Posted on 08/03/2016 7:42:47 PM PDT by Ravi
RALEIGH – A new Civitas flash poll shows Trump leading Clinton in North Carolina the week following party conventions.
All relevant questions and results can be found below, and crosstabs are available here.
1. If the election for President of the United States were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? Republican Donald Trump? Democrat Hillary Clinton? Or Libertarian Gary Johnson?
46% Trump (R) 42% Clinton (D) 6% Johnson (L) 7% Undecided
(Excerpt) Read more at nccivitas.org ...
Can’t be.
He’s CRAZY. All of his companies go bankrupt!!! He’ll get us into war!!!!! There’s be a coup if he’s elected!!!!!
Thanks for making my night Ravi :)
no worries. sleep well
This poll and the latest PA poll with Trump down only 2...in the margin of error...both after the conventions..not bad at all.
BTW...this is a “likely voter” poll of 400. Trump trends better than Hillary in almost all “likely voter” polls, regardless of oversampling.
The poll shows 30% Repubs and 27% RATS and 41% Ind.
What was the 2012 breakdown D/R/I? Seems high R but I don’t know NC.
TTTT!
Trump can still win and become our President; there is not much margin for error. Prayer is essential. If he wins, it will be a political miracle.
“What was the 2012 breakdown D/R/I? Seems high R but I don’t know NC.”
In 2012 Romney won North Carolina by 2 %.
In 2012 the North Carolina electorate was
Democrats 39 %
Republicans 33 %
Independents 29 %
This poll does seem to over sample Republicans although some of the moderate/conservative Democrats may have switched parties during the last few years. That has been a trend since Reagan’s time when N Carolina was overwhelmingly Democratic, but often voted Republican in presidential races.
Too lazy to start a new thread, but Detroit News has a new MI poll with Cankles +10, up 6 from their previous. The sample is D+10, Minion lost by 9.5, so reasonable. Trump is weak in western MI which should be a given.
What do you think the number are, in your best estimate, for hillary and Trump? country wide.
What, total votes?
Found a Sept 2012 poll here:
http://www.nccivitas.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/09/September-Crosstabs-2.pdf
looks like R= 198; D=270; I=132
The current(2016) cross tabs are displayed differently here:
https://www.nccivitas.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/August-Poll-Crosstabs-2016.pdf
on the cross tabs, look at the “Composition of Likely Voters” line then move over to the “Party Affiliation” (Green)category. The percentages total 98% and the numbers look to be:
R=120; I=164; D=108. However, if you look at the “Party Affiliation”(light blue) category, Rat % only adds up to 26% not 27% ( probably some rounding going on)
I think I am reading the right.
I mean your best guess a the current standings, like Trump 48, clinton 40, 12 undecided. like that :)
The illegal judicial fiat reinstating straight ticket voting in MI pretty much effs us there, which was the intention.
Praise the Lord! Just converted a Clinton voter to Trump today in NC. She had swallowed all the MSM junk about Trump and I explained the real deal too all her questions. Also here is a good response from a fella in NC, Steve Noble, to Christians who are considering sitting out the election, good read, pass along to those that need it.
A good dose of common sense is needed in some circles. This is it.... By Steve Noble July 26, ... what these ‘Never Trump’ Christians propose is the same as Pontius Pilot trying to absolve himself of blame for crucifying ...
I asked the Senior Ethics professor at Southeastern Baptist Theological Seminary what he thought of Christians who are refusing to vote for Trump. He didn’t hold back.
Steve: “What do you think about Christians who refuse to vote for Donald Trump?”
Professor: “I think it is a perfectionist mistake. And it is a version of the ‘all or nothing’ mentality Jesus opposed in telling his parable of the field of wheat mixed with tares.
Francis & Edith Schaeffer warned that in this world, those who insist on perfection or nothing will always get nothing. And in moral as well as spiritual terms, what these ‘Never Trump’ Christians propose is the same as Pontius Pilot trying to absolve himself of blame for crucifying Christ by washing his hands.
The fact is that in a democracy, we ALL have a vote and ALWAYS are responsible for how we use it. Refusing to vote, or throwing your vote away on an impossible write-in candidate, does NOT absolve those doing so from blame, but rather it MAKES them responsible for favoring the election of the WORST electable candidate. Pilot WAS to blame for crucifying Christ, and those throwing away their votes in the name of absolving themselves WILL be to blame for favoring the WORST candidate.
God does not call Christians to vote for sinless candidates, nor does he call Christians to only support ideal governors. The ONLY choice Christians have in this election, the only choice they EVER have had in a fallen world, and the only thing God EXPECTS of them…is to vote for the COMPARATIVELY better of the available candidates.
There IS no other possibility, and there WILL BE no other possibility on this earth until Jesus comes back. So, unless Jesus comes back before November 2016, Trump (despite his many flaws) is the comparatively better candidate, and Christians not voting for Trump (out of concern for his flaws) will be morally to blame, in the eyes of God, for favoring the election of Hillary Clinton.
They CANNOT wash their hands of it, CANNOT absolve themselves of blame, CANNOT have a better choice, and CANNOT please God by sitting it out.
Jesus’ parable of the wheat mixed with tares is given only once in Matthew 13:24-30. But in it he addresses the question of how God expects faithful Christians to live in a politically mixed community with sinners in the present sinful world. The field, Jesus says, represents the present world.
And although God does care about a perfect world to come, he does NOT make Christians responsible for perfecting the world (weeding the field) before Jesus comes back. Perfecting the political world cannot be done without ridding the world of sin, and ridding the world of sin cannot be done without ridding the world of sinners. THAT is in fact the DIFFERENCE between Biblical Christianity and ISIS ideology.
In a spiritually and morally imperfect world in which Christians live in mixed community with non-Christians, God does not blame Christians for cooperating with sinful rulers but only calls them to be a Godly moral influence that favors right over wrong rather than insist on perfection or nothing at all.”
Awesome post! Congrats on winning a new voter for Trump! And thanks for Steve Noble’s article. I loved the passage in the article about the parable of the tares. It perfectly illustrates how perfection isn’t doable by us in this world, so don’t be a prissy prude nevertrumper, and Vote Trump!
“Praise the Lord! Just converted a Clinton voter to Trump today in NC. “
Well done! Now stay on her. Still plenty of time for her to swayed back over to the dark side.
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