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America in Free Fall
Hoover Institution ^ | 17 June 2016 | Victor Davis Hanson

Posted on 06/17/2016 9:53:30 AM PDT by Rummyfan

Before the Battle of Chaeronea (338 BC), where Philip II of Macedon prevailed over a common Greek alliance, the city-states had been weakened by years of social and economic turmoil. To read the classical speeches in the Athenian assembly is to learn of the democracy’s constant struggles with declining revenues, insolvency, and expanding entitlements. Rome between the First Triumvirate (59 BC) and the ascension of Caesar Augustus’s autocracy (27 BC) was mostly defined by gang violence, chaos, and civil war, the common theme being a loss of trust in republican values. Russia was in a revolutionary spiral for nearly twenty years between 1905 and the final victory of the Bolsheviks in 1922, ending up with a cure worse than the disease. And Europe between 1930 and 1939 saw most of its democracies erode as fascists and communists gained power—eventually leading to the greater disaster of the outbreak of World War II.

The United States has seen periods of near fatal internal chaos—in the late 1850s leading up to the carnage of the Civil War, during the decade of the Great Depression between 1929 and 1939, and in the chaotic 1960s. Something similar is starting to plague America today on a variety of political, economic, social, and cultural fronts.

The contenders for president reflect the loss of confidence of the times. Bernie Sanders is an avowed socialist. Yet scan the record of big government redistributionism here and abroad—from Chicago and Detroit to the insolvent Mediterranean nations of the European Union and failed states like Venezuela—and there is no encouraging model of socialist success. Hillary Clinton will win the Democratic nomination—if she is not the first nominee in American history to be indicted, on possible charges of violating federal intelligence laws, and perhaps perjury and obstruction of justice. Donald Trump has neither political experience nor a detailed agenda, but has charged ahead on the basis of his vague promise to “make America great again”—a Jacksonian version of Obama’s equally vacuous 2008 promise of “hope and change.”

President Obama, in response to attacks on his record by Trump—and by Bill Clinton, who has spoken of “the awful legacy of the last eight years”—is entering the campaign to brag about the current economy.

But to do so, President Obama must ignore a number of liabilities that are soon coming due. Under his tenure, he did not address the unsustainable actuarial realities of Social Security and Medicare. The federal debt doubled in a manner never seen prior and can be now serviced only through de facto zero-interest rates, which in turn ossify economic growth. Due to tax hikes, new financial and business regulations, and the socialization of the health care system, per annum GDP growth under the President’s tenure will go down in history as the worst since the Great Depression. He ignored the Clinton-Gingrich compromise formula of a quarter-century ago of balancing budgets by cutting defense, capping spending, and raising taxes. Instead, Obama slashed defense spending and hiked a number of taxes, but ignored entitlements, ensuring $500 million annual deficits—deemed successful because they were less than his first-term normal of $1 billion annual shortfalls. The President points to the 5 percent unemployment as proof of his success, but that figure reflects Obama-era methodologies of not counting all those who have given up looking for jobs. In May 2016, a record 94,708,000 Americans were no longer in the labor force—the highest percentage of non-working Americans since the Great Depression.

Abroad, it is hard to identify a single region or U.S. national interest where things are not worse than prior to 2009. In the Middle East, few believe that the Iran deal will prevent the theocracy from obtaining the bomb; indeed, Iran has never been more active in creating chaos and threatening war. American intervention in Libya, American withdrawal from Iraq, and American neglect of Syria helped to ensure a general Middle East implosion. Reset with Russia empowered Vladimir Putin’s ongoing agenda of reabsorbing former Soviet republics. China is building artificial island bases in the Spratly Islands of the South China Sea to recalibrate the balance of power in Asia—on the understanding that American failure to challenge this bellicosity has translated into de facto acceptance of it. And due to financial disasters, unchecked immigration, and populist revolts against Brussels, the European Union in its present form seems unsustainable. The only mystery is whether its unwinding will come with a slow whimper or abrupt bang.

In President Obama’s interview with The Atlantic and his chief foreign policy advisor Ben Rhodes’s disclosures to the New York Times, it is evident that the administration holds a general contempt for the American-led postwar order—and the Washington bipartisan and trans-Atlantic establishment (“the Blob”) central to its stability. By any fair measure, President Obama believes that the U.S. does not, and perhaps never has, possessed the moral stature or the wherewithal to lead the Western world, which should be more equitably left to regional powers such as China, Iran, Russia, and Middle Eastern autocracies to adjudicate the affairs in their own environs.

