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Clinton Image Improves Following Conventions; Leads Trump by 5
Public Policy Polling ^ | July 30, 2016

Posted on 07/31/2016 8:08:02 AM PDT by eekitsagreek

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To: RichInOC
The degree to which the margin of error is meaningful is the degree to which the sampling methodology is random. ±3% is only valid from a sampling of people who have already voted, and honestly reported how they voted.

All pre-election polls assume that their modeling or corrections formulas will be accurate predictors of whether or not a sampled individual will indeed vote. That is why polls of adults mean nothing, polls of registered voters mean only slightly more than nothing, and polls of likely voters are only as good as the likelihood model.

Also: A poll in which respondents indicate they voted for 0bama at a 52% rate and Romney at 41% has a sampling methodology issue and is not random.

61 posted on 07/31/2016 12:05:04 PM PDT by FredZarguna (And what Rough Beast, its hour come round at last, slouches toward Fifth Avenue to be born?)
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To: Dilbert San Diego

her ankles are so big they look like tree trunks . She make fat leggede lorretta Lynch look like a ballet dancer in a TUTU.


62 posted on 07/31/2016 12:26:23 PM PDT by WENDLE (hillary in an unindicted criminal.)
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To: ncalburt
They know posters like you will belle anything

I remember lots of posters in 2012 who were horribly disappointed by truth and reality. A Trump win will not be a landslide, nor easy. Pray God to grant us mercy, and Donald Trump grace and humility to become our next President and lead with wisdom, understanding, and knowledge.

63 posted on 07/31/2016 3:34:47 PM PDT by af_vet_1981 (The bus came by and I got on, That's when it all began.)
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