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2013--- The amazing, surprising, Africa-driven demographic future of the Earth, in 9 charts
.washingtonpost. ^ | July 16, 2013 | Max Fisher

Posted on 04/19/2014 9:55:28 AM PDT by dennisw

Traffic moves through downtown Lagos, Nigeria.

The United Nations Population Division, which tracks demographic data from around the world, has dramatically revised its projections for what will happen in the next 90 years. The new statistics, based on in-depth survey data from sub-Saharan Africa, tell the story of a world poised to change drastically over the next several decades. Most rich countries will shrink and age (with a couple of important exceptions), poorer countries will expand rapidly and, maybe most significant of all, Africa will see a population explosion nearly unprecedented in human history.

If these numbers turn out to be right – they're just projections and could change significantly under unforeseen circumstances – the world of 2100 will look very different than the world of today, with implications for everyone. It will be a place where today's dominant, developed economies are increasingly focused on supporting the elderly, where the least developed countries are transformed by population booms and where Africa, for better or worse, is more important than ever.

Here is the story of the next 90 years as predicted by UN demographic data and explained in nine charts. The charts are interactive; move your cursor over them to track and compare the data.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Crime/Corruption; Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs
KEYWORDS: africa; demographics
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1 posted on 04/19/2014 9:55:28 AM PDT by dennisw
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To: dennisw

(1) The big story will be Africa

Right now, with a couple of exceptions, Africa’s population density is relatively low; it’s a very big continent more sparsely populated than, say, Europe or East Asia. That’s changing very quickly. The continent’s overall population is expected to more than quadruple over just 90 years, an astonishingly rapid growth that will make Africa more important than ever.

And it’s not just that there will four times the workforce, four times the resource burden, four times as many voters. The rapid growth itself will likely transform political and social dynamics within African countries and thus their relationship with the rest of the world. (More on this further down.)


2 posted on 04/19/2014 9:56:19 AM PDT by dennisw (The first principle is to find out who you are then you can achieve anything -- Buddhist monk)
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To: dennisw

Very interesting.
They must have made a lot of progress against AIDS?


3 posted on 04/19/2014 9:57:39 AM PDT by nascarnation (Toxic Baraq Syndrome: hopefully infecting a Dem candidate near you)
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To: dennisw

Africa has not changed much in all it’s history. Imagine people living in mud huts in this day and age. It is their gov’ts they have that keep them living like the socialists/dictators want them too.


4 posted on 04/19/2014 10:01:34 AM PDT by minnesota_bound
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To: dennisw

Africa: The Failed Continent


5 posted on 04/19/2014 10:03:26 AM PDT by clintonh8r (Don't give up! The liberals are buggering and aborting themselves into extinction.)
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To: dennisw

They need an Ataturk or some other forward thinker who can grind the old tribalism under foot and usher in an age of reason and Weaternism.


6 posted on 04/19/2014 10:03:30 AM PDT by Bogey78O (We had a good run. Coulda been great still.)
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To: dennisw
A continuing load of BS. I went to school in the 50s and 60s and recall how we were taught Africa was the "sleeping giant" that would soon awaken and rule the world.
I still remember thinking to myself - rule how? ... they're all uneducated savages living in deserts or jungles.
7 posted on 04/19/2014 10:10:23 AM PDT by oh8eleven (RVN '67-'68)
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To: minnesota_bound

The politically correct crowd says that Africa has problems due to the last vestiges of colonialism.

Not unlike how the politically correct crowd in America blames residual racism, the legacy of slavery and Jim Crow, etc. for problems among minorities.

One by one, countries in Africa gained independence, and so many of them have gone downhill in many ways since they became independent countries. How can they realistically blame colonialism for their problems 50 or 60 years later????


8 posted on 04/19/2014 10:12:16 AM PDT by Dilbert San Diego (Im)
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To: dennisw

There is no need for us to wonder what is wrong with Africa.

We have experienced African leadership ourselves.....


9 posted on 04/19/2014 10:13:49 AM PDT by Iron Munro (NSA reports Malaysia Flight 370 black box signals detected in Bermuda Triangle)
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To: dennisw
Color me skeptical.
To guess Africa's future by extrapolating from Asia's success story is invalid. Japan, China, and Korea have long been populated by intelligent hard-working people with national identities. This is not generally true of Africa. There are some smart, hard-working people there, but the vast majority are barely able to survive, much less make huge strides in bettering themselves. Then you have the widespread tribalism, which will lead to wars and more ethnic cleansing like Rwanda.
10 posted on 04/19/2014 10:20:25 AM PDT by expat2
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To: expat2

As always, the Left must, must, MUST ignore the simple Truth that Culture matters.


11 posted on 04/19/2014 10:22:12 AM PDT by Teacher317 (We have now sunk to a depth at which restatement of the obvious is the first duty of intelligent men)
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To: dennisw

It won’t happen if they don’t have the food sources and clean water to support the population growth, or the natural resources and infrastructure to support it.


12 posted on 04/19/2014 10:22:50 AM PDT by American Constitutionalist
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To: dennisw

so much for the population depleting AIDS epidemic


13 posted on 04/19/2014 10:23:51 AM PDT by LeoWindhorse
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To: dennisw

But why do I think it not a UN prediction. .it a UN agenda..a prophecy they intend to see gets fulfilled


14 posted on 04/19/2014 10:23:55 AM PDT by tophat9000 (Are we headed to a Cracker Slacker War?)
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To: dennisw
The Philippines and some of your east Asian countries have a better chance at that than the whole continent of Africa.
The Asians have a difference mindset.... that is ? if they can get rid of their corrupt governments.
I even had Asian people tell me how the mind set of the descendents of the African people are and in how they are slothful, and this is not white people saying this, this is Asians.
15 posted on 04/19/2014 10:30:02 AM PDT by American Constitutionalist
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To: dennisw
Very pretty colored lines on multiple graphs!

At the very end of the article he mentions: "And that's the story of the world's demographic future, nine decades of population booms and declines that will have unforeseeable but surely transformative political and economic consequences.

When you add tribalism and the problem if food production hampered by corruption and governmental incompetence, my guess is that his projections "ain't gonna happen!"

16 posted on 04/19/2014 10:31:26 AM PDT by BwanaNdege
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To: dennisw

Yeah, the only thing we need to do is pay “reparations”, maybe by means of a “Global Warming” tax on rich nations in order to launder welfare payments to third world nations through the U.N.

That should fix everything.


17 posted on 04/19/2014 10:36:39 AM PDT by SharpRightTurn (White, black, and red all over--America's affirmative action, metrosexual president.)
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To: Bogey78O

It has long been my thought that there will be migration into Africa by the growing populations in Asia,specifically India.

Africa has wide open spaces and what seems to be a passive, less educable population that can be dominated by the middle class Indians. Indians are or seem to have no tradition of operations beyond their traditional tribal borders. It is my thought that the aggressive migration pressure will force the move into Africa.

That is essentially the same force now in process here with the pressure being exerted in the south. The same for Europe, the force coming from North Africa and the middle east.


18 posted on 04/19/2014 10:38:29 AM PDT by bert ((K.E. N.P. N.C. +12 ..... History is a process, not an event)
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To: American Constitutionalist

They’ve got the natural resources at least. That’s the one thing they have in abundance.


19 posted on 04/19/2014 10:41:29 AM PDT by nooooo
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To: dennisw
and unless the rest of the world feeds them, most of them will starve...
20 posted on 04/19/2014 10:41:41 AM PDT by Chode (Stand UP and Be Counted, or line up and be numbered - *DTOM* -vvv- NO Pity for the LAZY - 86-44)
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