Posted on 10/15/2016 7:37:38 PM PDT by um1990
With TRUMP on the ticket a D+8 is laughable!
Should probably be a R+2!!!
Agreed, although the poll results are based on LV, all I see are RV data... though I can’t imagine the RV would be D+8 and LV D+2
I like to be conservative and think it will be D+4. Accounts for fraud
The enemy’s fake polls don’t factor in real turnout projections based on actually discovered enthusiasm levels
Consider these facts about Democrat enthusiasm:
A New Gallup survey has determined that enthusiasm among Democrats is at a 16 year low
In regard to Gallup’s findings, The Washington Examiner commented, “Just 65 percent of Democrats plan to vote in the election, and it’s just 47 percent among all voters aged 18-34, a trend that has the party worried about the lack of enthusiasm for Hillary Rodham Clinton. Republicans hold an 11-point advantage in those planning to vote, 76 percent to 65 percent, but the GOP vote is also at a 16-year low, but by three points compared to nine for the Democrats.”
A compilation of three recent polls that are generally unfriendly to Trump, shows the CNN/ORN poll had her down in enthusiasm among supporters 58/46, the Washington Post/ABC NEWS poll had Clinton down 46/33 and a New York Times/CBS survey showed Clinton behind 45/36 in supporter enthusiasm.
All three linked at
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/296360-enthusiasm-gap-looms-for-clinton
Same here. Since the MSM has told us their job is to defeat Trump, there is NO reason to believe their faked polls.
Hate so say it, but the D+2 is probably right. Among all adults, it’s D+8. Among registered voters, it’s D+3. Likely could very well be D+2, and that’s what the results are based on- D+2
Click the link below and switch the filter to Registered (there is no drop down for likely)
Adults is 10, registered is 8
Click on that link I provided
Adults D+8
Registers D+3
*Registered
But wait a second, isn't that what determines the sampling anyway - that it's supposed to be representative of the expected turnout? And if so, what is the justification for correction after the actual election?
Here you go... guy were right when you said Likely Voters D+2
https://mobile.twitter.com/sercharlie/status/787505570383265793/photo/1
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