Posted on 02/20/2016 8:55:29 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
Trump isn’t a serious candidate.
Cruz did not win a single county or delegate in SC tonight. His performance was an utter disaster. His much ballyhooed "ground game" got no traction whatsoever. This was a state heavy with the "evangelicals" that was to have been Cruz's to lose. Cruz underperformed badly. Huge disappointment.
Rubio may have won a county or two but will likely have zero delegates to show for it.
Trump will likely landslide Nevada Tuesday night and add another 30 delegates to his total.
Then we have Super Tuesday on March 1. Other than Texas, Trump should cruise. He could easily pick up 600 delegates that night - even if he doesn't win Texas.
Barring disaster, Trump will be our nominee and our next president. I don't believe there is any example where somebody won NH and SC and did not also win the nomination.
Pure Brookings gobbledegook.
A thousand words to say a lot of nothing.
Is Trump assured of the nomination? Of course not.
Brookings primates need not blow strings upon strings of garbled polispeak to get that point across.
1980: Ronald Reagan won with 55%, defeating runner-up John Connally.
1984: Uncontested (Reagan was the incumbent president and was re-nominated).
1988: George H. W. Bush won with 49%, defeating runner-up Bob Dole.
1992: George H. W. Bush won with 67%, defeating runner-up Pat Buchanan.
1996: Bob Dole won with 45%, defeating runner-up Pat Buchanan.
2000: George W. Bush won with 53%, defeating runner-up John McCain.
2004: Uncontested (Bush was the incumbent president and was re-nominated).
2008: John McCain won with 33%, defeating runner-up Mike Huckabee.
2012: Newt Gingrich won with 40%, defeating runner-up Mitt Romney.
2016: Donald Trump won with 33%, defeating runner-up Marco Rubio.
What do we see here?
Will my laughter suffice ?
Denial is the first stage.
Go out and make your fortune if you feel that way. It’s yours for the taking.
Today’s primary belies this analysis.
Trump got 33% but in the proportional allocation gets at least 88% of the delegates.
GOPe has got to be getting worried about now.
We’ll see what disasters Barry Dunham will bring by November.
Well, I AM on the nut-job conspiracy ping list, so.......
Well of course SC does not mean Trump will be the nominee but it gives him a good head of steam going into NV on Tuesday where he’s going to win big and we all know it.
Then March 1st is the SEC. So Trump blows into the SEC with 3 wins under his belt and a possible endorsement from Jeff Sessions of Alabama. After the SEC its going to be hard to keep arguing that Trump is not going to win.
The thrust of this article is that many states have proportional delegates. If Rubio and Cruz hang in there and make it 3-person race for the long run then they may be able to make it tough for Trump to ‘clinch’ nomination. Then it goes go the convention and possible super delegates and the GOP Establishment using power play to pick most likely Rubio in the smoke fill rooms even though Trump would have a plurality of delegates. Right there is where chaos will reign. A most likely GOP Presidential win in 2016 will turn into a loss as conservative voters, even those that don’t like Trump will be outrage and refuse to vote or protest vehemently
It is strictly against the law for U.S. citizens to bet on elections. Do you live elsewhere?
There’s a tower in Las Vegas that has huge letters at the top which spell TRUMP. He employs hundreds of people there. He has the momentum now. It’s over.
But the South Carolina primary started in 1980, its not like it has gone back 100 years like the New Hampshire primary has. It will be over within 30 days.
“This is not a post to bash Donald Trump.”
When a man says, “It’s not the money, it’s the principle of the thing.” you can be damned sure it’s the money.
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