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7 Questions That Will Determine the Success or Failure Of Barack Obama's Second Term
Townhall.com ^ | November 20, 2012 | John Hawkins

Posted on 11/20/2012 4:24:20 AM PST by Kaslin

When British Prime Minister Harold Macmillan was asked what might knock his administration off course, he famously responded, "Events, dear boy, events." There's a lot of truth to that. At any point in time, an unexpected event can throw the political world into turmoil. However, more often than not, it's not the blindside hit that gets you so much as the freight train you've seen coming for miles.

When Barack Obama came into office, he had a number of serious challenges to deal with and not only has he effectively addressed very few of them, many of them have worsened on his watch. In fact, the thing Barack Obama has proven most adept at in his first term is pointing the finger elsewhere. He may have been able to shift the blame from himself to George Bush, the filibuster, the Supreme Court, Republicans in Congress, Rush Limbaugh, ATM machines, the economy in Europe and everything under the sun, but after four years and counting in office, more and more of the American people are going to be interested in results rather than excuses. How Barack Obama handles those issues may not only determine how he's viewed by the American people, it could conceivably impact the reputation of the Democratic Party for decades.

1) When does the economy recover? At some point, you have to think that the natural vitality of the economy will reassert itself and get the country moving again. On the other hand, just as FDR's tinkering caused the Great Depression to extend out for over a decade, Obama's socialistic policies could continue to stall economic growth. Obama's determination to increase taxes, expand government, take over new industries and generally make war on productive industries and people -- along with the impact of our debt, the soft housing market, the implementation of Obamacare and the hundreds of billions of dollars in new regulations he'll impose -- will all be drags on economic growth. Can the economy recover and start pumping out jobs at a decent clip despite all of Obama's handicaps? Your job may depend on it.

2) What happens in the Middle East? Barack Obama embraced the Arab Spring that's throwing the Middle East into turmoil. That means if Egypt and Libya fall apart, Obama gets the blame. If Egypt were to end its peace treaty with Israel, Obama would also be at fault. Then there's Iraq and Afghanistan. He put timelines in place in both nations, which was a very risky strategy. An implosion in either country would reflect badly on him. Additionally, our relationship with Pakistan, which is a highly unstable, nuclear armed nation, has deteriorated significantly on Obama's watch. We also can't forget that Iran is still pursuing nuclear weapons, which would be a terrifying prospect for Israel and could create a nuclear arms race in the Middle East. Barack Obama may be great at managing the media, but he isn't effectively managing any of these issues right now and the potential is there for things to quickly spiral out of control.

3) Will there be key Supreme Court vacancies? There are four Supreme Court Justices that are over seventy years of age including Antonin Scalia (76) and Anthony Kennedy (76). Unlike the conservatives on the court, the liberal justices slavishly vote based on what serves liberalism, not the law. What that means is that if Obama were able to replace one or both of those retiring justices, it's not an exaggeration to say that the Constitution would for all intents and purposes cease to exist because there would be five liberal votes for almost anything that the Left wants to do.

4) Will we have any large scale terrorist attacks in the United States? Al-Qaeda is certainly degraded, but it's not spent, the border is still wide open, the Obama Administration doesn't seem to take Homeland Security all that seriously, and the remnants of Bin Laden's organization would love nothing better than to show that it's still a powerful force by launching a large scale attack in the United States. In the wake of a serious terrorist attack, there could certainly be a rally-round-the-flag effect, but the American people have become very complacent at this point and are assuming the government has it all handled. If that turns out not to be true when the perception is that this isn't a big issue for Obama in the first place, the reaction could be savage.

5) Does Obama get caught up in any scandals? Obama is not a "letter of the law" sort of guy. He's plays it fast and loose, lies if he gets in trouble and assumes the press will cover for him. That has already produced Fast and Furious and the Benghazi cover-up -- two scandals with body counts. Neither Fast and Furious nor Benghazi has reached its apex and you can be sure that there will be other significant scandals in the works just because of Obama's habitual try, lie and deny way of tackling issues. Then the question becomes, how aggressive will the Republicans be and will there be any major mainstream media organizations aside from Fox that have enough integrity or smell enough ratings to go after Obama. Although it's unlikely that Obama would be impeached, realizing that Obama makes Nixon look like a choir boy would be no small matter.

6) How bad will our debt crisis get? Republicans seem to be more willing to consider tax increases, but Democrats still don't seem to have any interest in tackling entitlement reform and their willingness to make other significant cuts to the budget seems to be extremely limited as well. On the other hand, although it could just be a negotiating posture, the early indications seem to be that the Democrats' strategy is to go over the fiscal cliff and then try to blame Republicans for the slowdown. The good news is that would undoubtedly help a great deal with the size, but the size of it could also conceivably slow down the economy. Unfortunately, unless Obama has a change of attitude, it could conceivably be the one opportunity for large spending cuts in the next four years. If that turns out to be the case, expect our credit rating to slide even further. If Western Europe gets its spending issues under control and investors feel more comfortable in putting their money back in those countries, it even possible that our full transformation into Greece could start before the end of Obama's second term.

7) How difficult will the implementation of Obamacare become? While working to get Obamacare passed, the Democrats just said anything and everything that people wanted to hear about Obamacare. Now, there are a lot of people who are expecting a nearly free, well-run medical care system that covers everyone and allows people to keep whatever they like about the current system. Instead, they're going to see tax increases, a decrease in the number of available doctors, businesses dropping insurance because of Obamacare, delays, uneven implementation, and price increases among a plethora of other problems. In other words, it's going to be a Hurricane Sandy for the American medical system.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Editorial; Government
KEYWORDS: barackobama; debtcrisis; failure; success

1 posted on 11/20/2012 4:24:28 AM PST by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin
One question we already know the answer to and makes all the others irrelevant:

"Will he give a d@*# if the whole thing collapses?"

2 posted on 11/20/2012 4:30:40 AM PST by Caipirabob (Communists... Socialists... Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
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To: Kaslin

His second term will be a failure. Same as the first. But the American people will never know it because the media will never tell them.


3 posted on 11/20/2012 4:34:09 AM PST by lowbridge (Joe Biden: "Look, the Taliban per se is not our enemy.")
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To: Kaslin

This is the most uninteresting kind of article in the world. I was sick and tired of them by the time of the 2008 election: Advice to Obama. All of them predicated on an assumption that Obama wants the United States to do anything other than collapse in bankruptcy, violence, and starvation.


4 posted on 11/20/2012 4:34:21 AM PST by Arthur McGowan (If you're FOR sticking scissors in a baby girl's neck and sucking out her brains, you are PRO-WOMAN!)
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To: Kaslin
Seven things obama can do to save America:

1) Fail
2) Fail
3) Fail
4) Fail
5) Fail
6) Fail
7) Fail

In the name of JESUS, Amen.

LLS

5 posted on 11/20/2012 4:35:54 AM PST by LibLieSlayer (I AM JOHN GALT)
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To: Kaslin

I think Obama’s definition of “success” is much different than what ours would be.

I wish I knew how to post pics here; this is a good spot of that one with Obama standing in the middle of a flaming Armageddon saying “My work here is finished.”


6 posted on 11/20/2012 4:37:14 AM PST by Clarence
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To: Kaslin

“Al-Qaeda is certainly degraded, but it’s not spent...”

Not when you still have Zawahiri out there.


7 posted on 11/20/2012 4:42:41 AM PST by equaviator (There's nothing like the universe to bring you down to earth.)
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To: Clarence

...”Obama’s definition of “success” is much different than what ours would be.”

Not only that but how he measures success.


8 posted on 11/20/2012 4:44:11 AM PST by equaviator (There's nothing like the universe to bring you down to earth.)
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To: lowbridge
Bingo.
9 posted on 11/20/2012 4:47:42 AM PST by Joe Brower (The "American People" are no longer capable of self-governance.)
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To: Clarence
You mean this?


10 posted on 11/20/2012 4:47:52 AM PST by Kaslin ( One Big Ass Mistake America (Make that Two))
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To: lowbridge

Well, they will know when he demands a third term


11 posted on 11/20/2012 4:53:56 AM PST by Kaslin ( One Big Ass Mistake America (Make that Two))
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To: Kaslin

Absent a “road to Damascus” conversion to a free market capitalist, the only possible route to success is immediate resignation and leave the failure to JoJo Biden


12 posted on 11/20/2012 4:55:56 AM PST by muir_redwoods (Don't fire until you see the blue of their helmets)
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To: Kaslin

First we have to agree on whose definition of “success” is used...his or ours?


13 posted on 11/20/2012 5:06:11 AM PST by Mygirlsmom (Twinkie is Dead. And the Ding Dongs? Unemployed.)
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To: Kaslin

The first thing to recognize is that Obama has different yardstick, with which to measure “success”.

America had better hope that Obama FAILS in his agenda, for it is the destruction of America.


14 posted on 11/20/2012 5:08:34 AM PST by G Larry (Which of Obama's policies do you think I'd support if he were white?)
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To: Kaslin

Will the secession movement grow or fade away? It seems that most people aren’t taking it seriously even here in Texas. But could it grow, especially among young people?


15 posted on 11/20/2012 5:09:44 AM PST by MulberryDraw (That which cannot be paid, won't be paid.)
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To: Kaslin

Dumbass article written by some clown thinking that Obama measures success the same as the rest of us. Collapse=success. Misery=success. Military weakness=success. Bread lines=success.


16 posted on 11/20/2012 5:09:58 AM PST by albie
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To: Kaslin

Dumbass article written by some clown thinking that Obama measures success the same as the rest of us. Collapse=success. Misery=success. Military weakness=success. Bread lines=success.


17 posted on 11/20/2012 5:10:03 AM PST by albie
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To: lowbridge
>His second term will be a failure. Same as the first. But the American people will never know it because the media will never tell them.<

The American people will have a pretty good idea that SOMETHING'S going on when The Meltdown comes, their EBT cards don't work and the banks close.

18 posted on 11/20/2012 5:11:23 AM PST by Jerrybob (Truth -- the new hate speech.)
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To: Kaslin

Re question 7 - expect waiting lists, waiting lists, and more waiting lists.

in my old country they have universal healthcare. On a population of almost 17 million there are only TWO, yes count ‘em, TWO hospitals who can and will perform Laparoscopic hysterectomies. How do I know? My sister was just approved for such a procedure but the waiting list is three months. Sure hope democraps are not rolling on the floor with pain because my sister sure is.


19 posted on 11/20/2012 5:13:22 AM PST by bergmeid (FUBO)
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To: Kaslin
#8: How soon Marxism be fully implemented?
#9: How soon will the Constitution be repealed?
#10: Will 'Rules for Radicals' become the law of the land?
20 posted on 11/20/2012 5:45:01 AM PST by SERKIT ("Blazing Saddles" explains it all.......)
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To: LibLieSlayer

On Question # 5: if a scandal happens in a forest and no one hears it or sees it, is it still a scandal? Obama could be found with a dead body in his bed and the media would ignore it.


21 posted on 11/20/2012 6:05:58 AM PST by NotTallTex
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To: Kaslin

that’s the one, thanks!


22 posted on 11/20/2012 6:09:37 AM PST by Clarence
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To: Clarence

You’re welcome


23 posted on 11/20/2012 6:19:43 AM PST by Kaslin ( One Big Ass Mistake America (Make that Two))
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To: NotTallTex
There are still some in the news biz that would sell their soul for a Pulitzer... they will sell out barry too. Patience.

LLS

24 posted on 11/20/2012 6:58:13 AM PST by LibLieSlayer (I AM JOHN GALT)
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To: LibLieSlayer

They don’t give Pulitzers for exposing Obama.


25 posted on 11/20/2012 7:26:43 AM PST by broadcastdude (Tagline to be announced later.)
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To: broadcastdude

Yeah... and they didn’t give it for exposing nixon either.

LLS


26 posted on 11/20/2012 7:31:51 AM PST by LibLieSlayer (I AM JOHN GALT)
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To: Kaslin

His “success” would be the country’s failure so it’s a failure already even before it starts, period. Unless he has a stroke that causes a massive personality change or something like that.


27 posted on 11/20/2012 8:08:16 AM PST by Impy (Boehner for President - 2013)
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To: Kaslin

“Failure” and “Obama” are two words you will never hear from the American Pravda in the same sentence.


28 posted on 11/20/2012 8:17:09 AM PST by Polyxene (Out of the depths I have cried to Thee, O Lord; Lord, hear my voice.)
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To: Kaslin
1)If the counterfeiting Fed stops the printing press, the house of cards will fall.

2)The long term unemployed have/will become unemployable...with the under-employed falling further and further behind, throw in a new round of massive Mexico poverty expulsion(following immigration reform)...bad, bad scenario.

Starve the beast(gov. and media)and watch all the brainwashed/spoiled children turn into the Night Of The Living Dead.

29 posted on 11/20/2012 8:30:08 AM PST by RckyRaCoCo (I prefer liberty with danger to peace with slavery, IXNAY THE TSA!)
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