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As Goes North Carolina, So go Republican hopes to take over the Senate
The Weekly Standard ^ | April 18, 2014 | Fred Barnes

Posted on 04/19/2014 12:24:58 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued

To win the Senate, Republicans must win North Carolina. While it’s mathematically possible to take the Senate without ousting Democratic senator Kay Hagan, the chances of that happening are close to zero. For Republicans, North Carolina is necessary. It’s the key to control of the Senate.

Obama Hagan

It’s number six on my list. That is, there are five states where capturing Democratic seats appears more likely—West Virginia, South Dakota, Montana, Louisiana, Arkansas. Then comes North Carolina. Assuming Republicans don’t lose any of their own seats, those six pickups would give Republicans a 51-49 majority. And with it, the political equation in Washington would change. Republicans would be on offense, President Obama and Harry Reid on defense.

But winning in North Carolina is no cinch for Republicans. Two facts stand out. One, Hagan is extremely vulnerable. She’s a Reid follower who voted for Obamacare and most of the president’s agenda.

(Excerpt) Read more at weeklystandard.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Politics/Elections; US: Arkansas; US: Louisiana; US: Montana; US: North Carolina; US: South Dakota; US: West Virginia
KEYWORDS: abortion; arkansas; deathpanels; fredbarnes; harryreid; kayhagan; louisiana; montana; northcarolina; obamacare; southdakota; weeklystandard; westvirginia; zerocare
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1 posted on 04/19/2014 12:24:58 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
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To: fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Impy; GOPsterinMA; randita; Sun; LdSentinal; ExTexasRedhead; ...

To win the Senate, Republicans must win North Carolina. While it’s mathematically possible to take the Senate without ousting Democratic senator Kay Hagan, the chances of that happening are close to zero. For Republicans, North Carolina is necessary. It’s the key to control of the Senate.

Obama Hagan

It’s number six on my list. That is, there are five states where capturing Democratic seats appears more likely—West Virginia, South Dakota, Montana, Louisiana, Arkansas. Then comes North Carolina. Assuming Republicans don’t lose any of their own seats, those six pickups would give Republicans a 51-49 majority. And with it, the political equation in Washington would change. Republicans would be on offense, President Obama and Harry Reid on defense.

But winning in North Carolina is no cinch for Republicans. Two facts stand out. One, Hagan is extremely vulnerable. She’s a Reid follower who voted for Obamacare and most of the president’s agenda.


2 posted on 04/19/2014 12:25:54 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (The War on Drugs is Big Government statism)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Whoops, a part of the article twice by mistake. Very embarrassing.


3 posted on 04/19/2014 12:27:31 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (The War on Drugs is Big Government statism)
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To: Clintonfatigued

My experience says that Louisiana is a not a likely win. Landrieu always looks vulnerable and she always ends up squeaking to a win.


4 posted on 04/19/2014 12:27:57 PM PDT by brothers4thID (Death had to take him sleeping, else he would have put up a fight.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Hagan will lose NC.

She rode in on O’asshat’s coattails in 2008 and this state is doing remarkably better with a Governor and Congress both leaning conservative.

Obamacare is a disaster and she voted for it.


5 posted on 04/19/2014 12:33:54 PM PDT by eyedigress ((zOld storm chaser from the west)/ ?s)
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To: Clintonfatigued

If the Republicans take over the Senate, I pray that one of the squishy Senators doesn’t decide to switch to Dem. They are truly desperate to hold their power.


6 posted on 04/19/2014 12:36:06 PM PDT by goosie
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To: goosie

Shades of Jumpin Jim Jeffords!


7 posted on 04/19/2014 12:38:08 PM PDT by upchuck (Support ABLE, the Anybody But Lindsey Effort. Yes, we are the ABLE!!)
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To: Clintonfatigued

The Democrats are now openly the party of anti-God, anti-RKBA, sodomy, communism, and abortion on demand. That it is so hard to dislodge them and easily take over the Senate speaks of how ill our society now it.

I believe it is terminally ill.


8 posted on 04/19/2014 12:40:37 PM PDT by fwdude ( You cannot compromise with that which you must defeat.)
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To: brothers4thID

I think I’m like many people that think we are beyond throwing the bums out at the ballot box. I no longer believe that we conduct legitimate elections on a national basis, true or not it’s how many people feel. We seem to be run by an unelected bureaucracy, I see very little difference, right now, between the US and Putin’s Russia. I’m not really happy that I feel that way.


9 posted on 04/19/2014 12:45:20 PM PDT by WHBates
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To: goosie

Even if Republicans are in the majority there are at least five or six Senators that cross the line on a regular basis. Until they are gone and we have dependable Conservatives in their place not much will change.


