Skip to comments.Putin at Fateful Crossroads on Ukraine, Says Illarionov
Posted on 07/05/2014 3:06:42 AM PDT by Greetings_Puny_Humans
Putin at Fateful Crossroads on Ukraine, Says Illarionov
Editor July 5, 2014
Andrei Illarionov, an economist and former advisor to the Putin administration, posted this blog at Ekho Moskvy 07:49 on 5 July, possibly before the news of the fleeing of the Slavyansk separatists and Col. Strelkovs demobilization order had reached him (see our Ukrainian Liveblog), although this news has not been confirmed. Translation by The Interpreter.
Operation Strategic Blackmail
In the last 48 hours, the Russian authorities have implemented a special operation unprecedented in scale and resources used to blackmail Western leaders, the Ukrainian leadership, and Russian society with the purpose of stopping the Ukrainian armed forces from suppressing terrorists in Eastern Ukraine.
As a result of the four months of aggression against Ukraine, Putin has found himself poised at a fork in the road that could prove deadly for him:
1. Refusal of massive military support of the terrorists (now it is virtually exclusively in the form of direct armed intervention into Eastern Ukraine) means the loss by Putin of massive support and the provoking of a rebellion/uprising/coup in Russia against him as the national traitor of Novorossiya with likely loss of power and possibly his life.
2. The invasion of regular Russian forces into Eastern Ukraine will cause a confrontation with the West and de facto the whole surrounding world to such a level, that it will guarantee the crushing of Russia and an inevitable Nuremberg/Hague/Sevastopol for the organizer of the largest aggression in Europe since 1945.
The fundamental difference in these two threats consists of the fact that the second is guaranteed, but remote, whereas the first is uncertain, but then immediate.
Putin started all of this trouble. He’s been a narcissist bigger than that idiot Obama. Now, he’s too much of a punk to call it off and too worried about his personal wealth to go forward.
Can a mod fix the link? Somehow I managed to use the wrong link from the interpreter to an entirely different article. Correct link is this:
Putey has stepped in it this time. His own parliament has voted to take the authority to go forward in the Ukraine away from him. He’s already dipped into his egg money just putting troops on the border. He does not have the money to play the imperialist game and he misjudged the international backlash. Now he is floundering around trying to back out of the swamp with his hide still intact.
——Now he is floundering around ——
He achieved his goal.
He has Crimea and has permitted the Western leaders to cry victory..... win win for Putin
He has the cake and is eating it too
That is not what happened there. Parliament in Russia is noting but a rubber stamp and does everything Putin tells them to. He has had the right by Russian law to invade anything since 2009. When he had the parliament draw a law mentioning invading Ukraine it was just to scare Ukrainians. When he told his parliament to revoke this law it was because he is scared of possible Western sanctions and hoped this gesture will give pussy Western leaders an excuse not to enact them.
Here is an article exploring it in more detail: http://www.newrepublic.com/article/118387/vladimir-putin-ukraine-he-can-still-invade-whenever-he-pleases
Pootin does seem to have Crimea at the moment——but without drinking water. For a guy who can’t afford gas for his Bears that has to be a major problem?