Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Sowell: Prophets and Losses
Creators Syndicate ^ | February 5, 2013 | Thomas Sowell

Posted on 02/04/2013 1:14:21 PM PST by jazusamo

Now that the federal government is playing an ever larger role in the economy, a look at Washington's track record seems to be long overdue.

The recent release of the Federal Reserve Board's transcripts of its deliberations back in 2007 shows that their economic prophecies were way off. How much faith should we put in their prophecies today — or the policies based on those prophecies?

Even after the housing market began its collapse in 2006, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said in 2007, "The impact on the broader economy and financial markets of the problems in the subprime market seems likely to be contained."

It turned out that financial disasters in the housing market were not "contained," but spread out to affect the whole American economy and economies overseas. Then Chairman Bernanke said: "It is an interesting question why what looks like $100 billion or so of credit losses in the subprime market has been reflected in multiple trillions of dollars of losses in paper wealth."

What is an even more interesting question is why we should put such faith and such power in the hands of a man and an institution that have been so wrong before.

This is not just a question of a bad guess by Ben Bernanke. The previous chairman of the Federal Reserve System, Alan Greenspan, likewise misjudged the consequences of the housing boom and bust. Nor was the Federal Reserve's staff any more accurate in its prophecies. According to the New York Times, "The Fed's own staff still forecast that the economy would avoid a recession."

Today, the economy has not yet fully recovered from the recession that the Federal Reserve System's staff and chairmen thought we would avoid.

(Excerpt) Read more at creators.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Editorial
KEYWORDS: economy; federalreserve; sowell; thomassowell
Prophets and Losses: Part II
1 posted on 02/04/2013 1:14:30 PM PST by jazusamo
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: abigail2; Amalie; American Quilter; arthurus; awelliott; Bahbah; bamahead; Battle Axe; ...
One ping for Part I and Part II. Prophets and Losses: Part II

*PING*
Thomas Sowell

Photobucket - Video and Image Hosting

Recent columns
Whose Welfare?
Shouting Louder
Do Gun Control Laws Control Guns?

Please FReepmail me if you would like to be added to or removed from the Thomas Sowell ping list…

2 posted on 02/04/2013 1:22:35 PM PST by jazusamo ("Mercy to the guilty is cruelty to the innocent." -- Adam Smith)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: loboinok; LongsforReagan; Lost Dutchman; Loyolas Mattman; Lucius Cornelius Sulla; Ludicrous; ...
One ping for Part I and Part II. Prophets and Losses: Part II

Thomas Sowell Ping

3 posted on 02/04/2013 1:26:41 PM PST by jazusamo ("Mercy to the guilty is cruelty to the innocent." -- Adam Smith)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: jazusamo

Good one. Informative. Thanks for the ping jaz.


4 posted on 02/04/2013 1:29:52 PM PST by rockinqsranch (Dems, Libs, Socialists, call 'em what you will, they ALL have fairies livin' in their trees.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: jazusamo

Prophets, and Losses part II great as well.


5 posted on 02/04/2013 1:40:26 PM PST by rockinqsranch (Dems, Libs, Socialists, call 'em what you will, they ALL have fairies livin' in their trees.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: jazusamo

QE is taxation by other means. Benanke for Obama’s sake raises taxes on us by 85 billion a month, it doesn’t come out of your pay check, you can’t file for a refund by april 1, no this tax is felt when you buy gas, heating oil, food, and other consumables that everyone need on a daily basis just to live.


6 posted on 02/04/2013 1:45:54 PM PST by qman (The communist usurper must go!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: jazusamo

Thanks for the ping, jaz


7 posted on 02/04/2013 3:41:13 PM PST by Kaslin (He needed the ignorant to reelect him, and he got them. Now we all have to pay the consequenses)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: jazusamo
The recent release of the Federal Reserve Board's transcripts of its deliberations back in 2007 shows that their economic prophecies were way off. How much faith should we put in their prophecies today — or the policies based on those prophecies?

The low-information Obamabot doesn't have the intellectual horsepower to ask or answer that question.
Nor, for that matter, to revisit the definition of 'insanity.'

8 posted on 02/04/2013 5:48:18 PM PST by publius911 (Look for the Union Label -- then buy something else)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: qman
...no this tax is felt when you buy gas, heating oil, food, and other consumables that everyone need on a daily basis just to live.

Perhaps it would be useful to remind ourselves that at least 3/4 of what defines daily necessities ARE NOT INCLUDED IN THE COST OF LIVING BUNDLE!

That this is deliberate is beyond dispute.

9 posted on 02/04/2013 5:54:40 PM PST by publius911 (Look for the Union Label -- then buy something else)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson