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Poll: 20% of Dems would defect for Trump
The Hill ^ | 01/09/16 | Sarah Ferris

Posted on 01/11/2016 1:02:30 PM PST by presidio9

About 20 percent of likely Democratic voters say they would buck the party and vote for Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump in a general election, according to a new poll.

The willingness of some Democrats to change sides could be a major problem for Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton this fall.

The new figures were released by Mercury Analytics, a research company with clients that include MSNBC and Fox News, as the result of an online poll and dial-test of Trump's first campaign ad.

A smaller number of Republicans say they’d vote for Clinton - about 14 percent.

Ron Howard, the company's CEO and a Democrat, said he expected Trump’s first campaign ad to have "little impact - or in fact negative impact" on Democrats and independents. But the ad actually resonated with Democrats more than he expected.

About one-quarter of Democrats said they "agree completely" that the ad raises good points, with another 19 percent agreeing at least "somewhat."

"The challenge to Hillary, if Trump is the nominee and pivots to the center in the general election as a problem-solving, independent-minded, successful 'get it done' businessman is that Democrats will no longer be able to count on his personality and outrageous sound bites to disqualify him in the voters' minds," Howard said, according to U.S. News & World Report.

The company surveyed about 916 likely voters this week. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percent.


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Arkansas; US: New York
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; arkansas; demsfortrump; elections; hillary; hillaryclinton; hitlery; immigration; newyork; polls; swingvote; trump; trumpwasright
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1 posted on 01/11/2016 1:02:30 PM PST by presidio9
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To: presidio9

There's something over a lake in Iowa.

It's TRUMPNADO!!!!

Iowans suddenly feel the urge to surge!

2 posted on 01/11/2016 1:02:42 PM PST by DoughtyOne ((It's beginning to look like "Morning in America" again. Comment on YouTube under Trump Free Ride.))
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To: presidio9

6%


3 posted on 01/11/2016 1:04:19 PM PST by TornadoAlley3 (Obama is everything Oklahoma is not.)
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To: DoughtyOne

Wait until millions of Independents who’ve had 20 year belly full of D.C. kicks in.


4 posted on 01/11/2016 1:04:55 PM PST by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: presidio9

I do not believe in polls. They are the LEAST valid and reliable of all the ways to get information/truth from people.


5 posted on 01/11/2016 1:07:00 PM PST by cloudmountain
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To: presidio9

Remember The Reagan Democrats Ping


6 posted on 01/11/2016 1:07:55 PM PST by samtheman (Elect Trump, Build Wall.)
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To: presidio9

New Dem theme song; I Will Follow Him!


7 posted on 01/11/2016 1:09:39 PM PST by lee martell
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To: presidio9

Yet Rubio and Cruz outperform Trump in head-to-head matchups with Hillary.


8 posted on 01/11/2016 1:10:49 PM PST by St_Thomas_Aquinas
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To: presidio9

Or not. Maybe they just want to say that in order to mess with the Republican primary. My aunt is big on doing exactly that, so I know some do it.


9 posted on 01/11/2016 1:12:33 PM PST by The Ghost of FReepers Past (Woe unto them that call evil good, and good evil; that put darkness for light..... Isaiah 5:20)
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To: presidio9


The Crewz ground game in Iowa / The Trump ground game in Iowa
10 posted on 01/11/2016 1:13:25 PM PST by DoughtyOne ((It's beginning to look like "Morning in America" again. Comment on YouTube under Trump Free Ride.))
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To: presidio9

If Trump got 10% of the Democrat vote game over. 20%? A landslide like we’ve never seen before.


11 posted on 01/11/2016 1:13:50 PM PST by Hugin ("First thing--get yourself a firearm!" Sheriff Ed Galt, Last Man Standing.)
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To: cloudmountain

Kim Davis changed her party affiliation. I expect many more like her to follow. In fact, if Trump wins it will be because of white Democrat voters who cross the aisle because their party no longer represents their views.


12 posted on 01/11/2016 1:13:51 PM PST by punknpuss
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To: presidio9

How many Republicans will defect instead of voting for Trump? Do the numbers offset?


13 posted on 01/11/2016 1:16:09 PM PST by DoodleDawg
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To: presidio9

Impossible, Carl Rove, the Architect, the all knowing white board, spend $400M on super Pac losers, says Trump would mean the end of majorities in the House and Senate.... (/s)


14 posted on 01/11/2016 1:16:29 PM PST by 11th Commandment ("THOSE WHO TIRE LOSE")
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To: punknpuss
Kim Davis changed her party affiliation. I expect many more like her to follow.

I didn't know that, but I would be shocked if Donald Trump is the first Republican she ever votes for.

15 posted on 01/11/2016 1:16:35 PM PST by presidio9 (Islam is as Islam does.)
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To: dragnet2

Thaaaaat’s right.


16 posted on 01/11/2016 1:16:50 PM PST by DoughtyOne ((It's beginning to look like "Morning in America" again. Comment on YouTube under Trump Free Ride.))
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To: St_Thomas_Aquinas

Which isn’t so and I can prove it!


17 posted on 01/11/2016 1:18:14 PM PST by nopardons
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To: DoodleDawg; TornadoAlley3; The Ghost of FReepers Past
How many Republicans will defect instead of voting for Trump? Do the numbers offset?

A smaller number of Republicans say they’d vote for Clinton - about 14 percent

That would be 6%.

I'm guessing this poll has a +/- of about 5%.

I'm also guessing that, as someone already mentioned here, some percentage of these Democrats are lying.

I mainly posted this to see how carried away some FReepers here would get with the news.

One of them is now speculating that Trump could win in a landslide if he gets 20% of the Democrat vote.

18 posted on 01/11/2016 1:21:52 PM PST by presidio9 (Islam is as Islam does.)
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To: dragnet2; DoughtyOne

“ait until millions of Independents who’ve had 20 year belly full of D.C. kicks in.”

Most registered I’s that I know are conservative, and HATE the GOPe. Must be just a coincidence......


19 posted on 01/11/2016 1:21:58 PM PST by stephenjohnbanker (My Batting Average( 1,000) since Nov 2014 (GOPe is that easy to read))
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To: Hugin
If Trump got 10% of the Democrat vote game over. 20%? A landslide like we’ve never seen before.

Something that isn't addressed by these polls is how many dems have bought guns to protect themselves and their family in the last 3 years.

Does any sober person think that those people are going to vote for a rat like Clintoon, who hates guns and gun owners.

20 posted on 01/11/2016 1:22:57 PM PST by Grampa Dave (Trump is kicking the ass of the GOPe/RINOs/the media. Don't like him? He must be kicking YOUR ass!!!)
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