The result has been near anarchy, not just in the natural rise of anti-American rivals, but in the fright of former allies and neutrals who are being forced to make the necessary realist adjustments with old enemies—or in the case of many Westernized allies, to perhaps privately reconsider the once taboo idea of acquiring nuclear weapons for the sake of deterrence.

But perhaps the three most telling symptoms of the current chaos are race relations, immigration, and the status of our universities and colleges—three interconnected issues that often inspire riots, demonstrations, and suppressions of free speech.

President Obama has largely ignored the old ideal of the melting pot and in its place preferred a salad-bowl multiculturalism of competing ethnicities, tribes, and races, whose activism wins concessions from local, state and federal governments. Casual comments and references by Obama—like “bring a gun” to a knife fight, the “bitter clingers” of Pennsylvania, and “typical white person”—stoked racial tensions. So did Attorney General Eric Holder’s crude referrals to “my people” and a “nation of cowards.”

The Ferguson and the Baltimore riots, the Black Lives Matter movement, and the systematic carnage in Chicago all embody paradoxes: facts are sometimes less important than allegations; the police are the culprits of urban violence both for responses that are too aggressive and too passive; and in a static economy, inner city youth can’t find jobs because they have criminal records and lack the skills that would make them employable.

Apparently, the Obama administration never considered that a multiracial America united by one culture was an historical exception. Everywhere else, multiculturalism and tribalism without assimilation, integration, and intermarriage have proved to be an abject and usually violent catastrophe: most recently, in the former Soviet Union, the Balkans, Rwanda, and the Middle East. Europe’s attempt to emulate a multiracial United States is ending in utter failure with unchecked immigration, multicultural incoherence, and rising Islamism.

The recent California riots at Trump rallies, along with the widely reported crimes committed by illegal aliens in sanctuary cities, reveal the wages of unchecked immigration that is increasingly neither diverse and meritocratic nor legal and measured—the traditional requisites that promote rapid and full integration. Over one in four Californians was not born in the U.S.—a statistic that becomes worrisome when coupled with the state’s policy of sanctuary cities and new educational curricula that emphasize grievance and separatism rather than assimilation and unity. When rioting youths in San Diego, Fresno, and San Jose burn or deface American flags, as they have been doing in recent weeks, and wave Mexican flags instead, then we are witnessing a tragic farce, the consequences of decades of ethnic-chauvinism, multiculturalism, and cluelessness of the norms and realities outside of America.

American immigration policy is not so much “broken” as increasingly neo-Confederate and illogical. Three-hundred state and municipal jurisdictions have declared themselves, in good 1850s fashion, immune from federal law as sanctuary cities, while over 1 million illegal aliens have at some point been arrested, and make up nearly 30 percent of the federal inmate population. In Orwellian terms, illegal immigration largely from Latin America and Mexico, is called “diversity,” nullification of federal laws is known as “sanctuary cities,” and foreign nationals residing illegally are referred to as “undocumented migrants.” Ultimately the central paradox of immigration is the strange nexus of anger and grievance against the United States by immigration advocates—and the overriding desire nonetheless to enter and reside in such a purportedly unattractive place.

The universities in some sense are the embryos of social unrest. The 1960s free speech and free love movements, with their rampant drug use, advocacy of unchecked and raucous expression, and resistance to authority have strangely given way to today’s speech codes, safe spaces, micro-aggressions, and trigger warnings. Yesterday’s “anything goes” hippie student is today’s Victorian prude who cannot quite square the circle of relaxed sexuality and drugs with the demands that the university act in loco parentis for perpetual adolescents.

This election year so far has emblemized the perfect storm of unrest and confusion—and an even more worrisome response to it. In the past, when 51 percent of societies no longer believed in or wished to defend their collective values and traditions, there were no longer reasons for them to continue. And so they did not—a warning we should heed.


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1 posted on 06/17/2016 9:53:30 AM PDT by Rummyfan
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To: Rummyfan

The careers of nevertrumpers are finished.

It’s too bad cuz I kinda liked Hanson.


