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The Primary Primer: In Tennessee, the Tea Party’s Last Stand
abc ^ | August 7, 2014 | Shushannah Walshe

Posted on 08/07/2014 4:37:35 AM PDT by don-o

Today, in Tennessee, the tea party has its last-best chance to beat an incumbent senator in a race that’s a marquee match-up with the GOP establishment. After millions of dollars, the tea party failed to topple incumbent senators in Kentucky, South Carolina, Mississippi, and most recently earlier this week in Kansas. If Tennessee Sen. Lamar Alexander beats back his tea party challenger state Rep. Joe Carr, this will be the first cycle since 2008 when no incumbent GOP Senator has lost a re-nomination fight.

snip

FiveThirtyEight’s Take: Polling Past polling in Tennessee primaries has not been terribly accurate. Errors of five points or greater occurred regularly in the 2006 senatorial primary, 2008 presidential primary, 2010 gubernatorial primary, and 2012 presidential primary. The chance for a surprising result, either a blowout or Carr winning, should not be discounted.

(Excerpt) Read more at abcnews.go.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Tennessee
KEYWORDS: beatlamar; joecarr; teaparty
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1 posted on 08/07/2014 4:37:35 AM PDT by don-o
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To: Mrs. Don-o; SoConPubbie; SharpRightTurn; noprogs; navymom1; SumProVita; tnlibertarian; garybob; ...
 photo 3224b04a-56c6-46b8-b12b-861b0a83613d.jpg


2 posted on 08/07/2014 4:38:51 AM PDT by don-o (He will not share His glory and He will NOT be mocked! Blessed be the name of the Lord forever!)
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To: don-o

These people have no comprehension.


3 posted on 08/07/2014 4:39:05 AM PDT by markomalley (Nothing emboldens the wicked so greatly as the lack of courage on the part of the good -- Leo XIII)
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To: don-o

How many last stands is it now?


4 posted on 08/07/2014 4:39:51 AM PDT by Lurker (Violence is rarely the answer. But when it is it is the only answer.)
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To: don-o

Well no. One battle does not mean the end of a war.

In a solidly Republican State that routinely turns away conservative candidates in state wide races, a loss by the Tea Party is the norm.

We continue to hope


5 posted on 08/07/2014 4:44:07 AM PDT by bert ((K.E.; N.P.; GOPc.;+12 ..... Obama is public enemy #1)
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To: markomalley

At the Joe Carr rally in Johnson City last Thursday it was related that volunteers had knocked on around 700 doors of Republican voters that day.

Carr bested Lamar! by about 100 and about 200 said they were still undecided.

I think it’s very close state wide and that 5% that Flinn is going to pull is critical.


6 posted on 08/07/2014 4:46:20 AM PDT by don-o (He will not share His glory and He will NOT be mocked! Blessed be the name of the Lord forever!)
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To: bert

We stood up against AlGore and I am predicting we will have a similar stand today.


7 posted on 08/07/2014 4:47:32 AM PDT by don-o (He will not share His glory and He will NOT be mocked! Blessed be the name of the Lord forever!)
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To: don-o; Mrs. Don-o; P-Marlowe; SoConPubbie; SharpRightTurn; noprogs; navymom1; SumProVita; ...

Lamar Alexander knows the GOP-E playbook. He has 6 opponents running against him to divide the vote. Has he (or accomplices) provided funding to make that possible? Or have they clandestinely even enlisted some of these to make this roll their way? Are these opponents so stupid as not to realize what they’re doing dividing the vote?

So, Joe Carr has a long haul tonight. I hope he makes it. Alexander is not on the side of conservatives. But, the divided vote will take its toll.


8 posted on 08/07/2014 4:49:34 AM PDT by xzins ( Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It! Those who truly support our troops pray for victory!)
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To: Lurker; All
now?
up to this point, #429..now. These "brainless primitives" (Liberals) haven't a clue.

9 posted on 08/07/2014 4:52:35 AM PDT by skinkinthegrass (The end move in politics is always to pick up a weapon...0'Mullah / "Rustler" 0'Reid? d8-)
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To: don-o
Lamar voted for the La Raza amnesty bill.


10 posted on 08/07/2014 4:52:47 AM PDT by Travis McGee (www.EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com)
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To: xzins
But, the divided vote will take its toll.

Few in East Tenn have even heard of George Flinn and his facebook page is dead. (Lamar's is full of Cerr supporters).

How Flinn is polling @5% is a mystery to me.

11 posted on 08/07/2014 4:53:17 AM PDT by don-o (He will not share His glory and He will NOT be mocked! Blessed be the name of the Lord forever!)
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To: don-o

The tea party doesn’t need to win to be effective.


12 posted on 08/07/2014 4:56:12 AM PDT by Raycpa
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To: don-o

On my way to vote now. Got to shake the hand and look in the eye of Mr. Carr this week.


13 posted on 08/07/2014 4:56:39 AM PDT by Ingtar (The NSA - "We're the only part of government who actually listens to the people.")
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To: don-o

I voted early for Carr last week :>}


14 posted on 08/07/2014 4:57:20 AM PDT by cva66snipe ((Two Choices left for U.S. One Nation Under GOD or One Nation Under Judgment? Which one say ye?))
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To: don-o

Foolish words, pre-election. The next stand could very well be in Nov. when the old GOPe fossils, who won by trashing TEA Party conservatives, go down to defeat because the maligned conservatives stayed home.

Romney isn’t president because four million conservatives stayed home in 2012. You’d think the GOPe would have learned something.


15 posted on 08/07/2014 5:03:25 AM PDT by txrefugee
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To: don-o
Monied incumbency talks and Mr. Alexander is both.

Hard to beat the unbeatable.

16 posted on 08/07/2014 5:07:38 AM PDT by urbanpovertylawcenter (the law and poverty collide in an urban setting and sparks fly)
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To: don-o

If you look at the percentages of people voting AGAINST the RINO incumbent LAST election and compare it to this time, I think there will be an increase in opposition. The conservatives are making progress in a relatively short time.

Maybe Tennessee conservatives will come through today.


17 posted on 08/07/2014 5:42:58 AM PDT by jch10 (WHAT DO YOU EXPECT FROM THE COYOTE IN CHIEF?)
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To: don-o

Wait, I thought the TEA Party’s last stand was in Kansas this past Tuesday.


18 posted on 08/07/2014 5:44:23 AM PDT by Arm_Bears (Rope. Tree. Politician. Some assembly required.)
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To: urbanpovertylawcenter
Monied incumbency talks

Examples:

$56k for facebook;
$60k for Google
$477k for "consulting"
$125k for research / polling
$938k for media buys (through early July)

19 posted on 08/07/2014 5:56:46 AM PDT by don-o (He will not share His glory and He will NOT be mocked! Blessed be the name of the Lord forever!)
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To: don-o

No way to vote. Would someone in Shelby County do it for me? Dems do it all of the time. This is not a joke!


20 posted on 08/07/2014 6:14:02 AM PDT by Coldwater Creek
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