30/2016 5:35:56 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Deplorables' Lives Matter)
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To: Helicondelta

5 posted on 10/30/2016 5:36:21 AM PDT by Travis McGee (EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com)
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To: Helicondelta
Wow... the NYT is showing a poll with Trump by 4!?

Will Fox news ever say ..."Polls now have Trump ahead"

6 posted on 10/30/2016 5:36:50 AM PDT by BRL
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To: Helicondelta; LS; SpeedyInTexas

Boom! All the early vote/vote-by-mail we have been tracking has shown this. Hat tip to speedyintexas.

Dont need a poll. Follow the data.


7 posted on 10/30/2016 5:38:24 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: mastertex

“The poll was taken before the F.B.I. director, James Comey, informed Congress that the bureau had obtained additional information of potential relevance to an investigation into Mrs. Clinton’s emails. National polls ahead of Mr. Comey’s letter showed Mrs. Clinton with a six-point lead, an edge that was somewhat smaller than it was earlier in the month.”


8 posted on 10/30/2016 5:38:57 AM PDT by OCMike
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To: Helicondelta

I suspect all polls are adjusting as not to be so skewed against Trump. All along he was winning and they tried to discourage everyone into thinking he was losing. They know this will be a Huge victory for him. They are only saving face now!


9 posted on 10/30/2016 5:39:23 AM PDT by Keen-Minded
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To: RoseofTexas; SoFloFreeper; TakebackGOP

Beware. Good news ahead


10 posted on 10/30/2016 5:42:10 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: BRL

And if RCP posts this poll, Florida flips to Trump.

Right now the RCP Florida average is witch +.04


11 posted on 10/30/2016 5:52:58 AM PDT by Conserv
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To: Helicondelta

If Trump wins FL and OH by +3 or more then a lot of other key states will follow suit.


12 posted on 10/30/2016 6:07:03 AM PDT by BlueStateRightist (Government is best which governs least.)
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To: Ravi; LS

Ravi: Loving it!

LS: Does 4 points sound familiar!


13 posted on 10/30/2016 6:07:07 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
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To: Ravi

You mean the concern troll freakout crew?

Lol!


14 posted on 10/30/2016 6:10:22 AM PDT by VanDeKoik
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To: Conserv
Do not believe those damn “polls”. Believe your own eyes. Where are the enthusiastic crowds exceeding in number the crowds that Donald Trump draws? If she was leading, she would be drawing larger crowds than Donald. Her face would be on every news cast in the Nation, morning, noon, and night. Where are the Hillary Clinton yard signs and bumper stickers? If she was ahead, her yard signs, her bumper stickers would vastly exceed those of Donald. Unless you happen to be a Hillary supporter, and you could well be. Please refrain from posting these bullshit "polls". If you are a Hillary supporter, continue to do so. These bogus "polls" serve no useful purpose for Donald. Their one and only purpose is to allow the mainstream media, the Democrat Party, the Never Trump or the Anybody But Trump Republicans to steal the election for Hillary.They will do this by manufacturing enough votes to allow Hillary to win by the margins the bullshit "polls" indicated.
15 posted on 10/30/2016 6:11:44 AM PDT by sport
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To: VanDeKoik

Yep waiting to hear from them.


16 posted on 10/30/2016 6:15:20 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: Helicondelta

We have good reasons to suspect bias in this poll. If it’s showing a 4 point lead, possibly Trump is ahead by 8 points.

Romney and Obama were virtually tied in Florida, with Obama winning on penalty kicks, back in 2012. That’s when Obama won nationwide by 4 points. The nationwide tracking polls show this race to be close, so we should have the edge in Florida.

Party registration and early voting are both positive for us.

Crowds indicate our side has the enthusiasm, but the other side has the money and is literally busing people to the polls who would otherwise stay home. With their advantage in money, they are filling the air with paid advertising. They have ... no they ARE the MSM, and spin the narrative.

The only thing Donald Trump has, in addition to his own resources, is the people. Please figure out how you can yourself help him win. Vote early, if you can, and then try to get a family member or a neighbor to vote. Make phone calls, provide a ride or help with babysitting. Be a greeter at the polls. Or join the Trump USO and bring coffee and sandwiches to the greeters.


17 posted on 10/30/2016 6:15:42 AM PDT by Redmen4ever
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To: Helicondelta

The polls that show Hillary ahead do not make sense. There is too much of a discrepancy between the polls and the campaign. Hillary rarely makes campaign appearances herself, instead sending surrogates to campaign on her behalf. And the rallies always have small turnout, which the MSM tries to hide by using close-angle shots to show only the people standing near Hillary.

If people can’t be bothered to go to her rallies, then why would they bother to vote for her?


18 posted on 10/30/2016 6:21:31 AM PDT by exDemMom (Current visual of the hole the US continues to dig itself into: http://www.usdebtclock.org/)
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To: Helicondelta

Nate Silver still refuses to change Florida from light blue to pink. The denial is deep with this one


19 posted on 10/30/2016 6:45:14 AM PDT by thefixisin
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To: Redmen4ever

My skeptical husband said last night that it was feeling like the 1980 election all over again. He doesn’t often say things like that.


20 posted on 10/30/2016 7:25:26 AM PDT by miss marmelstein (Richard the Third: With my own people alone I should like to drive away the Muslims)
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