Silver just got lucky when he predicted 49 of 50 states in the Election of 2008 and 50 of 50 states in the Election of 2012 and almost every US Senate races during those elections.
Now, it has been proven that Silver’s predictions, using all his statistical data are no better than a coin flip.
Well, if he’s such a wizard, and his predictions are so golden, I guess you and the rest of us can just quit working and make an outstanding living just betting his predictions, right?
The fact of the matter, whether we like to admit it or not, is that polling has become very accurate in recent years, because there is so much of it being done, and the methodologies have become well refined. Anyone who has access to all the polling that he does is going to basically make the same predictions. It’s not nearly as big a deal as the liberal media wants us to believe.