Posted on 09/21/2016 12:11:09 PM PDT by mandaladon
MILWAUKEE -- The results of the latest Marquette University Law School Poll are in.
This poll interviewed 802 registered voters in Wisconsin from September 15-18. Of those, 677 said they were likely to vote.
It found that Hillary Clinton is leading Donald Trump among likely voters in Wisconsin, 44 percent to 42 percent. However, 12 percent of likely voters said they won’t vote for either Clinton or Trump, will not vote or don’t know yet.
(Excerpt) Read more at tmj4.com ...
Interesting headline divergence between TMJ4 and The Washington Examiner’s take.
The previous pro-Hillary polls were designed to give her as much support as they could. When they switched to "likely voters" after Labor Day you saw Hillary in free fall.
The biggest thing that most pollsters have not adjusted for is the tremendous increase in "new" voters. These simply have not been factored into the pollster's secret sauce yet. Trump is winning these by 2 or 3 to 1.
Others have described that as the "monster" vote and I believe it is very real.
Why are Law Schools in the political polling business?
This poll was taken in Madison, He must really be way ahead. Madison is like Stalingrad.
If Trump does really well at the debates, he can take WI, Michigan, AND PA. All are within reach... You can add Colorado to that as well.
“I would put Wisconsin in the toss-up category... “
==
That’s how I figure it, too.
Has Walker done anything for Trump/Pence? Or is he still strongly NeverTrump? He is a yuuuuuge disappointment if he stays anti-Trump.
It found that Hillary Clinton is leading Donald Trump among likely voters in Wisconsin, 44 percent to 42 percent.
This is HUUUUUUUGE. Wisconsin is part of Hillary’s Electoral Vote Wall. Hillary’s wall is crumbling.
“Why are Law Schools in the political polling business?”
Triumvirate = Lawyers/Pols/Congress (all same genus, low on scale)
Why are law schools in the polling business?
It’s part of the student’s training for jury selection during the course on Trials 101 which has a pre-requisite of Ambulance Chasing and Advertising 201.
Madison (U of WI) and Milwaukee (Chicago corruption next door).
Probably not.
Somewhat off topic but the hitlery rally in Orlando looks like cliton is feeling better. More feisty.No idea of crowd size. Those of you who want PIAPS to keep breathing until the election may get your wish. There is no way TPTB can replace her if she can still perform like what I saw.
I saw an article here that says he was helping Mike Pence prep for the VP debate by portraying Kaine. Preibus is all in too. It’s all about self preservation.
Agree with your comment on Hillary. She actually moved her arms and was able to change position without fainting.
Her speech also ticked me off—that means she is alive and kicking. :-)
There is an absolute law of the universe..if the Democrat is not out 5+ points they lose. I am exaggerating of course but I bet a dime to a dozen doughnuts if you look at the RCP average of Democrats let’s say since 2000 where they have a lead <5% they lose with a mathematical significance. These is a bias in polling. Limbaugh reported today on a study done when 5 polling firms had the same exact polling data, they had 5 different conclusions and not really clustered around any mean. More all over the map.
This is encouraging.
WI has gone dem since 1988 when Dukaka edged out Bush 41 by 3.6%.
I actually did not listen to her speech. I had to urgently listen to an old song.
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