Trump is currently forecasted to win 258 Electoral College votes, with a 40% chance of reaching 270 Electoral College votes.
This is a chart from my model of the states that were won when Trump reached 270 or more Electoral College votes. The numbers indicate the percent of the time the state was won when Trump won the election.
States in the 90+% range must be won to reach 270 electoral votes.
-PJ
This Pennsylvania firewall is nonsense.
GWB won without PA both times.
Trump is ahead in OH, FL, and now apparently also CO, NM, NV.
He doesn’t even have to win all of these to get past 270.
If he takes VA it’s even easier.
Problem for the lying criminal is that she’s beginning to lose some of the states Obama won that were considered “safe”.
This election is remarkably similar to the 1980 Carter/Reagan race.Prior to the debates, Carter was ahead 5-7 points. After the debates he was hopelessly behind and lost big. These polls suggest that the race is relatively tight and Trump has some current momentum. If however he, despite the media bias, is perceived by the people to win the debates, or if Hillary has another public faint or flop, she will lose big. The democratic hierarchy is very uneasy especially when they read their own internal polls. Would not be surprised if they are not now designing a “Plan B” where Hillary for “health reasons” drops out in early October and an enormous push is put behind Joe Biden.
Registered Dems to Repubs is 4 to 3....like 4million to 3 million. And the Dems are totally concentrated in two areas....but Philly is the big one.
“Good ground game” is code of “dead people voting Democrat.”
Hillary! is challenging Trump to a DUEL?
Like with GUNS?
OHMYGAWDI’MSOSCAREDDON’TLETITJUMPUPANDSHOOTMEALLBYITSELF!
When I saw the headline, I pretty much figured this wasn’t a Newsmax article.
“The 110% precincts” means democracy in the original Greek /sarc
Yeah?
No. She’s not.
Trump is a “turn out operation” in and of himself.
They can’t find 160 people to show up for a Clinton Rally, but they are “out working” Trump on the ground.
Right.
We don’t need Penn.
Yeah, well when Obama was here the other day he remarked that he’s a Bears fan - drew a lot of boos from the Eagles supporters in the crowd - not exactly endearing to the Philly voters......
I drove through several neighborhoods in Allegheny and Washington counties in PA on Sunday and saw numerous Trump signs. I saw NO signs for the shoeless zombie. I did see one sign for Johnson in a nearby yard that is usually littered with Dem signs every election.
It’s only anecdotal but it made me feel good.
