Posted on 02/02/2016 5:56:10 AM PST by Red Steel
Well, there are a couple of things different in NH. I don’t think they have same day registration (Dems changed to Pubs last night to vote against Trump) and voters don’t get in a room where people can canvass to change their minds (Cruz saying Carson dropped out)
Trump should be much more solid in every state but Iowa.
There are more assumptions and rank speculation in your post than an epsdode of “Ancient Aliens” on History channel.
But Jeb is not doing well.
Grassroots Matter.
Amen brutha!
Cruz had 12,000 people on the ground, and spend 26 times what Trump did. Trump is a businessman and values his own money. Cruz spends other people’s money like it’s nothing. Look for Trump to spend more in NH and SC.
Someone really needs to tell Trump that polls are not actual votes. He really may not understand that.
NH is a ministate in the liberal northeast... it’s definitely Trump territory. If Cruz can hold the difference to around 10%, that’s a victory in itself.
Plus, NH has a lot of liberal Republicans and Trump does well with liberals.
Not sure why you think NH is so important? It only has 23 total delegates compared to 30 for Iowa and all of those delegates are awarded on a proportional basis. Unfortunately, NH is so liberal compared to the rest of U.S. that Rubio, Bush, and Kasich are polling much better in NH than in most places. So, best case scenario, Trump may win NH, but even if he wins in a landslide, Trump will only win a handful of delegates due to the high number of candidates that will still do well enough to receive at least some proportional delegates.
Besides, NH is a joke because no Republican will win NH in the general election and there isn’t enough delegates at stake in NH. Cruz would be smarter to just skip NH and spend his time in SC and super Tuesday States where Cruz can easily beat Trump.
“Cruz had 12,000 people on the ground”
Sounds like Cruz was a lot more organized and actually understood the dynamics of the area. I’d rather have that kind of President than a loudmouthed Trump that constantly touts that he is self-funded, but then always whines about having to spend his own money and whines about not receiving enough praise for self funding. Trump is a big boy and made his own decision so he needs to stop crying about it all the time.
Sure. Trump is beating Cruz by 18% in South Carolina.
Someone needs to tell Cruz or his Cruzies that winning in Iowa is not winning in the other states.
But if any of Kasich/Bush/Christie, etc. beat Rubio, then they'll probably stay in the race for longer. Jeb probably stays in any case. And that will divide the votes of the establishment candidates for longer, and make it more likely that Trump or Cruz wins.
At least, that's how I see it.
“Trump is beating Cruz by 18% in South Carolina.”
Which means that it is either very close in SC or Cruz is winning since Trump seems to under perform his poll numbers by 10-20%.!!
Remember, Trump was polling ahead of Cruz in Iowa and yet he barely even beat Rubio. One poll Trump supporters used over and over on FR even had Trump at 13% over Cruz in Iowa. Too bad you can’t see that all of Trump’s poll numbers are way over inflated, just like his ego.
Iowa is not SC, NH, or NV. Cruz camped out in Iowa and Trump came damn close at taking the state away from him. If wasn’t for Rubio winning Polk, Dallas, and Story counties, Cruzie would not have won. Cruz should send a bouquet of roses to his Iowa buddy Rubio who let him him the door to win Iowa.
And enjoy Cruz’s 3.34% margin win in Iowa while it lasts because it won’t last long.
Woo hoo!
Trump it all!
Trump was at 31% in Iowa the night before. 17 above Rubio. 7 above Cruz.
Why even bother voting?
“Cruzie would not have won”
Hahahah...nice spin, but so very wrong! It is wasn’t for Rubio, Cruz would have beat Trump in a historic landslide. As is, Trump barely came in second. Trump was much closer to falling to third place than touching Cruz in first place. Only Trumpanzees could spin it any other way.
I will enjoy this YUUUGE victory, which will soon be followed by many more, including a landslide win for Cruz in Texas!! Trump can have his 2-6 delegates in NH victory. LOL!
This is already outdated since the Iowa results have intervened - watch the trend when the post caucus polls come out...
It’s on the money. ...Only seven days left where Cruz goes down in New Hampshire followed quickly by Cruz losing in South Carolina and Nevada.
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