2 posted on 06/17/2016 9:57:19 AM PDT by Electric Graffiti (DEPORT OBOLA VOTERS)
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To: Rummyfan

3 posted on 06/17/2016 9:57:33 AM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either satire or opinion. Or both.)
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To: Rummyfan

as always, VDH nails it

we are headed for very dark times.

Very dark


4 posted on 06/17/2016 9:59:53 AM PDT by QualityMan (I will not comply.)
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To: Rummyfan

Free Fallin’ like Tom Petty.


5 posted on 06/17/2016 10:00:19 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: QualityMan

Quote:

“we are headed for very dark times.

Very dark”

A nation that has turned its back on God and Nature has signed its own death warrant.

Pray for the best but prepare for the worst.


6 posted on 06/17/2016 10:02:17 AM PDT by TTFlyer
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To: Rummyfan

Is he a NeverTrumper? Not seeing it here. Good piece. Here’s Obama’s true legacy. Fundamentally transformed? Check.


7 posted on 06/17/2016 10:02:50 AM PDT by Yaelle (Make America Safe Again)
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To: Rummyfan
The founding fathers knew what to do. Go back to tariffs, ditch the 16th amendment and watch it all come roaring back.

At some point we will figure it out.

8 posted on 06/17/2016 10:06:51 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: QualityMan

Yes, and the Saudi Prince is at the White House...the landlord is coming to check on the place.


9 posted on 06/17/2016 10:08:18 AM PDT by Scott from the Left Coast
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To: Rummyfan
Donald Trump has neither political experience nor a detailed agenda, but has charged ahead on the basis of his vague promise to “make America great again”—a Jacksonian version of Obama’s equally vacuous 2008 promise of “hope and change.”

VDH is not listening. Elites can't hear Trump's clear message because they don't like it. Screw this loser.

10 posted on 06/17/2016 10:10:06 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: Rummyfan
there is no encouraging model of socialist success

Won't stop us from trying. We'd be the wealthiest country to ever do so by an order of magnitude. It would be a LOOOOOONG time before they ran out of other people's money.


11 posted on 06/17/2016 10:12:30 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: Rummyfan

This is why this year’s Presidential elections is going to be very important.

Elect DJT!


12 posted on 06/17/2016 10:14:12 AM PDT by Biggirl ("One Lord, one faith, one baptism" - Ephesians 4:5)
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To: Rummyfan

advocacy of unchecked and raucous expression,


Are you for it or against it, VDH? The use of raucous tells me you’re against unchecked expression. What a sorry thing for a conservative to say. And what ‘check’ would you like on speech?


13 posted on 06/17/2016 10:19:36 AM PDT by sparklite2 ( "The white man is the Jew of Liberal Fascism." -Jonah Goldberg)
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To: Rummyfan

disagree on a single point: there IS a region that is better off now, with high growth and low unemployment. Things are good here, in Capital District, or, as those of you in the hinterlands call it, the Washington DC Metropolitan Area.

Bring on the Hunger Games !

(sarcasm intended)


14 posted on 06/17/2016 10:40:49 AM PDT by Salgak (You're in Strange Hands with Tom Stranger. . . .)
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To: Rummyfan
Now that's a little more like it. VDH doesn't like Trump, that probably hasn't changed, but he's at least open to the apparent fact that it's Trump or something very, very much worse. I wonder, though, how far he feels Trump fits the Philip of Macedon model he cited in the opening paragraph. That'd probably be a three-beer conversation. If we're into historical analogies I have a better suggestion.

The meat of the article is here:

Apparently, the Obama administration never considered that a multiracial America united by one culture was an historical exception. Everywhere else, multiculturalism and tribalism without assimilation, integration, and intermarriage have proved to be an abject and usually violent catastrophe: most recently, in the former Soviet Union, the Balkans, Rwanda, and the Middle East. Europe’s attempt to emulate a multiracial United States is ending in utter failure with unchecked immigration, multicultural incoherence, and rising Islamism.

Ouch. I suspect the damage in the United States is reparable so long as there are citizens who realized that the old racial comity, such as it was, provided a considerably more rich and comfortable middle-class life than the current racial Balkanization ever can. A lot of people are shaking their heads at this "change" wondering where the "hope" went, and they're not all conservatives.

