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CNN poll: Hillary leads five top Republican contenders — by double digits
Hotair ^ | 03/18/2015 | AllahPundit

Posted on 03/18/2015 11:23:17 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Gotta agree with Bill Kristol on this. Not good, especially when you consider that the poll was taken within the last week, with media coverage of her e-mail corruption peaking.

This is way early, all adults, etc–but GOP should worry about these numbers Poll: Hillary Clinton still tops in 2016 http://t.co/WW7JrqlLsV

— Bill Kristol (@BillKristol) March 18, 2015

You’ll be hearing this a lot more over the next 20 months (eeyores gonna eeyore), but here’s the inaugural version of the 2016 campaign: Dude, I’m nervous.

But none of the top candidates in this field gets within 10 points of Hillary Clinton in a series of hypothetical general election matchups.

Rand Paul comes closest, with 43% saying they’d be more likely to back him while 54% choose Clinton. The two candidates who currently top the GOP field, Bush and Walker, match up equally against Clinton, with each carrying 40% to her 55%. Huckabee gets 41% to Clinton’s 55% and Carson has 40% to Clinton’s 56%…

On the Republican side, Bush leads the pack with 16%, Walker follows at 13%, Paul nearly matches him at 12% and Huckabee holds 10% support. Huckabee’s backing has dipped significantly since February, from 16% to 10%, while the others near the top have generally held steady. In single digits, Carson holds 9%, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie has 7%, and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio has 7%. The rest of the field lands below 5%, including 2012 candidates Rick Santorum at 1% and Rick Perry at 4%.

“But AP,” you say, “head-to-head polls this early are useless. The Republican contenders are total unknowns to swing voters.” Right, but Hillary isn’t. She’s as close as you get in American politics to 100 percent name recognition. Everyone knows her and everyone has an opinion about her, which means that early polls like this one tend to operate as a measure of her “job approval” (for lack of a better term). Essentially, low-information voters are being asked here whether they prefer Hillary Clinton, baggage and all, or a Republican to be named later as their next president. Upwards of 55 percent prefer Hillary. She’s entering the race as acceptable to a sizable majority of the public, even in the midst of a legit scandal about her attempts to conceal records from the federal government. That’s what the GOP is up against as this campaign begins. Gulp.

Here’s how she polls against the other dynasty case in the race, the only Republican with a fairly strong “brand.” Which number jumps out?

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Actually, two numbers jump out at me. One is her lead among non-whites, a group with whom Jeb’s supposed to be a bit more competitive than the average Republican due to his support for amnesty and Latino family ties. At 14/85, he actually does a few points worse than Chris Christie, Marco Rubio, and Rand Paul do. But the big number, of course, is the gender split. Hillary leads Jeb by seven points among men but by 21 points(!) among women. And believe it or not, that’s the closest any Republican gets to her among that group. Women prefer her to Rubio by 22 points, to Christie and Mike Huckabee by 24 points, to Scott Walker by 27 points, and to Rand Paul by 28 points. (Although Paul is the Republican who’s most competitive with Hillary overall, his outreach to young adults and minorities hasn’t paid off with numbers appreciably greater within those groups than some of his rivals’.) Male voters trend Republican so they’ll likely end up tilting GOP as the race sharpens, but “tilting” won’t be good enough given Hillary’s huge advantage among women. The Republican nominee will have to win men in a landslide and/or somehow knock 10 points or so off of Hillary’s female base. How do you do that?

There may be only one hope, my friends. To stop this freight train, we need a hero to derail it before it gets going. And luckily, for us and for America, that hero is out there.


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016; 2016electionpoll; cnnpoll; hillary; hillary2016; hillaryemailgate; miraclewhip; reoublicans; washedupoldhag
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1 posted on 03/18/2015 11:23:17 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

2 posted on 03/18/2015 11:24:24 AM PDT by Paine in the Neck (Socialism consumes EVERYTHING)
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To: SeekAndFind
Meh, Jennifer Agiesta.


Funny how she excluded Ted Cruz, isn't it?
3 posted on 03/18/2015 11:25:56 AM PDT by Olog-hai
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To: SeekAndFind

Interesting.. maybe the country doesn’t care how corrupt and evil she is, after all. It’s all about the lady parts after all, I guess.


4 posted on 03/18/2015 11:26:54 AM PDT by ScottinVA (GOP = Geldings Obama Possesses)
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To: SeekAndFind

CNN said Netanyahu was going to lose, too.


5 posted on 03/18/2015 11:27:10 AM PDT by Talisker (One who commands, must obey.)
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To: SeekAndFind

This poll is the example of what low informational voters remember or KNOW about our laws/responsibilities of governmental officials/constitution.


6 posted on 03/18/2015 11:27:55 AM PDT by Paul46360 (..)
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To: SeekAndFind

Oh I see ,they just replaced Chris Christie with Jeb Bush ,so are these very old Polls ?


7 posted on 03/18/2015 11:28:02 AM PDT by molson209 (Blank)
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To: Olog-hai

I think CNN did the poll and excluded him. Wouldn’t trust a CNN poll for anything anyway.


8 posted on 03/18/2015 11:28:14 AM PDT by Boogieman
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To: SeekAndFind
My azz!

Probably the same pollsters that had Bibi "way behind" last week.

9 posted on 03/18/2015 11:28:22 AM PDT by skimbell
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To: Olog-hai

Cruz is opposed by 40% of republican voters in the poll from WSJ. That does not look good for his chances in general election.


10 posted on 03/18/2015 11:28:34 AM PDT by entropy12 (Real function of economists is to make astrologers look respectable.)
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To: Talisker

There are a lot more “non-white” voters in the US than Arabs in Israel.


11 posted on 03/18/2015 11:29:15 AM PDT by Wayne07
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To: SeekAndFind
 photo badhairday_zpsymibxtbe.jpg Oh yeah well you just wait until THIS guy enters the race
12 posted on 03/18/2015 11:29:39 AM PDT by RetSignman (Obama is the walking, talking middle finger in the face of America)
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To: SeekAndFind

I still fail to understand the fascination with that woman. Media driven cult of personality?


13 posted on 03/18/2015 11:30:16 AM PDT by bk1000 (A clear conscience is a sure sign of a poor memory)
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To: SeekAndFind

Yea right just like Bibi was going to lose.


14 posted on 03/18/2015 11:30:17 AM PDT by angcat
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To: Talisker

Exactly.

I hope they pick Hillary. She’s a terrible candidate. A habitual liar, old, obnoxious. She won’t turn out the base voters.


15 posted on 03/18/2015 11:31:07 AM PDT by TigerClaws
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To: SeekAndFind

I was shocked to hear CNN still exists.


16 posted on 03/18/2015 11:31:20 AM PDT by Veggie Todd (The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants. TJ)
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To: SeekAndFind

I notice that they didn’t even bother mentioning Cruz, which makes the polling nothing more than name recognition.

Once the likely voters start to hear Hillary talk, she will tank. If we can nominate a true Constitutional Conservative, he/she will wipe the floor with her.


17 posted on 03/18/2015 11:31:36 AM PDT by CSM
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To: SeekAndFind

CNN... COMMUNIST NEWS NETWORK


18 posted on 03/18/2015 11:31:53 AM PDT by baddog 219
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To: SeekAndFind

This is why Netanyahu lost the election.
The reliability of polls


19 posted on 03/18/2015 11:31:55 AM PDT by struggle
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To: bk1000

It has to be the name. There are plenty of idiots who would love to have Billy Jeff back in office.


20 posted on 03/18/2015 11:32:30 AM PDT by mothball
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