Posted on 10/15/2015 5:57:43 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
The general consensus after Hillary Clinton's polished performance in the first Democratic presidential debate is that Joe Biden squandered the excitement about his potential run, and would face a difficult political path if he disrupted what's shaping up to be a strong Democratic primary.
Biden's already months behind in fundraising, and as FiveThirtyEight notes, candidates who make a late entry into the race don't necessarily get a bounce in the polls. But politics aside, is it even technically possible for Biden to declare his candidacy at this point?
The vice-president has yet to miss any crucial deadlines, but within a few weeks, his path to the nomination will go from challenging to extremely implausible — and he knows it. His staff reportedly met with the Democratic National Committee last week to go over the complicated rules for entering each state's primary, and last month Biden told the Catholic magazine America, "It's just not there yet and it may not get there in time to make it feasible to be able to run and succeed, because there are certain windows that will close." Here's the time line Biden's facing.
NOVEMBER
Missing the second Democratic debate on November 14 would send a bad message, but there are also several important filing deadlines next month. For those not up on the intricacies of the nominating process, basically the primaries determine how many delegates are allotted to each candidate. They're awarded proportionally based on total votes by district, so a candidate can pick up delegates even if they don't win the primary. About 4,800 delegates will vote at the Democratic convention in July, so a candidate will need around 2,400 delegates to secure the nomination.
(Excerpt) Read more at nymag.com ...
LOL, Hillary’s whisperings...
Trump/Biden 2016
Actually, if Biden enters the race, Elizabeth “Fauxcahontas/Lieawatha” Warren will be his VP running mate.
I doubt it. She isn’t going to run at all.
What happens to Hillary’s delegates when she’s indicted?
Not likely. Any old white Dem needs a younger black or hispanic sidekick to “inspire” the ‘hood voters to turn out. Think Cory Booker, DeVal Patrick, or Julian Castro.
The community organizers will be “wink-winking” about the age and health of the top of the ticket.
Hillary looked pretty good in the “debate”.
Not by FR standards but by Democrat voter standards.
That certainly didn’t produce any widespread calls for SlowJoe to jump in and save the party.
(BTW, Hillary’s pre-debate Botox / makeup session crew should win some type of Emmy award - they transformed her into almost a human being)
He’s not entering the race. It’s a charade for g*d knows what reason.
The late Joe Biden will make endless references to the late Beau Biden.
They will bend the rules if Hillary is forced to “decide” to drop out.
Just turned radio on to John Batchelor.
Fellow was saying that if the case against Hillary became more evident, DNC could nominate Biden by acclaimation at their convention.
Back channel whispers coming to the forefront.
Is the question how late term can the democrats abort hillary?
Frank Lautenberg was substituted in a New Jersey election when the Democrats figured out they were going to lose the senate seat with only 33 days left to the election in 2002. They even printed up new ballots, just to make it “fair”.
DK
Not only did the Democrats substitute Lautenberg, but the New Jersey courts went along with it, despite clear language prohibiting it.
You're probably right. Both have national name recognition. The establishment dem's like Biden. And the radical dem's LOVE Warren. It would be a very good pairing, from the Democratic point of view.
Bill Clinton entered the race in October (mid October IIRC) of ‘92. LBJ withdrew in March ‘64.
If Hillary tanks, they could put Joe in at the last minute like they did in the NJ and Minn. Senate races.
Biden is just stalling until Obama jumps into the race
He who hesitates is lost.
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