Because the vision of the America that is, turns out to be considerably less illusory than 0bama's vision of an America yet to be. He and the rest of the radicals will provide the ashes, the phoenix will have to take care of itself. Best of luck with that. Those ashes are the ashes of a middle class that represented the best life ever attained for the most people in all of history, a Golden Age that is rapidly slipping away. It isn't being replaced by something better, it isn't being replaced at all, because the social architects turn out to be glib incompetents who have made their own living secure against the chaos they've instigated. That's not so good for the rest of us.

When rioting youths in San Diego, Fresno, and San Jose burn or deface American flags, as they have been doing in recent weeks, and wave Mexican flags instead, then we are witnessing a tragic farce, the consequences of decades of ethnic-chauvinism, multiculturalism, and cluelessness of the norms and realities outside of America.... Ultimately the central paradox of immigration is the strange nexus of anger and grievance against the United States by immigration advocates—and the overriding desire nonetheless to enter and reside in such a purportedly unattractive place.

They're after plunder, not assimilation, which hearkens back to VDH's citation of the first paragraph. They don't want undeveloped land, there's plenty of that. They want a share of that which they did not and cannot build for themselves but feel entitled to anyway. 0bama's "you didn't build that" is telling - if you didn't, you haven't a right to "it" and "it" may be expropriated and redistributed in perfect justice by anyone possessing the physical force to manage it. That is the ethical paradigm not only of thieves, but of robbers. What is being incubated in the Southwest corner of the country is not social justice, but conquest.

Nevertheless, they are no Macedonians and they have no Philip, no Alexander, and the United States of America is going to prove a rather more formidable prospect than a few hundred squabbling Greek city-states. That part of history won't repeat, even as farce.

15 posted on 06/17/2016 10:45:11 AM PDT by Billthedrill
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To: Rummyfan

” Instead, Obama slashed defense spending and hiked a number of taxes, but ignored entitlements, ensuring $500 million annual deficits—deemed successful because they were less than his first-term normal of $1 billion annual shortfalls. “

Doesn’t he mean $500 billion and $1 trillion?


16 posted on 06/17/2016 10:46:57 AM PDT by SteveH
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To: Rummyfan

Good article, but he messed up paragraph 5. It should be $500 billion and $1 trillion. Hopefully he’ll catch it and fix it.


17 posted on 06/17/2016 10:55:20 AM PDT by afsnco
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To: Rummyfan

HILLARY CLINTON:CAREER CRIMINAL
The 20 minute video at the link below was published in November, 2015 and has so far had nearly 6 MILLION views. It needs to go to 60 MILLION OR MORE. See if you can help that happen!
As I watched, I kept thinking how in God’s name could ANY sentient, logical citizen vote for this woman. I’m a rather peaceful guy, but I then moved on to a thought that frightened me: I could easily support the new president negotiating with the current owners of what the French owners at the time called “Devil’s Island”, buying the place then PACKING EVERY CLINTON VOTER OFF TO SPEND THE REST OF HIS/HER LIFE GAZING AT THE SEA.

And as obozo’s maladministration winds down and HIS criminality and TREASON come under scrutiny and become more visible, I’d add HIS supporters to the list!

WHY? Because, by their failure to grasp the most fundamental concepts under which this place was created, it is a certainty that they WILL DESTROY IT and only the most Draconian methods will halt that destruction!

All of that said, banishment is a far more merciful fate than that discussed by obozo’s mentor, Bill Ayers and others, as described in the 2 minute Larry Grathwohl video here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HWMIwziGrAQ

HERE’S THE HILLARY VIDEO LINK:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kypl1MYuKDY
PLEASE SHARE THIS AS WIDELY AS POSSIBLE!!


18 posted on 06/17/2016 11:23:55 AM PDT by Dick Bachert (This entire "administration" has been a series of Reischstag Fires. We know how that turned out!)
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To: central_va
At some point we will figure it out

If not now, when?

Those who have known freedom and then lost it have never known it again. Ronald Reagan

"But a Constitution of Government once changed from Freedom, can never be restored. Liberty, once lost, is lost forever." --John Adams

19 posted on 06/17/2016 12:54:07 PM PDT by MosesKnows (Love Many, Trust Few, and Always Paddle Your Own Canoe)
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To: central_va

No. No we won’t.


20 posted on 06/17/2016 2:53:30 PM PDT by Old Yeller (Hillary is Satan's spiritual advisor.)
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