Posted on 12/05/2013 8:40:53 PM PST by SeekAndFind
Not the only interesting result here — Gallup’s also picking up the trend of millennials abandoning The One — but after so much post-election heavy breathing about his advantage with Latinos and how the GOP can win them back, it’s obviously the showstopper.
Second look at congressional gridlock on immigration reform?
The glass-half-full read: This is proof positive that Democrats do not, in fact, own the Latino vote. They can blow it, and to some extent may already have. But then, we already knew that from previous Gallup polls. Back in August, they noted that O’s job approval among Latinos was conspicuously volatile, soaring to 80 percent at one point in the first four and a half years of his presidency and dropping to 49 percent at another. If the first two months of ObamaCare could push him nearly underwater with Latinos, what will another year of rate shock and shrinking provider networks do? Without lifting a finger, the GOP may be back in play for this demographic — not so much that they’d win it outright, but enough that they could close the gap to, say 15-20 points instead of 40-45. In a tight election, that would be ruinous for Democrats.
The glass-half-empty read: The guy’s entire year has been one policy fartburger after another — a failed gun-control push, phantom red lines on Syria and Iran, the ObamaCare disaster, and of course nothing whatsoever accomplished on immigration — and he’s still above 50 percent with Latinos. Exactly how much has to go wrong to shake their confidence in him? Job approval isn’t even a binary metric, where people are forced to choose between O or the GOP. It’s a pure referendum on Obama and he’s still above water in spite of everything. There’s no reason to think they wouldn’t still prefer him 70/30 to a random Republican. Don’t forget either that ObamaCare, in the abstract, is popular with Latinos. It’s way more likely that the recent downturn is due not to some ideological sea change within the demographic about what government’s capable of but rather dissatisfaction over Glitchapalooza and O’s failure to deliver what he promised. Between that and amnesty, that’s the story of 2013 vis-a-vis Latino voters: The man simply can’t deliver. What happens in 2016 when Democrats shed his baggage and nominate someone as popular with Latinos as Hillary Clinton, who’ll doubtless promise to reform ObamaCare so that it “works”?
As for the great immigration reform debate, you can — and will — read this, of course, to align with your personal preference. If you’re pro-amnesty, then this poll shows that the GOP has a new window of opportunity to impress Latino voters. Seize the momentum by pushing through comprehensive immigration reform now. You’ll show them that you’re serious about their votes at a moment when Obama’s at his weakest. If you’re anti-amnesty, then this poll shows that you don’t need to pass reform in order to have an opening with Latinos. The ObamaCare clusterfark has done it for you. If anything, Latinos might be punishing Obama for the gridlock in Congress over immigration, in which case the GOP has every incentive to keep it going. Focus on bread-and-butter issues like better health-care reform and economic growth and Latinos, like any other part of the electorate, will take a renewed interest in the GOP. Which approach, do you suppose, does John Boehner endorse?
Think about that while you watch this guy, Democrat Jared Polis, freak out on the House floor.
I see only a 1 month change. Next month, he’ll be back up 15 points.
1 year change, I meant.
Yep he is going SOUTH! BABY!!
Oy.
One- No one is going to vote for Obama again.
Two- The Latino vote is, according to Rush, worth about 7% of the entire voting populace. It’s actually rather worthless. The fight is most likely about cheap labor, a permanent servant class - greedy corp lobbyists.
Three- They will vote democrat, as in Mexico, the ‘republicans’ are bad. The Catholics won’t vote for them.
They do not assimilate to this country, they don’t understand our politics, geeze they don’t even speak our language, how can they vote here?
Then comes tricky Boehner with amnesty in hand, managing to return that Hispanic excitement to Obama, who will naturally ring every drop of credit for it, from Boehner’s gift of the upcoming House immigration reform bill.
White NON-hispanic Catholics DO vote republican. You’d have to be a f’ing idiot at this point to be a practising Catholic and vote the ‘rat party. The problem with hispanic Catholics are too many of them are frankly, the DUMBEST people on planet earth because they have low respect AS A GROUP for education, and they hardly know the faith, or or PIG IGNORANT about politics, especially the more recent the immigrant. “oh, I didn’t know he was for abortion.” They genuinely are that “low information.” Re: lack of knowing the faith — it’s not entirely their fault. Their own Mexican government is VERY anti-religious and persecuted Catholic priests in the 20s by executing them and forbidding religious instruction.
I was only stating facts.
The Mexicans go along with what our government allows them to; they are courted and spoiled.
But Catholics in general in this country, they consistently vote 50% for the democrat, pro abort presidential candidate.
Don’t kid yourself.
Approval ratings are pretty meaningless; it’s what they do at the ballot box that counts. Nothing else
A lot of white Catholics in the Northeast do vote “D”: it’s to “help the poor”.
There’s nothing tricky about Boehner. He, the two McCs, Obama, and Reid are the most predictable men in D.C.
"Some Republican lawmakers have proposed a '90 per cent' test, agreeing that a pathway to legal status could be extended only after the U.S. is capable of blocking nine out of every ten people who try to make an illicit border crossing.
That approach seems to resonate with Hispanic voters.
In a June 2013 poll, the most recent published survey on the subject, 60 per cent of registered Hispanic voters said they supported granting illegal immigrants a new status 'only when the 90% goal is reached.'
Just 34 per cent disagreed.
The survey was conducted by the Latino Opinions organization and sponsored by Jordan Winery.
It asked respondents if they thought illegal immigrants should be permitted to collect benefits from the federal government, including health insurance subsidies, 'while they are going through the legalization process and before the 90% goal is reached.'
They opposed the idea by a 56-40 margin.
The poll also found that while Hispanics in general rank immigration reform among the issues that concern them most, those who are registered to vote consider it less important than the economy, education, or health care."
Two, three, four generations in, Hispanics demand (and get) affirmative action benefits.
Any group demanding AA preferences is not assimilated.
Good luck getting the non-assimilated to support conservative candidates and policies.
Wow, he really has something to worry about at his next election. Oh wait.....
Whoops. Better get them more “free” stuff, furnished by the American taxpayer.
And, hey, President Obama, where’s my citizenship; I don’ wait in no feggin lines!
this white non hispanic catholic woman is with ya. liberalism is evil. period.
Here comes AMNESTY, MORE WELFARE, MORE FREE PHONES, MORE CHECKS BACK!!
“Any group demanding AA preferences is not assimilated.”
The Democratic Party only exists because (all) women are in that group.
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