Emerson poll: Hillary tops Trump by 17, Sanders beats Trump by 19 — in New York

Hotair ^ | 03/18/2016 | Ed Morrissey

[CA Conservative]

Propaganda.

This is the same poll that showed Trump up over Cruz by 52 points. So we can ignore that part of the poll as propaganda too, right?

[Sarah Barracuda]

I want to know how Ted Cruz favors in these same polls, how does Cruz match up with Clinton in Michigan, PA, Ohio, Florida, Virginia

[Reverend Wright]

this map show why Trump is going to be competitive in some states that D’s have been taking for granted.

neither the Democrats or GOPe have any credibility talking about a manufacturing revival, but Trump sure does.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rust_Belt#/media/File:Total_mfctrg_jobs_change_54-02.png

[nascarnation]

Well Cruz finished 3rd in FL and OH so he’s quite unlikely to beat Hillary there in Nov. At least that’s my simple evaluation.

[CA Conservative]

If that is true, and if it generally carried nationwide, We'd be looking at Trump taking all of Romney's states from 2012, plus Iowa, Colorado, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Virginia, New Hampshire, Florida, and Nevada in November.

Talk about living in a fantasy world. Because Trump does a little bit better in his HOME STATE against a very weak Dem candidate than the last 2 GOP presidents did in a state that was NOT their home state against a STRONGER Dem candidate, you somehow think he could translate that advantage across the country? I think we are being a bit delusional.

[WashingtonSource]

How trustworthy is an Emerson College poll?

[ifinnegan]

Good write up.

I don’t disagree.

[erkelly]

Are you paying any attention whatsoever to Trump’s position papers or his stated positions on anything?

[Lurking Libertarian]

Reagan did it in 1984.

New York State was about 70% non-Hispanic white in 1984; today it's about 55%.

[alstewartfan]

What a shock. Remove the sleaze factor as an issue from the campaign, and voila, Rotten wins!

[central_va]

I pray I’m wrong.

You are.

[Dr. Sivana]

I am a Cruz supporter. I am also originally from Connecticut and have spent plenty of time in both NYC and upstate NY.

Both polls are likely off, by a lot. Trump will win the Republican primary handily, but not by 50+ points.

More importantly, HRC will have to fight for NY and still might lose it.

We are looking at lower minority turnout this year, but stronger turnout among the blue collar folks in Armonk, Buffalo and Rochester that have lost so many operations. These areas are more like Ohio or the middle of Pennsylvania than NYC.

I know nothing of Emerson’s poling history. I would be suspicious of their modeling.

If Trump’s 25% take of the black vote holds, it’s game over in NY state.

[House Atreides]

I pray I’m wrong.
................................
You are.
****************************************************************
Wow, Trump’s supporters can now answer prayers in His name.
Perhaps Trump (Blessed is his name) really is a messiah.

[central_va]

I see the new meme form the squish Establishment types. As soon as Trump seals the nomination it will be “Trump can’t beat Hillary” 7/24 all day long.

[Yashcheritsiy]

Well, numbers are numbers, whether you like what they suggest or not. You’re entitled to your own opinions, but not your own facts.

[ZULU]

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=389x8890774

LIBERAL university Emerson.

[Sarah Barracuda]

So Cruz can’t beat her either..what we need is a Trump/Cruz ticket, I know I know will never happen but hey nothing wrong with dreaming

[Seruzawa]

Wasn’t Carter something like 30 or 40 points up back then? LOL!

[mkjessup]

Wasn’t Carter something like 30 or 40 points up back then? LOL!

Indeed he was, Carter was considered to be a lock for re-election, especially if Reagan was the GOP nominee, of course some sage upthread was quick to remind everyone that the America of 1980 is no more, but if that were true, Trump's 'Make America Great Again' mantra would not be resonating like it is ...