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Poll: Anthony Weiner already in second place in New York City mayoral race for some reason
Hotair ^ | 04/17/2013 | AllahPundit

Posted on 04/17/2013 1:24:13 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

The bad news? Between this and what’s going on in South Carolina, American voters seem to have finally jettisoned any pretense of standards for their political leaders.

The good news? We’re still on track for a Sanford-versus-Weiner presidential election in 2028. Cross those fingers.

According to the poll, if Weiner entered the Democratic primary today, his 15 percent would put him behind Quinn’s 26 percent but ahead of City Comptroller John Liu (12 percent), de Blasio (11 percent), Thompson (11 percent) and former City Councilman Sal Albanese (2 percent).

By comparison, without Weiner, Quinn would receive 30 percent of Democratic votes and de Blasio would be second with 15 percent, followed by Thompson (14 percent), Liu (11 percent) and Albanese (2 percent).

In short, with Weiner in the race, Quinn, de Blasio and Thompson all suffer.

“He’d make it much more difficult for anyone to reach 40 percent to avoid a runoff,” Miringoff said…

Pollsters asked general election voters about two hypothetical November matchups against likely Republican nominee Joe Lhota. If Quinn was the Democratic nominee, she’d beat Lhota 59 percent to 19 percent. If Weiner were the nominee, he’d beat Lhota 51 percent to 28 percent. In both scenarios, 21 percent said they were undecided.

The city hasn’t had a Democratic mayor in nearly 20 years and there’s no Giuliani or Bloomberg (nominally an independent) on the Republican ticket this time. Whoever wins the Dem primary is a heavy favorite to win the general, and right now only 34 percent of Dems say they’re strongly committed to their current candidate. If Weiner ends up in a runoff with Quinn, whose polling is obviously weak, why couldn’t he win?

Maybe this is why:

aw

His popularity within his own party is below 50 percent without a single attack ad having been fired at him yet. By comparison, Quinn’s favorable rating among Democrats is 59/23. He’s well known compared to most of the field (how could he not be?), which likely explains why he’s got 15 percent right out of the chute. But what happens when you nudge voters about the … “unpleasantness” of two years ago? This:

aw2

There are more Democrats who say they wouldn’t consider voting for him than would. But those numbers will move: If he seems contrite and talks nothing but policy policy policy, as he’s already doing, he can try to remake himself as the flawed guy who’s got too many good ideas for left-leaning New Yorkers not to give him a serious look. (Turn the election into a referendum on redemption, as Sanford did in the SC-1 primary, and he’ll get some consideration.) And if something scandal-ish happens with Quinn, that gives him a chance to say that everyone’s flawed, which means the race should be about substance and not dirty laundry. His big problem vis-a-vis Quinn is fundraising, but he’s got a few months to build on his polling here to convince old friends with deep pockets that he’s worth taking a chance on. The vibe on Twitter seems to be that he has sub-zero chance to win, but I’d give him, say, 10 percent. Good lord, I think I’m talking myself into this. Weiner for mayor! May a thousand skeevy tweets from Gracie Mansion bloom!

Update: Forecaster Harry Enten gives four reasons to think, yep, this is doable. Keep hope alive:

The facts that he’s already in position to make the runoff as it stands, that his favorables are going in the right direction, and that the frontrunner is stalled, are all good signs. That doesn’t mean he will win. I am still partial to the possibility of Bill Thompson overhauling the others, given the math above.

At this point, all the candidates’ hopes are very much alive. But do I think Anthony Weiner can win this thing? Absolutely, he could.



TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New York
KEYWORDS: 2013polls; anthonyweiner; corruption; democrats; democratutopia; demprimary; elections; mayor; newyork; nyc

1 posted on 04/17/2013 1:24:13 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Go, Weiner!! Freaking idiots deserve each other.


2 posted on 04/17/2013 1:25:30 PM PDT by Jim Robinson (Resistance to tyrants is obedience to God!!)
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To: SeekAndFind

Second place and rising in the pants.... er, I mean polls.


3 posted on 04/17/2013 1:25:55 PM PDT by Responsibility2nd (NO LIBS. This Means Liberals and (L)libertarians! Same Thing. NO LIBS!!)
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To: SeekAndFind
Weiner is going to be hard to beat...

(immature chuckle)

4 posted on 04/17/2013 1:26:50 PM PDT by apillar
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To: SeekAndFind

Another example of how so many of the American people have allowed themselves to degenerate into a bunch of morons.


5 posted on 04/17/2013 1:27:09 PM PDT by MEGoody (You shall know the truth, and the truth shall make you free.)
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To: Jim Robinson

Please let New York City elect this guy. Please!!

I want to watch!


6 posted on 04/17/2013 1:27:52 PM PDT by americas.best.days... ( I think we can now say that they are behind us.)
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To: SeekAndFind

????..only two major runners, the dyke and the pervert


7 posted on 04/17/2013 1:27:52 PM PDT by Doogle (USAF.68-73..8th TFW Ubon Thailand..never store a threat you should have eliminated))
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To: SeekAndFind

Oh well you now the song “ because if I was _____ Weiner, everyone would be in love with me! Sorry, I couldn’t help myself. Damn I wonder if that was what he said after sending the picture!


8 posted on 04/17/2013 1:28:38 PM PDT by Mastador1 (I'll take a bad dog over a good politician any day!)
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To: MEGoody

We’ve long known that being a sick pervert has long been considered resume enhancement in libtard demographics.


9 posted on 04/17/2013 1:28:46 PM PDT by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: SeekAndFind

Wasn’t Bloomberg a Repub once??...so the little peeper pot shouldn’t be so sure of himself. And just maybe his Jewish background will work against him. They don’t like garbage.


10 posted on 04/17/2013 1:28:54 PM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: Doogle

After dark, I wonder if Weiner and Huma play “Suicide bomber at the kosher deli.”


11 posted on 04/17/2013 1:29:49 PM PDT by LyinLibs (If victims of islam were more "islamophobic," maybe they'd still be alive.)
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To: SeekAndFind
...for some reason

He's a democrat. Thats it.

You've heard of Yellow dog democrats of the past - they'd vote for a yellow dog before they'd vote for a republican - what we have now are twisted pervert bomb throwning spittle flecked mad dog democrats. As long as he's got a D after his name.

12 posted on 04/17/2013 1:29:54 PM PDT by skeeter
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To: SeekAndFind

I’d say screw NYC they deserve Weiner, but the sad truth is NYC effects the surrounding areas. Things like the commuter tax, increased tolls etc are all the result of 100 years of mismanagement and corruption in this one party town.


13 posted on 04/17/2013 1:30:44 PM PDT by RedStateGuyTrappedinCT
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To: SeekAndFind

Birds of a feather, hang with one another.


14 posted on 04/17/2013 1:31:03 PM PDT by exnavy (Fish or cut bait ...Got ammo, Godspeed!)
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To: apillar

The man is out front by a head.


15 posted on 04/17/2013 1:32:19 PM PDT by exnavy (Fish or cut bait ...Got ammo, Godspeed!)
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To: apillar

we might be witnessing WEINER’S SECOND COMING!

Can the Weiner rise again?

The Weiner has a LONG, HARD road back...

Anthony says: “Erect me Mr. Mayor!”

But Weiner has some STIFF competition.

Makes me wonder what ... umm.... attributes New Yorkers see in him.


16 posted on 04/17/2013 1:34:36 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: apillar

He is in second place by a head.


17 posted on 04/17/2013 1:39:01 PM PDT by billhilly
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To: SeekAndFind
Weinerman might win by a hose nose.
18 posted on 04/17/2013 1:40:12 PM PDT by Iron Munro (Welcome to Obama-Land - EVERYTHING NOT FORBIDDEN IS COMPULSORY)
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To: apillar

Weiner is fighting to get ahead.


19 posted on 04/17/2013 1:41:03 PM PDT by SoldierDad (Proud dad of an Army Soldier who has survived 24 months of Combat deployment.)
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To: SeekAndFind

" I don't care what your mother and father will think.
I am not going to be called Huma Weiner."


20 posted on 04/17/2013 1:46:38 PM PDT by Iron Munro (Welcome to Obama-Land - EVERYTHING NOT FORBIDDEN IS COMPULSORY)
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To: SeekAndFind

It seems that Weiner will rise again.


21 posted on 04/17/2013 1:49:04 PM PDT by Gator113 ( ~just keep livin~ I drink good wine, listen to good music and dream good dreams.)
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To: americas.best.days...

When I saw this headline I thought the same thing.
I can’t think of a better thing to happen to New York. Mayor Weiner.


22 posted on 04/17/2013 1:51:18 PM PDT by hillarys cankles
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To: SoldierDad
Democrats are pulling for Weiner.

Slogan: Give Weiner a hand.

23 posted on 04/17/2013 1:52:15 PM PDT by Gritty-Kitty
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To: SeekAndFind

Any wonder so many Western New Yorkers would love to separate from downstate?

Only in NYC could a Weiner and a Stasi agent be running 1/2 for mayor.

I think this proves beyond any reasonable doubt that living with so many people crammed into a city causes major mental disorders.


24 posted on 04/17/2013 1:59:56 PM PDT by Wurlitzer (Nothing says "ignorance" like Islam!)
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To: SeekAndFind

Likely voters just love the little Wiener


25 posted on 04/17/2013 2:00:51 PM PDT by Postman (........................................................Flies get too little credit.)
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“If the moral character of a people once degenerate, their political character must soon follow…..These considerations should lead to an attentive solitude…to be religiously careful in our choice of all public officers…. and judge of the tree by its fruits.” Elias Boudinot - Patriot


Click The Pic

Support Conservatism, Donate. Monthly If You Can


26 posted on 04/17/2013 2:04:26 PM PDT by DJ MacWoW (My faith and politics cannot be separated)
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To: Responsibility2nd

Getting his message in front of the voters...


27 posted on 04/17/2013 2:12:30 PM PDT by ptsal (E)
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To: ptsal

Hope it’s not a photo finish.


28 posted on 04/17/2013 2:20:45 PM PDT by Gritty-Kitty
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To: Doogle; firebrand; Cacique; nutmeg; onyx
Doogle wrote:
????..only two major runners, the dyke and the pervert


29 posted on 04/17/2013 2:21:21 PM PDT by Yehuda
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To: ptsal
Weiner Chokes off competetion!
30 posted on 04/17/2013 2:21:47 PM PDT by Conserev1 ("Still Clinging to my Bible and my Weapon")
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To: SeekAndFind

He embodies all that is NYC.

He is a perfect fit.

F-NYC


31 posted on 04/17/2013 2:25:50 PM PDT by NoLibZone (None here can be puzzled by why Jews walked into the cars so quietly- we are walking up the planks.)
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To: Conserev1

Five dollar Campaign donation gets you One Weiner Pic!
$20.00 gets you five so you can pass them to your friends!
Please visit 3”dot.com and order today!


32 posted on 04/17/2013 2:25:57 PM PDT by Conserev1 ("Still Clinging to my Bible and my Weapon")
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To: americas.best.days...

Why not, the morons in New York re-elected mommy a-hole berg.

They deserve whatever they get with no pity from me, or do they deserve any.


33 posted on 04/17/2013 2:31:05 PM PDT by chiefqc
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To: SeekAndFind

If he becomes mayor, Gracie Mansion will be an extension of the Muslim Brotherhood. No exaggeration. Huma Abedin, his wife’s parents are big shots in the Muslim Brotherhood. She compromised Hillary Clinton even more than she already was and now even a Jewish congressman. The mullahs must have said, “Go for it - infiltrate them all if they’re native and stupid enough to bring you in, even though you’d fail government background checks)


34 posted on 04/17/2013 2:52:19 PM PDT by Seeing More Clearly Now
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To: SeekAndFind

weiner recognition.


35 posted on 04/17/2013 4:12:28 PM PDT by miss marmelstein ( Richard Lives Yet!)
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To: SeekAndFind
Weiner goat....lead them to the slaughterhouse.
36 posted on 04/17/2013 4:33:45 PM PDT by vetvetdoug
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To: apillar
Weiner is going to be hard to beat...

Weiner's new campaign slogan: Weiner cant be beat!

37 posted on 04/17/2013 5:25:23 PM PDT by dearolddad (/i>)
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To: Conserev1
Weiner Chokes off competetion!

Are you saying that Anthony is choking his chicken. Please! someone call PETA!!!

38 posted on 04/17/2013 5:31:12 PM PDT by dearolddad (/i>)
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To: SeekAndFind
American voters seem to have finally jettisoned any pretense of standards for their political leaders

Too late - happened last November.

39 posted on 04/17/2013 7:17:57 PM PDT by Some Fat Guy in L.A. (Still bitterly clinging to rational thought despite it's unfashionability)
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To: SeekAndFind
When on the campaign trail, ex-Rep. Anthony Weiner will walk around with his “package” exposed to garner the most votes from the LBGT communities and Lib NYC residents. After Bloomberg he'll be a shoe-in.
40 posted on 04/17/2013 7:26:49 PM PDT by MasterGunner01
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To: NoLibZone
Wow! 32% of NYC conservatives would "consider" voting for Weiner. That's amazing.

That there are conservatives in NYC.

41 posted on 04/17/2013 7:27:02 PM PDT by boop ("You don't look so bad, here's another")
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To: skeeter
Weiner better think long and hard about this before deciding to plunge into the mayor's race.

If things fizzle out, he may need to withdraw.

I'd hate to see him be like Ross Perot. In one minute, out another, then right back in.

And while I'm sure he'll garner some interest from Yankees players, he should also try and get more athletic support from other sports, too.

42 posted on 04/17/2013 7:32:54 PM PDT by boop ("You don't look so bad, here's another")
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To: boop

clever:)


43 posted on 04/18/2013 5:42:02 AM PDT by skeeter
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