Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Why Alaska's Senate Race might be closer than anyone thinks
Yahoo News ^ | October 29, 2014 | Andrew Romano

Posted on 10/31/2014 6:14:46 PM PDT by Din Maker

There's a time-honored cliche that political pundits tend to trot out whenever they're asked, usually on cable TV, to prognosticate about a race they aren't particularly familiar with: "It's going to come down to the ground game."

Most of the time, this isn't really true. Fundamentals such as party registration numbers and the state of the economy usually play a larger part in election outcomes than the campaigns' respective efforts to ensure that their voters actually vote.

But suddenly there's reason to believe that the ground game is going to matter more in this year's Alaska Senate contest between Democratic incumbent Mark Begich and Republican challenger Dan Sullivan than it has mattered in pretty much any other major race in recent memory.

In fact, what's happening on the ground in Alaska — the nitty-gritty work of identifying friendly voters in the farthest-flung corners of the Last Frontier, then turning them out on Election Day — may ultimately force the rest of us to wait well into November before we find out whether Republicans or Democrats will control the U.S. Senate in 2015.

(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Alaska
KEYWORDS: 2014election; ak; alaska; begich; dansullivan; election2014; elections; lisamurkowski; markbegich; senateraces; sullivan
In fact, what's happening on the ground in Alaska — — may ultimately force the rest of us to wait well into November before we find out whether Republicans or Democrats will control the U.S. Senate in 2015.

Oh crap! A Run-off in GA, a Run-off in LA and now this. I don't think my nerves can take having to wait forever to find out who will control the Senate.
1 posted on 10/31/2014 6:14:46 PM PDT by Din Maker
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Din Maker

‘Rats in 2016.


2 posted on 10/31/2014 6:16:48 PM PDT by Paladin2
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Paladin2

My opinion of this poll: bull.


3 posted on 10/31/2014 7:26:24 PM PDT by flaglady47 (The useful idiots always go first)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Din Maker
In past elections, the Indians voted at the library with all the White People in town. NOw all the Indians vote at their village hall in the village. You see, Indians stick together, so when the chief tells everybody he will take care of the ballots, all the Indians say fine with us. 100% dem turnout & 100% support of the dem candidates. JUst ain't enough Indians to out vote the Repub majority in Alaska, but might be close.

Dems are really working hard to get every Indian to have a ballot cast in their name; no joke. How it works up here.

4 posted on 10/31/2014 7:31:51 PM PDT by Eska
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: flaglady47

I just watched a re-run of Thursday’s Alaska Senatorial Debate on C-Span. OMG, I hate to say this, but Dan Sullivan was horrible. His answers were very scripted and very “vanilla”. It was pitiful. I hope he wins just to help get the demon-possessed Harry Reid out as SML, but Sullvan dude needs to get some fire in his belly.


5 posted on 10/31/2014 7:37:10 PM PDT by Din Maker (I've always been crazy, but, that's the only thing that's kept me from going insane.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; ...

Iy won’t be very close, Sullivan will win.


6 posted on 10/31/2014 8:18:35 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Din Maker

The popular Mitch McC, “R” of KY, has already said nothing will change if he become majority leader.


7 posted on 10/31/2014 8:23:59 PM PDT by Theodore R. (Liberals keep winning; so the American people must now be all-liberal all the time.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Eska
I notice that nobody I know up here has a decent word to say about Begich, but there is an undercurrent that says we supported him before so we'll stick with him! Even some I've schooled I'm not real sure about when it comes to a clinch.
8 posted on 10/31/2014 10:36:14 PM PDT by Redak
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Redak
Mark's dad was a Senator up here, his brother Nick gets involved in politics from time to time, political family. Nick actually would be a great Repub candidate. If Mark was a Repub he'd be in for life, and then his kids; but he's a big tax & spend liberal. Only reason he got elected is what was done to Uncle Teddy; Repubs just stayed home that election year.

Alaskans see Mark as a big dummy, but that he ain't; actually good liar/talker. Sullivan, he's the Party Guy and the good ole boy Repub network will always rule up here, in cahoots with oil industry.

I've never seen this big of a push by the dems over the last 20 years, but I still believe the Repubs will pull it out. Obama has grated Alaskans to no end and everybody knows Mark & B.O. are twins when it comes to D.C. politics, no joke.

I figured it was over for Mark back in late 90's when he got kicked out of politics over Photo Radar in Anch. I'll never forget seeing everybody shooting the cameras out at 7:30 at red lights on their way to work. JUst a couple days and we'll all know for sure.

9 posted on 10/31/2014 11:10:15 PM PDT by Eska
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Paladin2; AuH2ORepublican; fieldmarshaldj; Clintonfatigued; Din Maker

F the democrats and F their already begun propaganda war about how they’ll retake the Senate in 2016.

And F Begich Jr. and F Marxist Gubernatorial candidate Bill Walker.


10 posted on 10/31/2014 11:31:21 PM PDT by Impy (Voting democrat out of spite? Then you are America's enemy, like every other rat voter.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Din Maker

The natives are the blacks up here. They vote rat.


11 posted on 11/01/2014 12:20:18 AM PDT by vpintheak (Keep calm and Rain Steel!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: vpintheak
Actually, the vet Natives are often Repubs, I'm friends with a bunch; we live in rural community that has an Indian Village adjoining it.

Most Indians don't even get too excited about politics, but the dems got the Native corporations involved in the elections and they have each village doing their own voting at the village which means one person fills out all the ballots and every last one is now going for the dems.

100,000 Natives in Ak, total population of state is around 700-800 thousand people. The Indians have always been democrats, but now the dems are seeing to it that every last Native is voting. Never been that way in any previous elections. Up here, 10,000 votes win elections. The REpubs should pull it out, but it's closer than people think due to the dem corruption in our elections.

12 posted on 11/01/2014 6:10:55 AM PDT by Eska
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: Din Maker

There will be no runoff in Georgia (for Senate).


13 posted on 11/01/2014 6:12:24 AM PDT by Hoodat (Article 4, Section 4)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Hoodat

There will be no runoff in Georgia (for Senate).
____________________________________________________________

OK.... I hope you’re picking Perdue to win it.


14 posted on 11/01/2014 7:57:52 AM PDT by Din Maker (I've always been crazy, but, that's the only thing that's kept me from going insane.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: Din Maker

Yes, Perdue wins without a runoff. Nathan Deal does not. I also think that Republicans win in Alaska, Colorado, Arkansas, Louisiana, North Carolina, Iowa, and New Hampshire. And if the Republicans had actually put forth an effort, they would have won in Minnesota, Virginia, and New Mexico as well.


15 posted on 11/01/2014 8:01:55 AM PDT by Hoodat (Article 4, Section 4)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: Eska

Nick Begich, Sr. was a Congressman, not a Senator, and not for very long, not even a full 2-year term before he disappeared in that plane crash with Hale Boggs (for which 42 years later, have never found the remains of).


16 posted on 11/01/2014 9:02:16 AM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: fieldmarshaldj
Might be right, was before my time, we moved north in 94. Alaskans seem to like political family dynasties. Look how long Donny Young has been in office. Then the Murkowskis, even though FRank put his daughter in, she did steal the last election. Somebody in the Begich family has been in politics the entire 20 years I have called Alaska home. I've survived thrived too. You find many people come here, stay a year or two then head south with their tail between their legs; they just can't make, don't have the necessary skills, or right mindset. We've been here 20 years, out in the sticks, not in urban Ak; we ain't ever leaving.

I'm not kidding about the Indians & dems turnout this year. I use to be able to get several Indian friends to fill out absentee ballots; always a good feelin to get dems to vote for Repubs. They wouldn't do it this year. Reason was their village leaders were voting for entire village. They seem to think they will get more $$$$$ flowing to the village from FEDs and from what I see they get more from dems than when Repubs are in office.

17 posted on 11/01/2014 9:18:33 AM PDT by Eska
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 16 | View Replies]

To: Eska; Impy

The Begich thing wasn’t much of a dynasty. Nick, Sr. lucked out when the House seat opened up in 1970 when GOP Congressman Howard Pollock decided to run for Governor (but lost the primary). He was locked in a very tough battle for reelection in 1972 (one reason Majority Leader Boggs flew up to help him personally). His ‘72 opponent was Don Young. Since Begich vanished before the election, the sympathy vote carried him to a posthumous second term (but Don Young won the special election in the Spring of ‘73, and has been there for what will be nearly 42 years).

Just as a curious bit of trivia, Begich’s 1970 GOP opponent for the House seat ? None other than Frank Murkowski. It would be a decade before Frank went to DC, but as a Senator. That came about when the eccentric Mike Gravel, whom had beaten the legendary Ernest Gruening in the 1968 Dem primary, faced Gruening’s grandson Clark, who wanted to avenge his grandfather’s loss. Clark beat Gravel in the primary, but with Reagan & the anti-Dem mood of the electorate up that year (1980), Murkowski won the general.


18 posted on 11/01/2014 9:34:58 AM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson