Skip to comments.Dick Morris: Why I Was Wrong
Posted on 11/07/2012 12:06:52 PM PST by TigerClaws
Dick Morris explains why his prediction was completely off:
Ive got egg on my face. I predicted a Romney landslide and, instead, we ended up with an Obama squeaker.
The key reason for my bum prediction is that I mistakenly believed that the 2008 surge in black, Latino, and young voter turnout would recede in 2012 to normal levels. Didnt happen. These high levels of minority and young voter participation are here to stay. And, with them, a permanent reshaping of our nations politics.
(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...
Morris is wrong here.
Turnout for Obama was way down in this election from 2008.
Gotta love Dick. Couldn’t have been more wrong on his prediction last night and back today telling us how to interpret last nights results.
sorry dick- not buying it...there was no “surge” of obama voters; he got 7 million less votes last night than four years ago and barely 50% of the vote....what everyone missed on was the expectant surge of GOP voters and the myth the enthusiasm was on our side...
then again when the GOP is run by feckless and weak people why should we be enthused??
That would be 3 million dead, injured, wounded or senile ~ since the last election, and 6 million who stayed away because they realize they were triced by a street hustler and it won't happen again.
They didn't walk across the street and vote for Romney though ~
Congratulations on waking up Morris! All of us people in flyover country knew all along that the blacks would vote black and the hispanics would vote for amnesty and the young would vote for abortion. There is no rational argument to be made that can sway those groups.
The only surprise was that very few white people changed from D to R over the past 4 years.
So Morris is wrong about being wrong.
He should be fired from Fox.
What does he bring to the table?
Telling Clinton insider stories is old.
We need an Obama insider on Fox.
They apparently know what they are doing.
He’s got a dozen eggs on his face.
I would like to see the final party breakdown, however. My thought (though I'd need data to confirm it) is that the GOP turnout was fine, but that independents stayed home, attenuating Romney's strong showing with them in the polling. That would explain both the lower overall turnout and Romney's lower percentage.
There were less Obama voters overall.
BUT, minority voters were up.
Folks, we have to figure out how to address this or we’re done as a party.
And screaming deport them is not exactly going to win votes of non-whites. Have to find some way to support the rule of law while not alienating those folks.
No one takes you seriously anyway.
Romney actually got less votes than McCain... that’s just hard to believe.
where did all the conservatives go? did millions of them die in the last 4 years or something?
Because it’s a habit?.........
YOU are right DM is wrong. There is something very strange here. If you had told me yesterday that Obama was in the 60-62M vote range, I would have been ecstatic. Then we hear all the high turn outs all over yesterday, I would have thought 70M - 62M landslide. Theres’ millions and millions of vaporized votes....
Shut up Dick, nobody cares what you have to say anymore.
I don’t know. The Romney campaign seemed to have Tokyo Rove’s finderprints on it. We remained somewhat splitered.
Romney could have crafted a way to reach out to Evangelicals so they wouldn’t stay home. He could have done the same with runner-up Ron Paul in order to maybe capture some of the fervor and enthusiasm of the Paul voters. Same with Sarah Palin. But if we eliminated voter fraud and non-citizens voting we would have also won.
Is it safe to assume the dufus Prince Reibus / Prius Reibus will be canned from the RNC Chairman position or will he get re-elected?
Dick, you were wrong because you’re Dick Morris.
Don’t worry, it doesn’t mean you’re useless, it just means you shouldn’t bother predicting an election result ever again.
In all seriousness, I’m trying to figure out how the battleground poll got it as wrong as they did. They were looking at good state by state data, supposedly.
Note to Self: Never listen to a toe-sucker.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.