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Dick Morris: Why I Was Wrong
National Review ^

Posted on 11/07/2012 12:06:52 PM PST by TigerClaws

Dick Morris explains why his prediction was completely off:

I’ve got egg on my face.  I predicted a Romney landslide and, instead, we ended up with an Obama squeaker.  

The key reason for my bum prediction is that I mistakenly believed that the 2008 surge in black, Latino, and young voter turnout would recede in 2012 to “normal” levels.  Didn’t happen.  These high levels of minority and young voter participation are here to stay.  And, with them, a permanent reshaping of our nation’s politics.  

(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Government; News/Current Events; Political Humor/Cartoons; Politics/Elections
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1 posted on 11/07/2012 12:06:56 PM PST by TigerClaws
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To: TigerClaws

Morris is wrong here.

Turnout for Obama was way down in this election from 2008.


2 posted on 11/07/2012 12:09:30 PM PST by cgbg (HLM--"Democracy is the theory that people know what they want, and deserve to get it good and hard.")
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To: TigerClaws

Gotta love Dick. Couldn’t have been more wrong on his prediction last night and back today telling us how to interpret last nights results.


3 posted on 11/07/2012 12:11:06 PM PST by skeeter
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To: TigerClaws

sorry dick- not buying it...there was no “surge” of obama voters; he got 7 million less votes last night than four years ago and barely 50% of the vote....what everyone missed on was the expectant surge of GOP voters and the myth the enthusiasm was on our side...

then again when the GOP is run by feckless and weak people why should we be enthused??


4 posted on 11/07/2012 12:11:21 PM PST by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: cgbg
Actually, the 'utes and street thugs could have been showing up in the same numbers as 2008 but a good 9 million others didn't!

That would be 3 million dead, injured, wounded or senile ~ since the last election, and 6 million who stayed away because they realize they were triced by a street hustler and it won't happen again.

They didn't walk across the street and vote for Romney though ~

5 posted on 11/07/2012 12:13:03 PM PST by muawiyah
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To: TigerClaws

Congratulations on waking up Morris! All of us people in flyover country knew all along that the blacks would vote black and the hispanics would vote for amnesty and the young would vote for abortion. There is no rational argument to be made that can sway those groups.

The only surprise was that very few white people changed from D to R over the past 4 years.


6 posted on 11/07/2012 12:14:04 PM PST by Bryanw92 (Sic semper tyrannis)
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To: cgbg
Morris is wrong here. Turnout for Obama was way down in this election from 2008.

So Morris is wrong about being wrong.

He should be fired from Fox.

What does he bring to the table?

Telling Clinton insider stories is old.

We need an Obama insider on Fox.

They apparently know what they are doing.

7 posted on 11/07/2012 12:14:04 PM PST by cicero2k
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To: TigerClaws

He’s got a dozen eggs on his face.


8 posted on 11/07/2012 12:14:09 PM PST by Wiggins
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To: God luvs America
what everyone missed on was the expectant surge of GOP voters and the myth the enthusiasm was on our side

I would like to see the final party breakdown, however. My thought (though I'd need data to confirm it) is that the GOP turnout was fine, but that independents stayed home, attenuating Romney's strong showing with them in the polling. That would explain both the lower overall turnout and Romney's lower percentage.

9 posted on 11/07/2012 12:14:09 PM PST by kevkrom (If a wise man has an argument with a foolish man, the fool only rages or laughs...)
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To: TigerClaws; All

There were less Obama voters overall.

BUT, minority voters were up.

Folks, we have to figure out how to address this or we’re done as a party.

And screaming deport them is not exactly going to win votes of non-whites. Have to find some way to support the rule of law while not alienating those folks.


10 posted on 11/07/2012 12:14:22 PM PST by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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To: TigerClaws
It's OK, Dick.

No one takes you seriously anyway.

11 posted on 11/07/2012 12:15:20 PM PST by gdani
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To: muawiyah

Romney actually got less votes than McCain... that’s just hard to believe.

where did all the conservatives go? did millions of them die in the last 4 years or something?

*sigh*


12 posted on 11/07/2012 12:15:27 PM PST by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied .. the economy died.)
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To: TigerClaws

Because it’s a habit?.........


13 posted on 11/07/2012 12:15:42 PM PST by Red Badger (Lincoln freed the slaves. Obama just got them ALL back......................)
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To: cgbg

YOU are right DM is wrong. There is something very strange here. If you had told me yesterday that Obama was in the 60-62M vote range, I would have been ecstatic. Then we hear all the high turn outs all over yesterday, I would have thought 70M - 62M landslide. Theres’ millions and millions of vaporized votes....


14 posted on 11/07/2012 12:18:43 PM PST by C. Edmund Wright ("DONE: The GOP Establishment Has Now Lost 2 In a Row")
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To: TigerClaws

Shut up Dick, nobody cares what you have to say anymore.


15 posted on 11/07/2012 12:18:49 PM PST by jmacusa (Political correctness is cultural Marxism. I'm not a Marxist.)
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To: TigerClaws

I don’t know. The Romney campaign seemed to have Tokyo Rove’s finderprints on it. We remained somewhat splitered.
Romney could have crafted a way to reach out to Evangelicals so they wouldn’t stay home. He could have done the same with runner-up Ron Paul in order to maybe capture some of the fervor and enthusiasm of the Paul voters. Same with Sarah Palin. But if we eliminated voter fraud and non-citizens voting we would have also won.


16 posted on 11/07/2012 12:20:05 PM PST by ransacked
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To: God luvs America

Is it safe to assume the dufus Prince Reibus / Prius Reibus will be canned from the RNC Chairman position or will he get re-elected?


17 posted on 11/07/2012 12:20:12 PM PST by Blue Highway
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To: TigerClaws

Dick, you were wrong because you’re Dick Morris.

Don’t worry, it doesn’t mean you’re useless, it just means you shouldn’t bother predicting an election result ever again.

In all seriousness, I’m trying to figure out how the battleground poll got it as wrong as they did. They were looking at good state by state data, supposedly.


18 posted on 11/07/2012 12:20:21 PM PST by Mr. Silverback (Reagan @ only 39/Mondale +5/Dukakis +17/McCain +3...panic is unwarranted. So is complacency.)
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To: TigerClaws

Note to Self: Never listen to a toe-sucker.


19 posted on 11/07/2012 12:20:52 PM PST by polkajello
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To: TigerClaws
You were only wrong in the fact you did not account for massive voter fraud. Do you think Chavez wins without cheating. I think someohow they just got rid of or changed
Republican votes using those e machines would make it alot easier. My husband was at work today and one of his coworkers who is a liberal was upset Obama won he did not vote for him and he told my husband it is a sad day for our Country this is a liberal who said it. The whole thing seems strange to me and Alan West come on wasn't/t he popular? This whole thing smells fishy. Is Obama a liar Yes he is and does he not have a history of cheating to get what he wants? Yes he does. The people have been had
20 posted on 11/07/2012 12:22:06 PM PST by funfan
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