Standing next to Trump in the debate didn't hurt him either. And there are still two more debates in January when the more apolitical people will start paying attention.
Posted on 12/20/2015 7:42:33 AM PST by VinL
Donald Trump, the national front-runner, keeps his big lead in two of the three early states of New Hampshire and South Carolina, but now Texas Sen. Ted Cruz has moved past Trump into a lead of his own in Iowa.
Florida Sen. Marco Rubio remains in double digits in New Hampshire and South Carolina, and Governor Chris Christie has now shown upward movement in New Hampshire, doubling his support there in the last month.
The backdrop to all this is a mood of anxiety - both economic and personal security - pervading the GOP electorate in these early states. Nine in ten in all states feel the country is now a more dangerous and insecure place, including 95 percent of Iowa GOP voters who say that, and nine in ten feel the nation's economic system is one that hurts them instead of benefits them. Terrorism and national security are now specifically front-and-center on primary voters' minds: in Iowa, 61 percent say it is their top decision-making criteria for candidates, ahead of the economy; in New Hampshire, 66 percent cite terrorism and security ahead of 28 percent on the economy.
horseracegopiadecember.jpg
(Excerpt) Read more at cbsnews.com ...
Trump/Cruz 2016
“then the game resets.”
LOL. Ask Santorum if there was a reset for him. He finished fourth in NH, third in SC, third in FL..
Sounds like Cruz may be well ahead of the ground game in NH.
If he finishes no lower than 2nd in NH, he’ll be the nominee.
Prepare for another day of in your face arrogance from the Cruz crew on here.
+/- 7% on Iowa and NH and +/- 6% on SC. Polls are essentially useless except as broad indicators at the moment.
If he finishes no lower than 2nd in NH, he’ll be the nominee."
Cruz's meticulous plans are only beginning to pay off, I believe.
Rubio has a cheesy smile. Sorry, but that says something.
Oh Yeh Cruz has a good ground game in the other early states just no votes. He may well take Iowa and that’s fine but Trump is going to run the rest of the table. I think Trump just wants to make sure he at least comes in number 2 in Iowa so he steamrolls on to NH and SC then FL then the SEC.
Standing next to Trump in the debate didn't hurt him either. And there are still two more debates in January when the more apolitical people will start paying attention.
Most people supporting Cruz today were supporting Carson 2 weeks ago. These are the flavor of the month voters who keep jumping from one candidate to the next. I suspect that Cruz will do much worse than the polls are showing now. In the first sign of trouble the fickle voters will dump him.
You keep running this false analogy.
Santorum NEVER had $50 Million in the bank.
Big Difference.
This poll reveals some interesting things:
(1) Carson’s slide is still going. I don’t think he’s fallen to 6% yet, but I think that’s the floor for him.
(2) Bush lost voters at the expense of Trump! (Yes, the poll confirms that Jeb Bush voters in IA are voting for Trump)
(3) Cruz can still make up more points if Rand, Santorum, Huckabee, or Paul leave the race, and it’s looking more likely that he’s going to win by DOUBLE DIGITS.
(4) Rubio is locked at 12% which is the normal floor for the Establishment pick, but he’s not picking up Bush and Christie supporters. Those people seem to have gone to Trump.
My guess of what would happen if the IA Caucus was today:
Cruz: 42%
Trump: 26%
Rubio: 11%
Carson: 5%
Christie: 4%
Bush: 3%
Paul: 3%
Huckabee: 2%
Santorum: 1%
Fiorina: 1%
Kasich, Graham, Pataki <1%
I don’t think the Donald can stomach a 16 point loss in IA, but that appears to be what’s going to happen if the Caucus were today.
1 Feb may be another story, but this is what it looks like right now.
I’ve read 2 articles,-one NYT, along these lines. His organization in all states is state of the art, others not nearly so by comparison.
I would not be shocked to see Rubio come in 2nd behind Trump.
The GOPE has had Cruz in a corner for the past few days. There plan is to damage him early and give some momentum to Marco.
With a margin of error of 7% this poll is useless.
PPP just released a poll that has Trump ahead in Iowa:
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_IA_121515.pdf
He knows elections and election law so he doesn’t have to rely on others for strategy. His people mostly do legwork.
“Santorum NEVER had $50 Million in the bank.”
The Full Story On Santorum’s “Billionaire” Backer Foster Friess
Cruz is owned by a different Billionaire. Money is not an issue for any of them
LoL they had to have a poll with an MOE of 7%? LoL.
Cruz is not winning SC or Georgia. Then on to Florida where it’ll be a fight between him and Trump.
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