I'm thinking there is room for movement either way here.
I'm pulling for Cruz but I see some hope for the Trump folks as well. I recommend watching the trends in the California polling on RCP. That will tell us a lot.
Posted on 04/07/2016 7:13:59 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
I'm thinking there is room for movement either way here.
I'm pulling for Cruz but I see some hope for the Trump folks as well. I recommend watching the trends in the California polling on RCP. That will tell us a lot.
Before or after Cruz makes a deal with Kasich for VP in exchange for his delegates?
Does it factor in the 5 - 20 points that Cruz usually outperforms the polls? It is looking even more like neither man will get the magic number of delegates.
The Delegates needs 482 of remaining 835 or 57.7%. With the states that remain, he can not earn the needed delegates with plurality victories. That is why he is wants Kasich get out.
You did not read what I said. I will vote for whatever candidate thE Republicans put up. I WILL NEVER VOTE FOR HILLARY. I WILL VOTE FOR A ‘YALLER DOG’ BEFORE HILLARY. Hopes that answers your question.
RE: You did not read what I said. I will vote for whatever candidate thE Republicans put up.
I did read what you said. And your response is you will vote for ANY ONE BUT HILLARY. I understand that.
But do you have someone in mind you would GLADLY vote for, not reluctantly simply because the alternative is worse/worst.
Cannot imagine LA and the surrounding area as hot spots for conservatism
The bigger concern is another “demokrat operation kaos” where the rats cross over to vote for Cruz to face Hillary or Bernie - as occurred in Wisconsin
yes he is, as the demokrats crossover to vote for Cruz because they know they can beat him, as the voting patterns show occurred in Wisconsin
you want proof of all those rumors?
just wait
Do you think Kasich wants to tie himself to a Canadian with a weakness for prostitutes?
Don’t think the DC folks don’t know the truth and don’t think the democrats cant wait to get started on Cruz when they feel the time is right
And Trump loses states that Romney won or is within the margin of error in states that Romney won big.
Cruz only out performs in fraud states like Utah and Wisconsin. The GOPee won’t have control of the voting machines there in Cali.
Cruz has a path to the nomination until Trump gets 1237.
That is good to k now
So the main reason they have to switch parties is to vote for the candidate they prefer, not to play contested convention chess
“Meaningless as Ted will have no path to the nomination after April 19th.”
Silly. You mean he doesn’t have a path to a nomination on the firs ballot. That’s very different.
“Interestingly, Field finds a strong correlation between Trump voters and those who voted for Arnold Schwarzenegger:
‘Likely Republican voters who say they voted for Schwarzenegger now support Trump over Cruz by a nearly three to one margin, according to the poll. Republicans who voted for Tom McClintock or some other candidate are far more likely to support Cruz.’”
What a surprise. I’m going to die of a heart attack from that surprise.
The main differences between Arnold and Trump are that Arnold didn’t need daddy’s money and loan guarantees to become rich, and Arnold is an immigrant that married an American while Trump is an American that married two immigrants (with an American mistress-turned-wife in between).
I remember how infuriating it was back during the CA recall election when so many FReepers drank the Kool-Aid and supported the liberal RINO Arnold over solid conservative Tom McClintock. I guess that Karl Marx was right about one thing: “History repeats itself, first as tragedy, then as farce.” Arnold could keep all of his liberal positions and if he promised to build a wall for free he’d become “conservative” in the eyes of many FReepers. Sad, really.
Anything can happen at a political convention. A little historical factoid: In 1880. James Garfield, who started out the Republican convention as a person chosen to give a nominating speech for the incumbent president Rutherford B. Hayes, ended up as the Republican Party’s nominee after 36 ballots. Garfield had no interest in even running for president before the convention became completely deadlocked.
Garfield only had 1 vote heading into the 34th ballot. Former president U.S. Grant had the largest number of delegates on every ballot until the 36th when Garfield finally won a majority. As part of a bargain, Chester Arthur from NY was selected as the VP nominee. Arthur had never held political office but was one of the leaders of the NY political machine who were behind Grant. Garfield got Arthur to break from his boss, Sen. Roscoe Conkling, and accept the the VP nomination. Less than a year later, Arthur became president after the assassination of Garfield.
That was 1880 before the advent of the internet and cable TV.
How’s a similar scenario like that going to play out (i.e. even be accepted ) in 2016?
There will be cries of insider rigging and manipulation.
And if the GOP ever goes to over 5, much less over 10 ballots to select say someone like Rubio or Bush, the eventual candidate will be toast against Hillary. A huge number of voters will probably stay home.
39-32 with Kasich 18 and undecided at 11%.
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