Posted on 09/10/2014 1:48:10 PM PDT by Blackirish
Republicans may be poised for strong midterm gains, according to a new poll conducted for NBC News and the Wall Street Journal.
Republicans hold a two-point lead nationwide on which party registered voters want to see in control of Congress. That lead expands to 10 points in Senate battleground states at 50 to 40 percent in the poll, conducted by Democratic polling firm Hart Research and Republican pollster Public Opinion Strategies. "With 56 days until Election Day, our poll provides greater insight into what is likely to happen, and the news is not good for the Democrats," Democratic pollster Fred Yang writes in an accompanying memo.
President Obama is a huge drag on the party — his approval rating is down to 40 percent with 54 percent disapproving, tied for the lowest number the poll has found in his presidency.
There's also been a major shift on immigration in the last few months, according to the poll, which helps explain why Republicans have been attacking Senate Democrats for supporting "amnesty" in a number of Senate races.
Public approval for giving illegal immigrants a pathway to citizenship has narrowed to 53 to 45 percent, down from 64 to 35 percent support in April.
The live-caller poll of 1,000 registered voters, including 35 percent who only have a cellphone, was conducted from Sept. 3 to 7 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percent.
Wait until tomorrow. Obama is getting ready to screw the pooch.
With Obama at 37-38% a WAVE is very, very much likely.
I hope it’s a Tsunami.
Huh? Why I JUST SAW an article from Eugene Robinson of the Wash ComPost declare that there was NO SUCH wave. How could that be? Could he be lying?
The party? He is a drag on the NATION.
Would be nice to have Eugene’s cell phone number, give him a buzz on election night if things turn out the right way. :)
The wave looks big, even the GOPe can’t screw it up....
Democrats falling back into a man to man defense. Agreeing to debate on a constitutional amendment restricting free speech knowing that it has zero chance of passing was a genius move and leaves Reid stuttering ... Wel .. Wel .. Wel .. Well they wer .. wer .. wer .. weren’t supossed to ag .. ag .. ag .. agree.
Will it be easier or harder to capture the White house after a big 2014 win ... comments?
I hate to be cynical, but if Republicans don’t vote conservatively, any gains they make will only be temporary.
Don’t underestimate the stupidity of running on nothing.
Exactly! Two years of Boner and Chicken Neck vacillating and the RATS take over everything in 2016
In the November 2014 elections,
how will the media explain the Republican Senate gains?
If the Republicans gain 2 or 3 seats in the Senate?
- “this is a complete repudiation of conservative ideas”
If the Republicans gain the majority in the Senate?
- “just normal historical midterm gains, nothing to see here”
If the Republicans gain 8 seats?
- “they are obviously a bunch of racists”
I hate to be cynical, but if Republicans don’t vote conservatively, any gains they make will only be temporary.
++++
It is true that we are going to see mostly GOPe types elected. But a wave will sweep in some otherwise marginal Tea Party candidates as well. It’s a long process. We started our comeback in 2010. We need to take back the Senate and at least marginally expand the conservative base in 2014.
“Don’t underestimate the stupidity of running on nothing.”
That sums up 85+% of the grand old party. Mostly progressive’s.
Good post!
Analysts are predicting a 4 - 8 GOP gain in the Senate.
Here's the list of close Senate races:
This list does not include the Senate seats which are considered to be Safe for either party.
| State | Republican | Democrat |
|---|---|---|
| AK | Dan Sullivan | Mark Begich |
| AR | Tom Cotton | Mark Pryor |
| CO | Cory Gardner | Mark Udall |
| GA-OPEN | David Perdue | Michelle Nunn |
| IA-OPEN | Joni Ernst | Bruce Braley |
| IL | Jim Oberweis | Dick Durbin |
| KS | Pat Roberts | Chad Taylor |
| KY | Mitch McConnell | Alison Grimes |
| LA | Bill Cassidy | Mary Landrieu |
| MI-OPEN | Teri Lynn Land | Gary Peters |
| MN | Mike McFadden | Al Franken |
| MS | Thad Cochran | Travis Childers |
| MT-OPEN | Steve Daines | Amanda Curtis |
| NC | Thom Tillis | Kay Hagan |
| NH | Scott Brown | Jeanne Shaheen |
| NJ | Jeff Bell | Cory Booker |
| OR | Monica Wehby | Jeff Merkley |
| SD-OPEN | Mike Rounds | RIck Weiland |
| VA | Ed Gillespie | Mark Warner |
| WV-OPEN | Shelley Moore Capito | Natalie Tennant |
In Senate Battleground states GOP favorability leads by 10 points among REGISTERED voters.
That means even Minnesota could be in play. New Hampshire. Oregon?
*crickets* ... *crickets*
I haven't a clue. Does anybody else?
That list says 20 seats in play...
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