Posted on 02/16/2015 10:02:06 AM PST by NRx
The Conservatives have opened up a four-point lead over Labour after the biggest surge in their support for two years, a poll has suggested.
A Guardian/ ICM poll showed that the Tories are six points up to 36 per cent, only one point short of their result in the 2010 General Election.
Labour support fell one point to 32 per cent, while the Liberal Democrats were also down a point to 10 per cent.
(Excerpt) Read more at telegraph.co.uk ...
Hopefully UKIP and the parties even further to the right will benefit much more.
I agree. UKIP isn’t going to win the election outright. But with a strong showing they might get enough seats in Parliament to be a necessary part of any coalition government.
UKIP might get my vote, none of the others
That's generally about the margin of error in a well run poll. Statistically, they are tied.
If Scotland would have gone independent Labour would have been toast.
It would be nice to see an outright majority go to UKIP.
If UKIP comes on strongly the more likely coalition is Conservatives/Labour which will probably make for another election at an early date.
Farage is great on the floor of the European Parliament.But recently he's made comments about Ukraine which sound far more like Chamberlain than Churchill.Kinda makes me wonder....
Separating from Europe and neutralizing the Moslems are the only things that matter in Britain right now. Everything else is trivial.
So what, they're no different than the GOPe.
The real question is; how is UKIP doing?
“If Scotland would have gone independent Labour would have been toast.”
Damn Scots they ruined Scotland!!!
Had Britain done nothing about Poland, the Soviets & Nazis would have bled each other dry and the West could have rolled in later with little casualties.
Let Ukraine deal with its own mess. Or let the EU—without the UK/US—dael with it.
Had Scotland voted for separation, Labour would have lost the small edge they’d had because of Scotland, which is a pretty small appendage of the UK in any case. The buzz for independence has faded out, but the independence party up there takes votes which would formerly have been against the Tories. The remaining votes break two-to-one for Cameron, possibly because there are so many muzzies in Scotland’s urban areas.
Not surprisingly, Nigel Farage of UKIP also editorialized back at the time against Scottish separation, knowing they’d help weaken his party’s hand in the EU, but pointing out the problems with Scottish “independence” that would have just subjugated Scotland to a much larger and less familiar assembly of despots.
https://yougov.co.uk/news/2015/02/16/scottish-voters-dent-milibands-hopes/
Can Labour ever win without Scotland?
http://www.newstatesman.com/blogs/the-staggers/2012/01/scotland-labour-majority-win
Based on which sources are saying it, I’d guess that UKIP’s supposed greater draw from the Tories will prove to be largely not true. UKIP will pull a lot of fed up Labour fence-sitters and turn a few of their seats. They’ll have something under half the
When the smoke clears, the likely coalition will be led by the Conservative Party, with the Liberal Dems as coalition members. The LDs have seemed to be in a downward spiral, but seem likely to benefit from voters fed up with both the Tories and Labour, and unwilling to vote UKIP. The LDs seem to be doing a lot of vote fishing in Wales this time around.
Farage merely talks the talk about ignoring the NeoSoviet conquest of Europe, it’s an election year. That position is also consistent with UKIP’s main reason for being, which is pulling the UK out of the EU, and getting control of immigration — two things that Putin would also love to see, but which will probably remain beyond UKIPs grasp. And forever.
The growing impact of the Polish vote (mostly no to UKIP)
http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-31442230
Brexit would be ‘disaster’ for UK and EU
http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/brexit-would-be-disaster-uk-eu-1488194
Whoops. UKIP will have something under half the number of seats of either Tories or Labour, and edge LD and Greens.
The leftist Guardian (UK):
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/feb/16/tories-up-six-points-latest-icm-opinion-poll
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/feb/16/what-icm-poll-means-for-uk-parties-election-campaign
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