Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Why Democrats will never nominate a white person again for POTUS
11.07.2012 | barryobi

Posted on 11/07/2012 4:49:51 PM PST by barryobi

We need to come to grips with what the democrats are doing. They have cracked the code and the implications for our country are too terrible to contemplate. The democrats are about power, first and foremost. They could care less who sits in the White House. As long as they can get their liberal, socialist agenda enacted, they are fine with whomever occupied the White House.

The democrats have cracked the code. They know they will get 90% plus of the black vote, 70% plus of the hispanice vote, and 40% or so of the white vote. With the changing demographics in our country, if the democrats continue to nominate black candidates, they can be assured of winning because they know that the so called 'swing states' like Wi. NC, Va., Fl., and Oh are easily won if the black turnout is juiced up by nominating a black candidate.

If we look at Wisconsin for example, even though Republicans WON an increasing majority in both the state assembly, state senate, AND re-elected the FIVE Republican Congress members whioh is more than the Three Democrat members who we have, they still trounced Romney in the POTUS election and elected the MOST liberal member of Congress to the US Senate.

How did they accomplish this? Only five months ago, Scott Walker won his recall 53-47. Obama won the state easily by getting the inner city black and hispanics to turn out and vote big for him.

Just like I predicted on FR before the election, if the votes were under 2.75 million Romney would probably win. The votes were over 3 million and Romney lost by 200k votes. The entire difference was made up by increased minority and youth voters.

We need to recognize the reality of the demographics and adjust accordingly. By that I mean we have three choices.

1. Go after the single female vote by somehow moderating the stance on contraception.

2. Go after the hispanic vote by moderating the stance on immigration.

3. Go after the black vote. How we do this without offering reparations I am not sure. All I know is that even if we nominate a black candidate for POTUS or VP it would probably not make a bit of difference because the black community is hooked on the entitlements the Democrats have showered on them. From SNAP to Obama phones, to section 8 housing, the blacks are like crack addicts, they have given up and become wards of the state.

I wish I had another solution, but the reality of what the democrats are doing to keep power hit me like a ton of bricks this morning. Unless we figure out a way to counter the demographic trends, we can kiss the White House goodbye.

One last point, I can predict right now that the next nominee for POTUS the democrats will put up is probably Deval Patrick, Obama's old buddy from Chicago who is Gov. of Mass.


TOPICS: Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: obama; vanity
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-5051 next last

1 posted on 11/07/2012 4:49:57 PM PST by barryobi
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: barryobi

They won’t need to nominate another person for POTUS, because either, the country will fall/ we’ll be invaded, or elections will be ended, Congress, the Senate and Supreme Court will be abolished and Obama will become our first dictator.


2 posted on 11/07/2012 4:55:13 PM PST by wastedyears (I don't want to live on this planet anymore.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: barryobi

Hillary likely their next nominee. Clinton did his part for that deal.

Obama also is given a do-over by a white populace use to affirmative action lowering expectations. MSM is their real key. They coordinate with JournOlists (including SNL and Daily Show) to come up with a consistent drum beat narrative Republicans can’t break.

Let ALL the Bush cuts expire. Let sequestration hit. Obama owns it.

People don’t really experience what crap they vote for. Let it fall on them.


3 posted on 11/07/2012 4:57:37 PM PST by TigerClaws
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: barryobi
1. Go after the single female vote by somehow moderating the stance on contraception.

By surrendering to their demand$

2. Go after the hispanic vote by moderating the stance on immigration.

by surrendering to their demand$

3. Go after the black vote.

By surrendering to their demand$.

Any one of these options means we've lost anyway.

4 posted on 11/07/2012 4:58:00 PM PST by skeeter
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: wastedyears

I guess it’s not the character issue, no one cares that a candidate is a doper, unfaithful, lies.

I guess it’s not the economy, no one gives a rats patootie about a budget or jobs.

It’s all about the spoils.


5 posted on 11/07/2012 4:59:24 PM PST by yldstrk (My heroes have always been cowboys)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: skeeter

Ummm, you don’t win by making your view the opposing sides’ view.

