Skip to comments.The Fairy Tale on Spending Cuts
Posted on 02/25/2013 12:01:36 PM PST by LucianOfSamasota
The sequester is coming, the sequester is coming, cries Chicken Little, speaking of the across-the-board spending reductions set to kick in next Friday. As a result, much of the Washington establishment, politicians of both parties, and the media are bracing for the apocalypse.
Henny Penny worries about poisoned meat going uninspected, the air traffic control system shutting down, and schools being forced to close. Meanwhile Turkey Lurkey is afraid that national security is threatened because our military will be gutted. And Foxy Loxy is concerned there will be massive job losses and our economy will crash.
The reality, though, is that most of what we are being told about the sequester is just a fairy tale. Heres why:
The sequester imposes savage spending cuts
Actually, the sequester doesnt cut federal spending at all, or rather it cuts it only in the Washington sense of any reduction from projected baseline increases is a cut. In reality, even if the sequester goes through, the federal government will spend more every single year. In fact, in 2023 it will be spending $2.39 trillion more than it does today.
(Excerpt) Read more at cato.org ...
The real fairy tale is that austerity in the current economic climate won’t result in the economy slowing down more and unemployment going up.
The real fairy tale is that austerity is going to happen at all.
The best way to boost the economy is to cut taxes, regulations and the size and cost of government. Government is the biggest hindrance to economic growth ever.
Taxes are at historic lows, even taking into account the latest adjustments. Where are the jobs we were promised if only the job creators were allowed to amass huge fortunes?
No, you can cut all taxes and regulations and you still can't compete with the communist Chinese labor rate of $2/day.
It's our trade policy that is the biggest hindrance to economic growth. We need to raise import tariffs and get American's back to work. With more employment comes more gov't tax revenues and fewer safety net outlays. That's the way to balance the budget.
We have some of the highest corporate taxes on the planet, people would do well to be keeping half of their income after taxes. With all of the government mandates (which are also taxes) and massive government debt spending (which are hurting the economy), we no longer have any good places for companies to invest their money if they have any.
It would certainly be better if our leaders in Washington would decrease the rate of increase in Federal spending according to some well thought out plan, rather than grandstanding for political capital regardless of the damage thereby caused to the labor market. But employment has decreased steadily since Obama has been President in any event, which means the number of unemployed has been steadily going up, despite the dubious machinations of ‘unemployment’ reporting methods (see link below). And continued runaway spending with no restraint is certainly not going to lead to increased GDP. So somewhere, some how, the excessive burden of government spending must be lifted from the productive sector if ever we hope to see an increase in productivity and thereby employment.
I don’t think we need higher tarriff’s, we should not allow important industries to be dominated by foreign countries that are hostile to us. Hostile countries should not have ‘free’ trade with us, and other countries who have barriers to our countries should face equal barriers in ours.
When it comes to dollar store crap and cheap toys, we will never make that stuff here again.
and yes, our taxes and mandates are far too high
There are NO spending cuts, only cuts in the rate of growth.
It's not just dollar store crap. It's everything at walmart. A third of what we buy from the chinese is heavy electrical equipment and electronics. It's also defense components and equipment. And the Chinese are trying hard to compete on cars and aircraft.
And while I single out the Chinese. The fact is that any country that has as large a wage differential as the Chinese do with us, should have trade limits. We can tie those limits to our own unemployment rate. And we should be protective of high tech industries where innovation and knowledge are critical assets.
As long as Americans are unemployed, we shouldn’t rule out producing anything here, except perhaps things that generate large amounts of toxic waste.
“people would do well to be keeping half of their income after taxes”
Nobody pays a 50%+ income tax rate. Heck, currently the highest earners pay an effective rate lower than the middle-lower class earners.
When politicians talk about the specific drivers to ‘spending’ there may be hope.
The most specific driver is Medicare, accelerated by AHCA.
At least in 2017 the current Federal Budget can be explained in single digits.
$1 T - Social Security (mostly off budget and not really an impact at this time to the problem).
$1.2 T - HHS Department (driven by Medicare/ACHA)
$1 T - Treasury department (Driven by interest on debt)
$0.6 T - DoD (relatively flat)
$0.7 T - Everything else (this represents a forecast or true reduced spending by almost every other function)
Thats it! That is the 2017 forcasted budget. Forcasted by the WH.
Medicare and ACHA are simply not funded. These are the on-budget, unfunded elements of the budget. And the debt interest as well.
Its not ‘spending’ that is the problem. It is Medicare and now ACHA as well, along with the debt that are THE problem.
But no politician will address it. They are all cowards.
“But employment has decreased steadily since Obama has been President in any event, which means the number of unemployed has been steadily going up, despite the dubious machinations of unemployment reporting methods (see link below).”
I don’t know why you stopped at Obama. If you change the timeframe of the chart you linked to to also encompass years prior to Obama you’ll see that labor force participation has been steadily declining since the year 2000 and really took a nosedive during the Great Recession.
I’m not just talking about income tax, I am talking about all taxes and mandates and costs added by government regulations and yes, all the corporate taxes built into everything we buy
“Im not just talking about income tax, I am talking about all taxes and mandates and costs added by government regulations and yes, all the corporate taxes built into everything we buy”
With tax revenues being around 27% of GDP how is anyone paying half of their income in taxes?
take government spending out of the GDP
lol, are you trying to suggest that it’s actually 54%?
I’d like to see your math and how you came up with people having trouble keeping half of their income.
Here’s one recent published example
If you add up all the federal and you look at the disability and the unemployment and the Social Security and the state, my tax rate is at 62 to 63 percent”
- California taxes drive him to far over half.
Mickelson is full of crap.
Just to take two of his examples: unemployment and social security the tax rates on those are capped at certain levels of income. CA state unemployment is only paid on the first $7,000 of wages, federally the first $8,000 of wages. Social security currently has an income ceiling of $113,700.
Also according to IRS Publication 17 (2012) Chap 22 people can deduct the state income taxes they pay from their federal income taxes.
I just looked up the CA disability tax rate and it is 1% on the first $95,585 of wages so that has an income ceiling as well.
If Mickelson is actually paying over half of his income in taxes I will eat his spikes and help him find a competent CPA.
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