Immigration Polling: Bad News for Red-State Democrats - Voters from four key states are not...

National Review Online ^ | MAY 6, 2013 | Andrew Stiles

[neverdem]

Voters from four key states are not enthusiastic about the Gang of Eight plan.

Much of the discussion surrounding the Gang of Eight’s 867-page immigration-reform bill has focused on how many Republican senators will ultimately support it. Their Democratic colleagues, meanwhile, are generally assumed to favor the bill but have largely escaped scrutiny. This is particularly true of Democrats from conservative states seeking reelection in 2014, for whom supporting immigration reform could prove politically challenging. Recent polling suggests their constituents may not be so enthusiastic about the Gang’s proposal.

Numbers USA, a group that favors “lower immigration levels” and opposes the Gang of Eight’s bill, recently commissioned polling in states such as Alaska, Arkansas, Louisiana, and North Carolina, all of which voted for Mitt Romney, where incumbent Democrats are seeking reelection in 2014. The results, obtained by National Review Online, indicate that likely voters in those states do not support the major policies in the Gang’s bill, particularly its lack of a strong border-security and enforcement trigger, and would be unlikely to back a politician who does.

Alaska
Senator Mark Begich is trying to win reelection in a state that Romney carried by 15 points, and has already broken with his party once this year on a major vote — he was one of four Democrats who voted against the Toomey-Manchin background-check legislation. An April poll of likely voters in Alaska conducted by Pulse Opinion Research suggests that Begich could face a backlash for supporting the Gang’s immigration bill.

According to the poll, 60 percent of likely voters favor an approach that demonstrates “full enforcement of immigration law” before considering legal status for illegal immigrants. Only 32 percent backed an approach that closely aligns with the Gang’s proposal, which would involve “legalization first, followed by border security, and then citizenship.” An even larger majority (67 percent) said they would be more likely to vote for a political party that supports enforcing immigration laws first over a party that supports legalizing illegal immigrants first. The Gang’s bill would allow illegal immigrants to apply for legal status almost immediately, as soon as Department of Homeland Security secretary Janet Napolitano submits a plan to achieve a high level of enforcement along the southern border.

Arkansas
Senator Mark Pryor, who joined Begich in opposing Toomey-Manchin, is similarly facing a tough reelection fight in 2016. (Romney carried Arkansas by a whopping 23 percent.) Supporting the Gang’s proposal might be difficult for Pryor. The Pulse survey of likely voters in his home state found that only 24 percent favored providing legal status and work permits for “most” of the 11 million illegal immigrants estimated to be living in the United States. Just 19 percent said they would support a plan that provides work permits to illegal immigrants, and then implements border security and workplace enforcement measures over the next ten years, which is essentially what the Gang’s bill calls for.

Louisiana
Incumbent senator Mary Landrieu’s state voted 58 percent for Romney in 2012. Landrieu will already have a tough time explaining her vote for the Senate Democratic budget proposal, which called for raising taxes by at least $1 trillion, earlier this year. Louisiana likely voters strongly oppose the idea of giving work permits to millions of illegal immigrants, by a margin of 65 percent to 32 percent, according to the Pulse survey. Almost 70 percent favor implementing border security and workplace enforcement measures before considering legal status for illegal immigrants, while 64 percent said they would be more likely to vote for a political party that supports the same.

North Carolina
Although the state is more purple than the others on this list, having just narrowly voted for Romney in 2012, Senator Kay Hagan will be a prime target for Republicans next cycle. She has already expressed vague support for “comprehensive immigration reform,” but has yet to take a stand on the Gang’s proposal. According to the poll, likely voters in North Carolina do not support the general progression of the Gang’s plan — legal status, then border security, then citizenship for illegal immigrants — by a 58 percent to 38 percent margin. A larger majority (68 percent) said they favored an enforcement-first approach to immigration reform.

Meanwhile, most national polling from mainstream outlets shows that voters across the country aren’t exactly thrilled about the Gang’s plan either. Most senators have yet to take a position on the bill itself, but a vote is almost certain to be close, meaning there will be pressure on these Democrats to support it, and face the political consequences, even though the bill appears to have little chance of passing the House.

— Andrew Stiles is a political reporter for National Review Online.

[neverdem]

IMHO, pushing for comprehensive immigration reform is stupid with all the unemployed and underemployed. Rats could lose a lot of single white females.

[GeorgeWashingtonsGhost]

How is amnesty ‘reform’ anyway? Just like 0bamacare is ‘Affordable’?

[sickoflibs]

RE :”Much of the discussion surrounding the Gang of Eight’s 867-page immigration-reform bill has focused on how many Republican senators will ultimately support it. Their Democratic colleagues, meanwhile, are generally assumed to favor the bill but have largely escaped scrutiny. This is particularly true of Democrats from conservative states seeking reelection in 2014, for whom supporting immigration reform could prove politically challenging. Recent polling suggests their constituents may not be so enthusiastic about the Gang’s proposal.
Numbers USA, a group that favors “lower immigration levels” and opposes the Gang of Eight’s bill, recently commissioned polling in states such as Alaska, Arkansas, Louisiana, and North Carolina, all of which voted for Mitt Romney, where incumbent Democrats are seeking reelection in 2014. The results, obtained by National Review Online, indicate that likely voters in those states do not support the major policies in the Gang’s bill, particularly its lack of a strong border-security and enforcement trigger, and would be unlikely to back a politician who does.”

Of course GOP Senate traitors will give them cover by supporting it.

[qaz123]

If this video doesn’t sum the whole argument up, nothing will. God help us.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LPjzfGChGlE

[DJ MacWoW]

Amnesty?!
Hell No!!!

Click The Pic To Donate

Support The Resistance, Donate Monthly If You Can

[onyx]

Right on!

[okie01]

How is amnesty ‘reform’ anyway?

Amnesty is "reform" in the sense that it lets the federal government, which created the problem in the first place, off the hook.

They can then say the problem is "solved".

[freekitty]

What’s this we aren’t exactly thrlled? We are NOT period.

[neverdem]

Thanks for the link.

[exDemMom]

IMHO, pushing for comprehensive immigration reform is stupid with all the unemployed and underemployed. Rats could lose a lot of single white females.

What most people mean by immigration reform is enforcement of the laws, crack downs on the businesses who employ illegals at slave wages, refusal to provide any other than life/limb/eyesight care to illegals in emergency rooms, etc.

Politicians, seeing that immigration reform is a top concern, draft a bill to give illegals even more incentives to enter the country illegally, and to give them an easier path to citizenship than legal immigrants have available, all so that they can increase their voter base. They count on no one noticing what their amnesty bill really is, if they call it "immigration reform."

I should be fair: not all politicians are doing that. It's mostly just the liberal politicians.

[Caipirabob]

Simply put, no one trusts "The hero of Benghazi" to sign a bill that wouldn't simply be one more step to an overload of the system.

Best case scenario is to delay and bury anything from this regime until there's a group in power that recognizes and respects the Constitution.

[Liz]

IMMIGRATION REFORM IS THE GATEWAY TO TERRORISM---IT IS ETHNIC SOLIDARITY POISON FORCED DOWN OUR THROATS---The Rubio/Schumer atrocity marginalizes Americans and turns struggling taxpayers into a conquered people---subservient to the corrupt Third World.

"Reform" finances and gives unlimited power to individuals with primitive survival instincts honed in corrupt Third World hellholes where everything is for sale. The survivalist instincts of illegals DO NOT correspond to freedom and democracy----bedrock America principles we consider sacrosanct. To these individual---its all about "what's in it for me, and who do I payoff to get it."

Alarmingly, the bill finances the coming violence, and gives a pass for any activity illegaly engaged in now or before.....and blesses future illegal acts.

====================================================

FREEPER ALERT---BLAST MAIL THE FOLLOWING TO PRINT AND BROADCAST MEDIA---voters need to know exactly what their "reps" are planning for them:

<><> Does not keep slobbering illegals out of the welfare trough.

<><> Gives Obomba's militarized DHS even more power.

<><> Gives enormous power over Americans to the corrupt Third World.

<><> Grants amnesty to illegal aliens simply after the DHS Secy submits her jerry-built plans to secure the border;

<><> Grants amnesty to criminals and gang members swarming into the US;

<><> Does not require amnestied illegal aliens to pay back-taxes;

<><> Does not require amnestied illegal aliens to learn English;

<><>Allows illegal aliens to sue the US government for amnesty;

<><> Allows "ethinc solidarity" to reign: lobbies can sue to prevent enforcement measures from taking place before illegal aliens can receive green cards;

<><> Requires taxpayers foot the bill for illegal aliens to fight deportations (at the AG’s sole and unreviewable discretion);

<><> Requires only 3 of 9 southern border sectors to have a 90% apprehension rate, leaving the rest in "porous status";

<><> Grants green cards and citizenship after 5 years to illegal aliens claiming (no proof needed) to have come to the US before the age of 16;

<><>Effectively halts all deportations for years by prohibiting deportation until the illegal alien’s application is adjudicated;

<><> Extorts "slush funds" amounting to $150 million tax dollars (as a starter) to ethnic solidarity groups like La Raza ( which advocates bloody, violent uprisings agaiinst Americans);

<><> Allows the ethnic solidarity bunch to sue to prevent enforcement measures from taking place before illegal aliens can receive green cards;

<><> Requires taxpayers to foot the bill for illegals to fight deportation.

<><> Requires no penalties for the thousands of illegals w/ forged/faked multiplte identities (a common practice).

<><> Allows illegals to freely slobber at the public trough under several identities.......sending US tax dollars back to their homelands.

<><> Does not include key provisions like Motor Voter reform that would “secure the vote.”

[monocle]

The proposed immigration bill is a means of supercharging the Cloward-Piven strategy.

[Snow Eagle]

Great list Liz! It’s a tough read (844 pages or so)but everyone should read this proposed bill. And like you said, DHS gets way too much power. Including the power to grant exemptions and waivers. Thanks for the list.

[Liz]

You’re very welcome-—this list needs to be blast-mailed allover America.

Americans need to know what these opportunistic politicians are doing to them and their way of life

Imperiling the safety and security of all Americans cannot and will not be tolerated.

[ScottinVA]

Senator Mark Begich is trying to win reelection in a state that Romney carried by 15 points, and has already broken with his party once this year on a major vote — he was one of four Democrats who voted against the Toomey-Manchin background-check legislation. An April poll of likely voters in Alaska conducted by Pulse Opinion Research suggests that Begich could face a backlash for supporting the Gang’s immigration bill.

The people of Alaska need to hold Begich's feet to the fire over Obamacare. He voted for it in all instances.

[stephenjohnbanker]

” Of course GOP Senate traitors will give them cover by supporting it. “

Count on it.

[stephenjohnbanker]

FREEPER ALERT-—BLAST MAIL THE FOLLOWING TO PRINT AND BROADCAST MEDIA-—voters need to know exactly what their “reps” are planning for them:

<><> Does not keep slobbering illegals out of the welfare trough.

<><> Gives Obomba’s militarized DHS even more power.

<><> Gives enormous power over Americans to the corrupt Third World.

<><> Grants amnesty to illegal aliens simply after the DHS Secy submits her jerry-built plans to secure the border;

<><> Grants amnesty to criminals and gang members swarming into the US;

<><> Does not require amnestied illegal aliens to pay back-taxes;

<><> Does not require amnestied illegal aliens to learn English;

<><>Allows illegal aliens to sue the US government for amnesty;

<><> Allows “ethinc solidarity” to reign: lobbies can sue to prevent enforcement measures from taking place before illegal aliens can receive green cards;

<><> Requires taxpayers foot the bill for illegal aliens to fight deportations (at the AG’s sole and unreviewable discretion);

<><> Requires only 3 of 9 southern border sectors to have a 90% apprehension rate, leaving the rest in “porous status”;

<><> Grants green cards and citizenship after 5 years to illegal aliens claiming (no proof needed) to have come to the US before the age of 16;

<><>Effectively halts all deportations for years by prohibiting deportation until the illegal alien’s application is adjudicated;

<><> Extorts “slush funds” amounting to $150 million tax dollars (as a starter) to ethnic solidarity groups like La Raza ( which advocates bloody, violent uprisings agaiinst Americans);

<><> Allows the ethnic solidarity bunch to sue to prevent enforcement measures from taking place before illegal aliens can receive green cards;

<><> Requires taxpayers to foot the bill for illegals to fight deportation.

<><> Requires no penalties for the thousands of illegals w/ forged/faked multiplte identities (a common practice).

<><> Allows illegals to freely slobber at the public trough under several identities.......sending US tax dollars back to their homelands.

<><> Does not include key provisions like Motor Voter reform that would “secure the vote.”

Thanks for the list, Liz.

[ek_hornbeck]

Let this story be a lesson to all Republicans who sell out and support amnesty as well. Rather than worrying that supporting the enforcement of immigration law might alienate (mostly non-existent) Mexican GOP voters, Republicans should start worrying about alienating their base, which is overwhelmingly opposed to amnesty.

[TBP]

If you want reform, look at H-1B visas and perhaps some of the procedures for getting here legally. (Making it difficult to come legally perversely serves as an incentive to come illegally.) But first, cut off ALL benefits to illegals, require use of E-Verify, and put those who knowingly employ illegals in jail. (No matter how high you make the fine — and it should be higher — they will only pass it along as a “business expense.”)