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Poll: John Katko surges past Rep. Dan Maffei in volatile Syracuse race for Congress
Post Standard Syracuse NY ^ | 10.28.14 | Mark Weiner

Posted on 10/28/2014 4:27:55 AM PDT by Behind Liberal Lines

WASHINGTON, D.C. -- Republican John Katko has seized the momentum and surged past U.S. Rep. Dan Maffei to open up a 10-point lead in their race for Congress, according to a new poll by Syracuse.com/The Post-Standard and Siena College.

In a stunning reversal from five weeks ago when Maffei had an 8-point lead in the joint poll, Katko now leads Maffei among likely voters 52 percent to 42 percent. Only 6 percent remain undecided...

The poll of 704 likely voters in the district underscores the volatility of the race, with wild swings in the candidates' popularity. Voters were contacted by live operators on Wednesday through Friday of last week. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.7 percentage points.

The Maffei campaign immediately challenged the validity of the poll, and released its own internal poll from a week ago.

(Excerpt) Read more at syracuse.com ...


TOPICS: Government; Politics/Elections; US: New York
KEYWORDS: congress; elections; katko; maffei; waronwomen
Would love to see Katko beat Howdy Doody here, especially given Maffei's use of the war on women meme
1 posted on 10/28/2014 4:27:55 AM PDT by Behind Liberal Lines
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To: Hieronymus; VampireStateNY; governsleastgovernsbest; gaspar; NativeNewYorker; drjimmy; Atticus; ...

Upstate bump


2 posted on 10/28/2014 4:28:47 AM PDT by Behind Liberal Lines
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

That one is going to be hard to steal. Worth watching. Should be instructive just how they do it.


3 posted on 10/28/2014 4:30:29 AM PDT by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

Wow. Cuse has awoken? At least for now.


4 posted on 10/28/2014 4:46:27 AM PDT by b4its2late (A Liberal is a person who will give away everything he doesn't own.)
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

It’s news like this that makes me think this will tend more toward a tidal wave election. We’ll definitely gain House seats, contrary to Debbie Blabbermouth Schultz


5 posted on 10/28/2014 5:03:24 AM PDT by LS ('Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually.' Hendrix)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

It’s stories like this that make me think this election will tend more toward tidal wave with close races breaking GOP for a change. See the polling in NC and on the FL governor’s race, too.


6 posted on 10/28/2014 5:04:39 AM PDT by LS ('Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually.' Hendrix)
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

The President’s policy on infectious disease is the October surprise.


7 posted on 10/28/2014 5:09:33 AM PDT by stars & stripes forever (Blessed is the nation whose God is the Lord.)
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To: MacMattico

Looks like you may get your wish here.


8 posted on 10/28/2014 5:14:00 AM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: LS

Of course, districts like these are historically Republican and should be back in their hands. At the time Maffei won Jim Walsh’s open seat in 2008, he had been the first Dem to win the seat since 1978. NY is too overrepresented with Democrats, as is virtually the entirety of the northeast.


9 posted on 10/28/2014 5:18:49 AM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

This seat is a bellwether. It went D in 2008, R (barely) in 2010, back to D in 2012 and now this. This is excellent news if it holds, it means that the wave predictions might just come true.


10 posted on 10/28/2014 5:55:05 AM PDT by jalisco555 ("My 80% friend is not my 20% enemy" - Ronald Reagan)
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

I have relatives in the area.

Maffei is about as left as they come. He just might be too left for Syracuse, and that says a lot.


11 posted on 10/28/2014 6:04:24 AM PDT by kidd
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To: LS

Yes and up in Maine, LaPage pulled ahead of Michaud by 10 points over the weekend. LaPage 45, Michaud 35, and Cutler 15. My only concern is that Cutler drops out in the next day or so and throws his support to Michaud. The race then becomes much tighter.

We may pick up the District 2 congressional seat held by Michaud until now.


12 posted on 10/28/2014 6:07:40 AM PDT by Maine Mariner
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

Excellent news.


13 posted on 10/28/2014 6:40:04 AM PDT by rod1 (CTLY)
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To: Maine Mariner

“Yes and up in Maine, LaPage pulled ahead of Michaud by 10 points over the weekend. LaPage 45, Michaud 35, and Cutler 15. My only concern is that Cutler drops out in the next day or so and throws his support to Michaud. The race then becomes much tighter. We may pick up the District 2 congressional seat held by Michaud until now.”

BTTT


14 posted on 10/28/2014 6:58:05 AM PDT by SharpRightTurn (White, black, and red all over--America's affirmative action, metrosexual president.)
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

Joe Biden held an airplane hangar rally for Maffei recently. News reports said there were 500 present. TV showed only tight shots at the podium. We’re talking virtually empty hangar.

They brought in Bill Clinton the same weekend. I didn’t see the news coverage, but since that hangar “rally,” Maffei has been running the same Clinton rally video used in his losing 2012 campaign.


15 posted on 10/28/2014 12:36:52 PM PDT by ntnychik
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

Joe Biden held an airplane hangar rally for Maffei recently. News reports said there were 500 present. TV showed only tight shots at the podium. We’re talking virtually empty hangar.

They brought in Bill Clinton the same weekend. I didn’t see the news coverage, but since that hangar “rally,” Maffei has been running the same Clinton rally video used in his losing 2012 campaign.


16 posted on 10/28/2014 12:36:55 PM PDT by ntnychik
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

Re: my comment at post 15-16. Maffei, of course. Won in 2012. My point was, he’s using a two year old Clinton rally video instead of footage from a recent rally.


17 posted on 10/28/2014 12:57:39 PM PDT by ntnychik
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

Hallelujah!!!!!!!!!!!!


18 posted on 10/28/2014 1:29:15 PM PDT by metmom (...fixing our eyes on Jesus, the Author and Perfecter of our faith...)
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To: fieldmarshaldj
Yes! I just had a feeling. John Katko had no name recognition but has done a good job at getting himself known. He came to my little public library! All of the radio stations are making fun of Maffei’s totally false to the point of laughable commercials. I had to drive all around downtown Syracuse today and was surprised at all the Katko signs.

It doesn't hurt in this uninformed society that Katko is relatively good looking while Maffei is a beady-eyed weasel!

19 posted on 10/29/2014 3:24:20 AM PDT by MacMattico
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