Posted on 11/08/2012 10:27:21 AM PST by Tired of Taxes
I see no methodology. There’s no mention of sample size, methodology of selection of voter, etc. There’s no mention of geographical area(s) where this polling was conducted, during what time, nor what the stats look like for absentee or early voting, nor is there any demographic information on what the general control population makeup is or their voting patterns.
In other words, waving this sort of stuff around in front of a retired EE like me, who has studied a lot of probability and stats, leaves me completely non-plussed. You might as well have told me the average price of potato(e)s in three different states - it would be about as relevant to the election as these exit polls.
I see no methodology. There’s no mention of sample size, methodology of selection of voter, etc. There’s no mention of geographical area(s) where this polling was conducted, during what time, nor what the stats look like for absentee or early voting, nor is there any demographic information on what the general control population makeup is or their voting patterns.
In other words, waving this sort of stuff around in front of a retired EE like me, who has studied a lot of probability and stats, leaves me completely non-plussed. You might as well have told me the average price of potato(e)s in three different states - it would be about as relevant to the election as these exit polls.
I know of evangelical Christians who refused to vote for either Obama or Romney. Obama, because ... he’s Obama, with all the baggage of the left.
But they wouldn’t vote for Romney, because he’s an evil Mormon, with plural wives in a cave somewhere up in the hills of Utah...
No, I’m not kidding. There’s a lot of crazy stuff that comes down from the pulpits of a lot of churches.
I know of evangelical Christians who refused to vote for either Obama or Romney. Obama, because ... he’s Obama, with all the baggage of the left.
But they wouldn’t vote for Romney, because he’s an evil Mormon, with plural wives in a cave somewhere up in the hills of Utah...
No, I’m not kidding. There’s a lot of crazy stuff that comes down from the pulpits of a lot of churches.
So here’s an easy way to game this type of poll:
Take the survey among only target voting populations in the west, where there are more Mormons.
Among east-coast Catholics I’ve known (eg, Italians in upstate NY), their support or tolerance of Mormons is nowhere near this - and isn’t above 50%, either. Matter of fact, their tolerance of anyone who isn’t Italian and Catholic was one of the reasons why I left the area 30 years ago.
Well, this is only anecdotal evidence, but... Most of the Italian Catholics whom I know voted for Romney. But I don’t live in NY, and this small sample wouldn’t represent the entire population. There’s no doubt there are other Catholics voting Democrat.
Now you know who your real friends are. Sane Catholics, meet evangelicals. Evangelicals, meet sane Catholics.
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