Posted on 10/19/2016 11:12:18 AM PDT by crazycat
William Hill claims 65 per cent of all the bets it has taken on the race have been for the Donald to win, despite him being the overwhelming underdog.
The bookmaker said a similar pattern was at play in the lead up to Britain's Brexit vote, which was shockingly won by the 'Leave' side.
'It was the case that consistently throughout the EU Referendum campaign, some two thirds of the money gambled was for "Remain", but in terms of individual bets, it was around two thirds for "Leave",' spokesman Graham Sharpe said.
'The stats currently show 71 per cent of all the money gambled on either Clinton or Trump is for Hillary, but 65 per cent of all bets placed are for Trump.'
Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3852360/Bookmakers-pay-1-million-Hillary-Clinton-winning-election.html#ixzz4NYXcdHb6 Follow us: @MailOnline on Twitter | DailyMail on Facebook
Put another way Trump gets 65 Votes out of every 100!!!!!!
(Excerpt) Read more at dailymail.co.uk ...
Trump should sweep the entire rust belt, 55% of that population can’t be that dumb to vote for Hillary.
Mr. Trump WILL WIN.
Also, the polls are the same. Continuous supply of propaganda polls claiming the media’s favored side winning, but with all other evidence showing the other side winning. When the People get to vote, the media’s side loses.
Trump will take this election big league!
America is not going back to decades long endless compassionate wars costing multiples trillions, lawless violent open borders, reckless chain immigration policies, and trade policies only our enemies love. Not happening.
The British bookmakers have the best unofficial public opinion polling outfit in their shops and websites just by having several million punters placing bets all over the country every day, with a big surge before the event itself—the world’s largest rolling poll, analyzed by those who make a living from probability analysis.
Great news ... same Betting pattern as Brexit, for Trump
Terrible news ... no professionally managed epic levels of fraud for Brexit, unlike with Hillary
We need to work hard for these final three weeks. We need to work get out the vote efforts. We need to go to our VFW, to our gun ranges and gun stores, to our local volunteer fire department, and to every other place where real Americans are found and remind them to vote. We need to get trained as poll watchers. We need to make sure we never get complacent. We need to put everything we have into this election as if this was our last chance to avoid a second Civil War - because it might be.
So the Big Money is on the witch while the Little Guy bets on Trump. Where have we see this before?
Both the brexit and Trump votes are existential in nature. Capiche?
I think there may be more connection than you think.
In some ways you’re right, but both nations essentially did and will be confronting GLOBALISM.
They said, “No thanks and I hope our ditziness have enough smarts to do the same thing.”
I think the point, correct or not, is that mainstream polls did a bad job of predicting the Brexit outcome, where they were predicting a similar group of voters to the Trump supporters. While that doesn't prove the mainstream polls are wrong this year, it should reduce confidence in those polls.
I'm freakin' sure that most mainstream polls have deliberately inflated the Witch's margins, their goals being to control the process and discourage the opposition.
But by how much did they overstate the Witch's support and understate Trump's? For starters, most of them probably oversampled 'Rats and undersampled Pubbies. They are basing their models on turnout from 2012, but this year's voters will be proportionally more GOP than in 2012 and proportionally less 'Rat. That's because the voters turning out will contain smaller percentages millenials and smaller percentages of blacks (without Obama on the ballot). And in both of those groups, among those that will be voting, polls show Trump doing better than Romney did.
Now here's another conundrum. Most of these polls show Johnson and Stein combined getting close to 10%. There is no discussion of the fact that third-party candidates usually fizzle out as Election Day approaches. Johnson is doing several times better than any Libertarian candidate in history right now. I can't for the life of me figure out why, since he gets next to zero media coverage and, in my book, he's far from a true libertarian. Which raises the issue: where are more of Johnson's votes more likely to go to: Trump or the Witch? My guess is Trump.
Another conundrum: Most of these polls add up not to 100%, but more like 90-92%. That means 8-10% can't tell a pollster who they're going to vote for. The general rule is that most undecideds break for the challenger/outsider. That could be Trump's "trump card." (pardon the pun).
I mostly agree, but I am unwilling to quantify any of those effects. I just hope it’s enough to overcome this year’s epic levels of fraud.
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