Posted on 10/03/2016 5:18:10 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
A 20-year fight between pollsters over whether surveys conducted on the phone or over the Internet are best finally has an outcome: Online polls can be "more accurate" because people are more candid responding to a computer than a live voice in many cases.
Social interaction inherent in a telephone or in-person interview may also exert subtle pressures on respondents that affect how they answer questions. Respondents may feel a need to present themselves in a more positive light to an interviewer, leading to an overstatement of socially desirable behaviors and attitudes and an understatement of opinions and behaviors they fear would elicit disapproval from another person," Pew explained.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonexaminer.com ...
It appears to me, that online polls, in general, are showing better numbers for Trump than phone polls. I believe People Pundit Daily, UPI/CVoter, USC/LA Times poll are online polls and show Trump ahead. Quinnipiac, CNN, etc use phone polls and show Clinton ahead.
There are some exceptions: NBC/Survey monkey polls are online and they are better for Clinton.
Unless the online & phone polls converge by election day, I think we are likely to get a conclusive answer to how good online polls are vs phone polls.
Let me ask you this question 1. Are you for Trump? and 2. Do you answer polling companies on caller ID ? My hypothesis is that people with brains are for Trump and never answer those calls. Maybe I’m wrong?
Same thing if who you support is deemed sexist and the interviewer is a woman, or the interviewer sounds middle eastern and your candidate is tuff on Muslims, ect.
NONE of that is an issue online.
Not only do people tend to be more honest on an internet poll, but plenty of people (myself included) don’t even answer the phone if they don’t recognize the number calling. There’s no telling how skewed their telephone samples are, even if they’re not trying to manipulate them.
I wish I had a crystal ball. It’s just too hard to conceive of Clinton winning. I guess the night side is that our movement would become even more vocal an powerful. Trump needs to stay the hell off twitter and grow up a little and win this damn thing.
bright side typo not night side.
Sometimes I really wish we had an edit function here when I make a typo.
from my limited contact with libs, I find them to be loud-mouthed, in-your-face, opinionated know-it-alls who would leap at the opportunity to tell a pollster what they think.
I, for one, don’t talk to pollsters.
from my limited contact with libs, I find them to be loud-mouthed, in-your-face, opinionated know-it-alls who would leap at the opportunity to tell a pollster what they think.
I, for one, don’t talk to pollsters.
“I’d like to ask you some questions about....”
“CLICK!”
Of course, that assumes I answered the phone at all. Most are handled by the answering machine, with me picking up if I recognize the voice of the caller.
bro, my cell phone is ALWAYS on mute.
I look every 3 or 4 hours to see who’s worth calling back.
I’ve taken 10 surveys this election, none on the phone.
However, i assume they call and call until they have a representative population. But THEN there’s the lying about voting for trump
I mean really, who can prove a limited sample poll wrong?
i have never had survey calls before until this cycle. I don’t have a land line so they called my cell which is listed on the do not call list.
I eagerly took their survey and told them I would low crawl over broken glass to vote for DJT and am prepared to make a stand if the election is stolen.
I also said I will not vote the federal downticket, leave those fleas on their own. I will vote in all my local races but Chabot and Portman will have to do it without me.
My hope is that President Trump starts beating the drum for TERM LIMITS and use the bully pulpit to enforce the peoples will.
Just look at Drudge’s Online polls compared to how the Primary went
It was spot on!
Hey, someone asked me a polite question without insulting me. I like that.
1). Yes, I’m for Trump.
2). I don’t think I’ve ever received a polling company phone call. But if I did, I wouldn’t answer it.
I remember 2012 and Rasmussen said Romney was going to win. He was wrong. At that time, I had a bad opinion of online polls. In fairness, Gallup showed Romney winning and they do phone polls. Still, the disappointment about Rasmussen was strong.
With Trump, there could be a hidden vote for him that isn’t showing up in phone polls. Very possible. That would mean the online polls are correct. We will know on election day.
As for me, I don’t have any bumper sticker on my car or signs on my lawn. I’m afraid my next oil change wouldn’t go well or my car would be keyed. So definitely possible that some Trump supporters are keeping a lower profile.
my theory is that Pew is right.. and the changes in the phone polls after the debate, are not because people are changing who they are voting for but are changing because the peer pressure increased again to say they are voting for Hillary instead of Trump because of the massive media dumping on Trump... That is why the online polls show no change..
I might respond to more phone polls if they’d use a really ID for the caller ID, instead of it coming up with “New York” or something cryptic.
More accurate because I can delete my cookies and vote as much as I want to?
Thanks Speedy. Very honest. At my house ,I get 6 calls a day. they are land lines. We are taking it out and going cells only.I get them on cell and I immediately “BLOCK CALLER”-so wonderful and easy. I recall you are right about the polls in ‘12. They failed to measure the voter fraud.
I’ve been phone polled three times this election and each time said I was voting for Hillary.
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