She wins...no doubt. The coalition? That’s the real issue. If her buddies...the FDP....don’t get five percent....it’s a fair-sized mess to figure the next deal maker.
The anti-Euro guys? They might actually clear five-percent and no one wants them in as a partner. The SPD? It’s just inviting issues. The Greens? Folks laugh over that option.
We need to count the votes but let’s look at the UK for a coalition example. Give a couple high profile jobs to party leaders and they will step in-line.
Forming a coalition is the real issue; I can see a repeat of Merkel’s first term - a CDU/SDP coalition, a “Grand Coalition”.
We’ll know later today whether the FDP clears the 5% threshold. If they don’t, a CDU/SDP coalition is the most likely outcome.