10 posted on 04/19/2014 12:47:34 PM PDT by Grams A (The Sun will rise in the East in the morning and God is still on his throne.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

GOP will never get the Dead vote, which may decide the Senate.


11 posted on 04/19/2014 12:48:55 PM PDT by Huskrrrr
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To: brothers4thID

Landrieu always looks vulnerable and she always ends up squeaking to a win.

**********************

It depends upon how well the Landrieu machine can mobilize the vote. Landrieu is
polling in the low 40%. Nov. 4, 2014 is still a long ways off.

Magellan-Strategies poll
http://www.slideshare.net/MagellanStrat/magellan-strategies-louisiana-general-election-survey-topline-results-032414

Real Clear Politics - Other polls
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/louisiana_senate_race.html


12 posted on 04/19/2014 12:50:36 PM PDT by deport
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To: Clintonfatigued
"Weakly Standard", huh? Touting yet another GOPe RINO.

Tillis has the backing of what’s known by its critics as the Republican establishment. The U.S. Chamber of Commerce, the National Rifle Association, National Right to Life, and the super-PAC American Crossroads are backing him. The Chamber and Crossroads are running TV ads. An implicit threat comes with funding by the establishment, that it will dry up if Tillis isn’t the nominee.

Here's the guy we want: Brannon, 53, has issues, not all of them libertarian ones. He’s been endorsed by GOP senators Mike Lee of Utah and Rand Paul of Kentucky.

Anything might be better than Hagan, though, I suppose, but Tillis' supporters don't engender confidence.

13 posted on 04/19/2014 12:51:44 PM PDT by Robwin
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To: WHBates
I see very little difference, right now, between the US and Putin’s Russia.

Big difference. In Russia, Christianity is the official religion, muzzies are controlled, and queers aren't allowed to recruit kids.

Here? Not so much.

/johnny

14 posted on 04/19/2014 12:56:12 PM PDT by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: Grams A

“there are at least five or six Senators that cross the line on a regular basis. “

Who are the one’s on your list?

Probably Kirk, Mirkowski, McLame, Hatch, Linda (who we hope will be gone), but who else?


15 posted on 04/19/2014 1:00:08 PM PDT by vette6387
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To: goosie

“If the Republicans take over the Senate, I pray that one of the squishy Senators doesn’t decide to switch to Dem. They are truly desperate to hold their power.”
*******************************************************************

That’s always possible, but probably not likely this cycle. More likely is Angus King (Independent [caucusing with ‘RATS], Maine) coming over to caucus with Republicans. That may be OK but he would serve as a RINO reinforcement to the RINO faction in the Senate. The Republicans should not allow him to vote for leadership positions, etc. but otherwise allow him to caucus with them.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/04/10/angus-king-republicans_n_5125400.html


16 posted on 04/19/2014 1:00:09 PM PDT by House Atreides
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To: goosie
If the Republicans take over the Senate, I pray that one of the squishy Senators doesn’t decide to switch to Dem. They are truly desperate to hold their power.


17 posted on 04/19/2014 1:04:16 PM PDT by LostInBayport (When there are more people riding in the cart than there are pulling it, the cart stops moving...)
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To: deport

Also remember that Oil and Gas resources are very important to the state of Louisiana. Landrieu
was placed on the U.S. Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources and made Chair
Person earlier this year. To me that was an effort to enhance her election possibilities.


18 posted on 04/19/2014 1:09:24 PM PDT by deport
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To: fwdude

You aren’t wrong, since man is terminally ill period. Human “goodness” exists, but it never has been or will be “good enough”. Thus the Lord Jesus!

Society has been more or less restrained throughout history by God’s civil authorities and the mysterious working of his Holy Spirit. It’s not scientific, though. Many inequities necessarily befall a fallen race. I don’t think we know a fraction of the horrors we’ve been spared by His invisible workings.

The horrors that have occurred I chalk up to the price of the Fall. We are spared from the wrath of Almighty God through Christ (if we call on his name), but we—I.e. humanity— are not spared the ripple effects of our rebellion in Eden.

Bless you!


19 posted on 04/19/2014 1:10:51 PM PDT by avenir (I'm pessimistic about man, but I'm optimistic about GOD!)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Yeah, and we’re going to beat Hagan! Go Brannon: http://gregbrannon.com/


20 posted on 04/19/2014 1:11:08 PM PDT by JSDude1 (Defeat Hagan, elect a Constutional Conservative: Dr. Greg Brannon!)
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