Posted on 10/27/2015 9:28:09 AM PDT by BlackFemaleArmyColonel
Just this morning I saw a post with poll numbers that were just the opposite. At this point, it is still very early, but Hussein 0bama may be helping Trump out by stirring up sh*t with the chicoms - try to imagine Carson going eyeball to eyeball with the chicoms, the NORKS, Vlad Putin, etc. Now imagine Trump doing the same. Which one do you think will be carrying Teddy Roosevelt's "Big Stick".
I thought you were supposed to use the source headline. (Put your bangs in parens.)
Isaiah 54:17...”No weapon that is formed against me shall prosper...
I didn’t raise me tongue against thee. I reminded you of long-standing FR posting rules.
What are you rambling about???
Leave me alone.
I honestly have no idea how skewed or straight this poll might be.
I commented on the reported poll category, registered voters, and the MOE, 3%.
I personally prefer likely voters to registered voters to establish confidence.
The sample size is decent, approaching 1000, and the calculated MOE is reasonable but not great
I’m sorry you think this is a fake poll, i have zero information other than what was reported to either confirm or refute your position.
I try not to let my preferences skew my opinion of a particular poll’s validity.
I find it interesting that Dr. Carson has so much reported support, simply because I dont personally know a single Carson supprter. But my anecdotal circle of friends and family means nothing to either national polls or Iowa. And I dont claim polls showing him with support are fake.
What information do you have, other than your distaste for robocall polls, that this poll is not just flawed but in fact a fabrication? If you know something I don’t, please elaborate.
The only poll you are going to hear about this week on TV is that insane ABC poll showing Carson leading Trump by 6 pts. Yeh that’s the ticket. :-)
“So tell me, how do you differentiate between registered and “lilkely” GOP voters?”
They ask the respondents stuff like who they voted for in the last two elections or did you vote in the last two elections. Stuff like that. Anybody that voted in 2008 and 2012 is a likely voter.
Yep. That’s the only one they will use all week and at the debate.
Hi! I’m Wendell Wilkie, the man nominated for President at the 1940 GOP convention, despite the fact I was a businessman who had never held political office before. You called?”
“Why yes sir and I’d like you to meet these three very experienced form GOP candidates Mr. Romney Mr. McCain and of course the very very experienced Mr Dole.”
“They ask the respondents stuff like who they voted for in the last two elections or did you vote in the last two elections. Stuff like that. Anybody that voted in 2008 and 2012 is a likely voter.”
I understand that, but it’s still anecdotal, because you don’t know whether or not they’re really going to vote, or not!~
Well yes you have to more or less take people at their word. Most people tell the truth believe it or not.
“Most people tell the truth believe it or not.”
If that were really true, Barak Obama would not have been elected president either time.
I’m talking about in polls. Most people do tell the truth unless its a question that if they answered truthfully it might make they look bad in the pollster’s eyes. Hence the Bradley effect.
BTTT
Bump
Wow! What poll is this???
Don’t worry.
Dr. Carson is not going to be elected President. He seems like a good guy, he’s being used to get at Trump.
The only way Trump loses here is if he overreacts and is mean to a nice man. Unfortunately, this design appears to perceive Trump’s weaknesses around his ego and his thin skin.
Might work. Hopefully not.
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