If you do, just call yourself a rino - you know the kind we bitch about being nominated all the time, and complaining that that’s why nobody on our sideis excited to vote for?


6 posted on 11/07/2012 5:02:24 PM PST by Secret Agent Man (I can neither confirm or deny that; even if I could, I couldn't - it's classified.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: TigerClaws

Hillary is toast. Obama will hand Benghazi over her shoulders no matter what he promised Bill. Obama has no soul, he will throw anyone under the bus to further his ambitions. The Clinton cabal will soon find this out first hand.

When Deval Patrick or Cory Booker run for POTUS, Obama will play the same race card in support of them that he played against Hillary.

The democrat ‘establishment’ will fall in behind Obama as he plays kingmaker. Watch and see.


7 posted on 11/07/2012 5:02:37 PM PST by barryobi
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: barryobi

U r awesome...! I love your articles..!


8 posted on 11/07/2012 5:03:21 PM PST by gaijin
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Secret Agent Man

I am just facing reality. Going Galt may be the route many of us choose. It is just my opinion that people should start preparing for the inevitable.


9 posted on 11/07/2012 5:04:23 PM PST by barryobi
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: barryobi

Are you saying we never have to vote for Biden again?


10 posted on 11/07/2012 5:07:43 PM PST by ProudFossil (" I never did give anyone hell. I just told the truth and they thought it was hell." Harry Truman)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: barryobi

hey ..whites are out and thats the end of the story..our politicians imported enough minorities to finish us off. it s over


11 posted on 11/07/2012 5:07:53 PM PST by dalebert
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: barryobi

What’s our position on contraception? I didn’t realize we had one.


12 posted on 11/07/2012 5:08:27 PM PST by ilgipper (Obama supporters are comprised of the uninformed & the ill-informed)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: barryobi
Good analysis. Good and sobering. I agree. Even an exceedingly incompetent but
somewhat charismatic Black will work. No short supply of those.

What I haven't read today is talk of replacing the Republican Party. I know that's
heresy, even in my thinking, but I believe it is a damaged "brand" and will
forever be branded RICH OLD WHITE GUYS among minorities. I'm not at all for giving in on our principles of Constitutional Conservatism fueled by capitalism, but might we consider a repackaging?

As a thought experiment, what if we called ourselves the Freedom Party, and highlighted our principles in relation to freedom? It seems to me that freedom could
be an attractive sell for young and minorities.
13 posted on 11/07/2012 5:10:38 PM PST by jobim (.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: barryobi
The Democrats can count on about 88% of the Black vote whoever they nominate. Indeed, they wouldn't do worse than that among Black voters unless they really, really tried to alienate them.

So they don't need to put an African-American on the ticket to win the Black vote by a large majority. I'd be surprised if they nominated another African-American any time soon.

Hispanics are another matter. Democrats can't expect they'll do as well with Latinos in future elections. To shore up the demographic, there will be a Hispanic on the Democratic ticket in the next presidential election or two (and maybe one on the Republican ticket).

14 posted on 11/07/2012 5:10:49 PM PST by x
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: barryobi

Next time around....An Hispanic....They’ll pull him out of a community service project....pump him up....and away they go.


15 posted on 11/07/2012 5:12:19 PM PST by Sacajaweau (r)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: barryobi

Obama is a repeatable phenomenon? Not sure about that.

Hillary is in deep but likely a fall guy coming up. Golden parachute in private industry after they take the blame.

I’d expect a Latino is what Dems are seeking right now. Solidify the 80% margin within that easily exploitable group and growing demographic.


16 posted on 11/07/2012 5:13:38 PM PST by TigerClaws
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: barryobi

Ssssssssshhhhh. Hillary no longer has a future.


17 posted on 11/07/2012 5:13:55 PM PST by Broker (Another sojourner)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: barryobi

Hillary will go home. Bill will be the ambassador to Tahiti...


18 posted on 11/07/2012 5:14:18 PM PST by Sacajaweau (r)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: All

. Go after the black vote. How we do this without offering reparations I am not sure. All I know is that even if we nominate a black candidate for POTUS or VP it would probably not make a bit of difference because the black community is hooked on the entitlements the Democrats have showered on them. From SNAP to Obama phones, to section 8 housing, the blacks are like crack addicts, they have given up and become wards of the state.

please reread this multiple times. the conclusion is that this will continue until we go bankrupt like greece. then a social upheaval and i dont think anyone can predict the outcome.


19 posted on 11/07/2012 5:20:23 PM PST by willywill
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: skeeter

I think you’ve nailed it. All we have to do to win is become liberal democrats.

I got bad news for the “moderates”. They’ll all be voting straight ticket democrat before I cave into their treasonous demands.


20 posted on 11/07/2012 5:22:10 PM PST by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: jobim

“Good analysis. Good and sobering. I agree. Even an exceedingly incompetent but
somewhat charismatic Black will work. No short supply of those.”

Jesse Jackson jr?


21 posted on 11/07/2012 5:22:10 PM PST by ari-freedom (Election Day should be after Thanksgiving, not right after Halloween)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: dalebert
"... our politicians imported enough minorities to finish us off. it s over."

Our white Democrat and leftist Republican politicians. Think Ted Kennedy and RINO's.

22 posted on 11/07/2012 5:24:09 PM PST by StormEye
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: ari-freedom
Image Hosted by ImageShack.us
23 posted on 11/07/2012 5:24:11 PM PST by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: barryobi

I had the same exact thought today. You are exactly correct. It will never be a white male again. They will start with blacks but then any permutation of minority and woman will be tried.


24 posted on 11/07/2012 5:24:17 PM PST by frogjerk (Obama Claus is coming to town!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: barryobi

LOL! They have been planning this for a long time. That is the purpose of open borders (illegals in the millions) and multiculturalism (cementing foreign group tribalism with no clue about freedom with hatred, resentment and envy against rraaacis whitey.) Americans have been invaded and conquered; not by the invaders, but by the socialist elite of both parties).

The Rinos in the GOP want to join the dems but the targeted native whites who vote for them (conservatives) won’t go along with their own enslavement.


25 posted on 11/07/2012 5:24:57 PM PST by SaraJohnson
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: cripplecreek

Winning for winning’s sake alone seems to me to miss the point entirely.


26 posted on 11/07/2012 5:25:23 PM PST by skeeter
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: barryobi

I’m going to agree that #2 is the likeliest best opportunity. Blacks and Hispanics are not generally united in their views save for electoral politics. Blacks are invested in the libdems plantation. Highlighting a rift between blacks and hispanics might help to send a good portion to our side.


27 posted on 11/07/2012 5:25:23 PM PST by Sgt_Schultze (A half-truth is a complete lie)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: barryobi

This morning my dad surmised that the 2016 Dem nominee will be a half black, half Hispanic lesbian, and that we will lose that race, too.

Demographics. We are done.


28 posted on 11/07/2012 5:25:54 PM PST by LittleSpotBlog
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: barryobi

The Republicans aren’t likely to have an all white ticket again either.

Demographically, this country has become far friendlier to Democrats. To remain a viable party, the Republicans will adjust. Conservatives aren’t going to like that adjustment, but it is what it is.


29 posted on 11/07/2012 5:27:12 PM PST by Longbow1969
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: wastedyears
These things have a way of working themselves out eventually. Naziism no longer has much cachet in Germany, although it took a world war and a destroyed continent to achieve that result. The cheerleaders and scribes who enabled it went down with the ship.

Google "Julius Streicher" if you want more details.

If you want still more details on the current end game, then read the Book of Revelation.

30 posted on 11/07/2012 5:29:08 PM PST by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: barryobi

Democrats? It’s not only Democrats who will never nominate another white. Republicans won’t, either. Mark my words, George W. Bush was our last white male President. From now on, every presidential ticket will look like a team on the evening news. When was the last time you saw two white males as a news team? Huntley and Brinkley?

Face it. It’s over for whites. If this is what it’s like when we’re still the majority, imagine when we’re a minority, (which will be real soon.)

For the first time in my life, I’m glad I have no kids or grandkids.


31 posted on 11/07/2012 5:30:17 PM PST by Nea Wood (When life gets too hard to stand, kneel.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: willywill
"From SNAP to Obama phones, to section 8 housing, the blacks are like crack addicts, they have given up and become wards of the state."

And I expect there will soon be Obama Cadillacs -- straight from Obama's Government Motors.

32 posted on 11/07/2012 5:31:22 PM PST by StormEye
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: TigerClaws
Let ALL the Bush cuts expire. Let sequestration hit. Obama owns it.

Do you really believe that? The Dims will place blame squarely on the "do nothing Republican obstructionists in the House" (their term). I've already heard that meme being used when the topic of sequestration comes up. I'm sure its been focus-group tested and found effective.

33 posted on 11/07/2012 5:33:01 PM PST by Bernard Marx
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: barryobi

So if the ‘pubs become EVEN more like the marxist party, they will win? Nope. They will lose by more and become irrelevant, if they already haven’t this time.


34 posted on 11/07/2012 5:34:28 PM PST by dynachrome ("Our forefathers didn't bury their guns. They buried those that tried to take them.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: skeeter; cripplecreek
Winning for winning’s sake alone seems to me to miss the point entirely.

Agreed; CS Lewis said it this way:

    The woman who makes a dog the centre of her life loses, in the end, not only her human usefulness and dignity but even the proper pleasure of dog-keeping.
    The man who makes alcohol his chief good loses not only his job but his palate and all power of enjoying the earlier (and only pleasurable) levels of intoxication.
    It is a glorious thing to feel for a moment or two that the whole meaning of the universe is summed up in one woman—glorious so long as other duties and pleasures keep tearing you away from her. But clear the decks and so arrange your life (it is sometimes feasible) that you will have nothing to do but contemplate her, and what happens?
    Of course this law has been discovered before, but it will stand re-discovery. It may be stated as follows: every preference of a small good to a great, or partial good to a total good, involves the loss of the small or partial good for which the sacrifice is made.

    …You can’t get second things by putting them first. You get second things only by putting first things first.

35 posted on 11/07/2012 5:35:54 PM PST by OneWingedShark (Q: Why am I here? A: To do Justly, to love mercy, and to walk humbly with my God.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 26 | View Replies]

To: barryobi

They likely will not nominate a white male for a good while. They will need to pick an hispanic, a woman etc in some order before they go with a white male again.

This well could hamper them in the future.


36 posted on 11/07/2012 5:36:16 PM PST by JLS
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: barryobi

This will only work for a while. The country will be completely unable to repay its debts in less than ten years. In that time the dollar will be replaced, and the Yuan will be the new international currency. Neither Obama nor any other democrat will do anything to fix this, and it will cause a massive depression. When things really get serious, and they will, all bets are off as to whether either party can survive.


37 posted on 11/07/2012 5:36:37 PM PST by Vince Ferrer
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: barryobi

No republican has ever gotten liberals to vote for them, and win because he tried to be more liberal like his opponent. We aren’t the real deal, the libtards want to vote for liberals. MSM, no matter how moderate, turns the pubbie evil, and democrat, good.

It’s a known losing strategy and we proved it in 1996, 2008 and 2012.


38 posted on 11/07/2012 5:41:56 PM PST by Secret Agent Man (I can neither confirm or deny that; even if I could, I couldn't - it's classified.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: barryobi

You are probably right. Here in Virginia the black rural precincts and smaller black cities were jam packed with voters.


39 posted on 11/07/2012 5:42:01 PM PST by palmer (Jim, please bill me 50 cents for this completely useless post)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: barryobi

The best thing we can do is to get out of democrat run areas, and when they implode, they will take many of themselves out way before they become target practice for decent people. Their own ineptness will decimate their own numbers.

The next thing to fight against is regionalism, which is the libs way of tryingto get money from people who don’t live under their control.


40 posted on 11/07/2012 5:44:38 PM PST by Secret Agent Man (I can neither confirm or deny that; even if I could, I couldn't - it's classified.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Nea Wood; Impy

“...I’m glad I have no kids or grandkids.”

Me either. Bringing kids up to be slaves for the “gimme” crowd? I would never do it.


41 posted on 11/07/2012 6:10:03 PM PST by GOPsterinMA
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 31 | View Replies]

To: barryobi

A white liberal would NOT have won the election yesterday. I disagreed with my friends and family in 08 and in this election anytime they mentioned race being a factor in Obama’s favor. It hit me today that I have been completely wrong. AA turned out for him and Got out the vote both times (more in 2012 than in 2008 in some states). They did not turn out in 2010 or in the Scott Walker recall election because they did not care about those elections. They only cared about electing and re-electing Obama. I can’t blame them for wanting a President who is black. I can blame them for not even knowing who is running mate is, much less even understanding his freakin’ policies.


42 posted on 11/07/2012 6:10:49 PM PST by RRismyhero (Mr. Obama - You can keep your change.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: barryobi

My view is different. Hispanics didn’t go for Obama due to “immigration” - they went for Obama over his class war rhetoric.

We have imported into the USA the lowest classes of Mexican and South American societies. These countries have out-sourced their social welfare and education spending for their lowest classes to the United States Govt. These people were raised in societies that only know socialism, and they are extremely class-conscious.

Obamas class-warfare rhetoric was the best strategy for these people.


43 posted on 11/07/2012 6:42:11 PM PST by PGR88
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Longbow1969

How do we do it? Just make a rule that the VP slot is apportioned to a minority?

I loved Herman Cain, but he didn’t bring the same game to the primaries. Who’s in our farm team and can they excel?


44 posted on 11/07/2012 6:58:20 PM PST by sgtyork (The secret of happiness is freedom, and the secret of freedom, courage. Thucydidesm)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 29 | View Replies]

To: RRismyhero
"A white liberal would NOT have won the election yesterday. I disagreed with my friends and family in 08 and in this election anytime they mentioned race being a factor in Obama’s favor. It hit me today that I have been completely wrong. AA turned out for him and Got out the vote both times (more in 2012 than in 2008 in some states). They did not turn out in 2010 or in the Scott Walker recall election because they did not care about those elections. They only cared about electing and re-electing Obama. I can’t blame them for wanting a President who is black. I can blame them for not even knowing who is running mate is, much less even understanding his freakin’ policies"

You nailed it.  That's why the conservative pundants got it wrong about thinking the polls were skewed and therefore wrong (inferring a Romney landslide), because they just knew from the 2010 midterm elections that the enthusiasm and turnout would be huge for conservatives, and down for dems.  They did not factor in that blacks did not make a huge turnout for the 2010 midterms because their black icon obama was not on any 2010 midterm ticket!  Fricken idiots to miss that little caveat.  It's all about race, gender and identity politics.

45 posted on 11/07/2012 7:34:02 PM PST by CaptainKrunch (Freedom does not promise safety and security, freedom only promises freedom.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 42 | View Replies]

To: barryobi

why do you think democracy was done a disservice because *more* eligible voters turned out? you think democracy would have been better served if only white males were allowed to vote? were you aware that your political ideology lost world war 2 more than half a century ago? face it, the anglo-saxon, or aryan if you’d prefer, male dominant world is gone and isn’t coming back. oh and for those of you considering moving to canada after the election results; fuck off, we don’t want you. obama’s too conservative to get elected in canada. i don’t know if you’ve been paying attention at all but we’re actually a socialist country. trudeau, one of our greatest prime ministers, wrote glasnost and perestroika with the soviet ambassador to canada in the 80s. true story.


46 posted on 11/07/2012 8:31:12 PM PST by capnqi
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: barryobi

Unfortunately, it’s just too late. Obama will grant citizenship to tens of millions of illegal aliens before the end of his second term, and that will be the foundation for turning America into a one-party state. The illegal aliens will owe everything to the Democratic Party, and they and their children and their grandchildren will vote straight ticket Democrat for decades to come. Blacks are already doing it, and then you add to that the tens of millions who will be relying on the federal government for their health care, and the Dems have a permanent lock. It’s over.


47 posted on 11/07/2012 9:02:31 PM PST by Behind the Blue Wall
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: capnqi

I believe the point is not about excluding voters. The point is that western democracy will work when voters vote for political ideas and proven leadership and experience rather than skin color.

It will begin to break down when they do not. What is under discussion is that in the last election there was an element of pride that all races voted for a minority candidate. It was understandable that an inexperienced candidate would gain a lot of enthusiasm for breaking a barrier.

In this election the candidate no longer had no history, but rather a history of failure and lack of regard for traditional separation of power under the Constitution. This apparently had no effect on the racial demographic from which he came.

If our leadership roles begin to be, like the third world, just a way for various tribes to gain powers over the others, this is a big step down from ‘who will best lead our unified country’.

Of course you knew this because you knew that because you are a racist liberal idiot.


48 posted on 11/08/2012 1:30:13 PM PST by sgtyork (The secret of happiness is freedom, and the secret of freedom, courage. Thucydidesm)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 46 | View Replies]

To: capnqi

I believe the point is not about excluding voters. The point is that western democracy will work when voters vote for political ideas and proven leadership and experience rather than skin color.

It will begin to break down when they do not. What is under discussion is that in the last election there was an element of pride that all races voted for a minority candidate. It was understandable that an inexperienced candidate would gain a lot of enthusiasm for breaking a barrier.

In this election the candidate no longer had no history, but rather a history of failure and lack of regard for traditional separation of power under the Constitution. This apparently had no effect on the racial demographic from which he came.

If our leadership roles begin to be, like the third world, just a way for various tribes to gain powers over the others, this is a big step down from ‘who will best lead our unified country’.

Of course you knew this because that because you are a racist liberal idiot.


49 posted on 11/08/2012 1:30:23 PM PST by sgtyork (The secret of happiness is freedom, and the secret of freedom, courage. Thucydidesm)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 46 | View Replies]

To: barryobi
Obama didn't win in 2008 because he brought in the Black vote. Any Democrat wins over 90% of the African-American vote in a two candidate race. They didn't need a Black or half-Black candidate on the ticket to pull in those numbers. Parties don't usually go out of their way to choose a nominee from a group that already gives them over 90% of their votes.

Where race did help Obama was with younger or college educated White voters who felt good and noble about voting for a Black candidate -- either because they felt particularly virtuous themselves, or because they thought electing an African-American president would usher in a new and better age.

Those feelings were a lot weaker in 2012, and they'll be weaker still in 2016 and 2020. A lot of those young or upper middle class White voters aren't going make a special effort for a mediocre nonentity like Deval Patrick simply because of his race. The novelty is wearing off, and with it the feeling that electing a Black president is going to symbolize much or solve anything. I also don't see whiz kid Corey Booker going very far. Obama has played that card (whether or not he had a right to) and it will be hard to use it any time soon.

Latinos are a different story. They don't all vote for the same party. Having a Hispanic on the ticket -- at the top of the ticket -- will bring in Latinos who don't vote Democrat. It might bring in a lot of younger voters, White (or Asian) liberals, and people who don't usually vote, just as Obama did in 2008.

Latino numbers and share of the population are growing and Democrats are likely to stake a lot on holding on to that demographic. One problem with scenarios like yours, though, is that there's some rivalry between minority groups (between Blacks and Hispanics, say) and even within them (between Hispanics of various national origins), so the idea that politics will forever focus on Whites against non-Whites probably isn't realistic.

50 posted on 11/08/2012 1:51:40 PM PST by x
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-5051 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson