Posted on 11/06/2012 10:42:38 PM PST by nathanbedford
The loss of this presidential election under these economic circumstances is so appalling that it raises existential questions about the Republican Party and the future of conservatism in America. With unemployment through the roof, with housing through the floor, with nearly 50,000,000 people on food stamps, with the government hemorrhaging money and the debt soaring, the Republican Party must ask itself, if we cannot win today can we ever win?
It is important to identify the reasons for this epic fail so that the conservative movement can go on. The first item of business is to distinguish between failure which can be blamed on the quality of the candidate or the mechanics of the campaign and a failure which represents a fatal disconnect with the people of America.
We are now in for a season of second-guessing Romney and the strategy of the campaign. This is inevitable and necessary but it is important that we do it constructively, it is important that it be done right.
We will hear many assertions: the acrimonious primary season inflicted wounds on ourselves which gave Obama a head start; Romney tactically left the field open to Obama after he clinched the nomination and Obama simply painted Romney negatively by carpet bombing him with television ads; Romney funneled his campaign strategy too narrowly, both geographically and philosophically-that is, Romney was too late going to Wisconsin, too late going to Pennsylvania, and Romney narrowed the focus of his campaign to economic issues only, thus conceding all other issues to Obama; Obama was thus able, with the support of a complicit media, to raise strawmen issues which were in many respects preposterous yet they forced Romney on the defensive and blunted his message on the economy; Romney picked the wrong vice presidential candidate, he should have picked Marco Rubio and he would have made inroads into the Hispanic vote and the failure to do so cost him the election; the selection of Paul Ryan was the physical embodiment of an abandonment of a campaign addressing the demographic realities of America to concentrate on a campaign of economic issues; the Romney campaign worked at cross purposes in the selection of Paul Ryan of Wisconsin when it coupled that choice with a failure heavily to campaign in Wisconsin-if the decision was to campaign almost exclusively on economic issues with Paul Ryan, that implied an all out campaign in Wisconsin which was never really undertaken until too late; the campaign ignored vulnerabilities and failed to exploit opportunities to wit: it lost the women's vote along with the Hispanic vote over bogus issues of abortion and birth control by failing to fight back and failing to present a credible female spokesperson and it failed to exploit Benghazi; the campaign made these errors of omission because of its fundamental mistake to concentrate on economic issues; Romney performed brilliantly in the first debate, even contriving to offset the advantage Obama had derived from his negative air war, but fatally decided to play it safe in the second and third debates and surrendered the momentum to Obama-and the failure to exploit Benghazi is the principle example of this failure of conception a shift nd execution; hurricane Sandy entered dues ex machine and, coupled with the treachery of Christie, gave the momentum back to Obama who have been cruising toward a loss.
Other second-guessers, probably featuring Rush Limbaugh prominently among them, will focus on the biography of Romney and maintain that the key failure was to nominate a Rino who cannot win but conservatives can win. The difficulty with this analysis is that the Republican Party clearly coalesced behind Romney after the first debate.
Others will avert to Romney's original assessment of the political landscape, that 47% of the population is lost to the Republican cause and the Republican candidate must concentrate on the remaining 53%. This is another way of casting the age-old tension between conservatives and Rinos because the Rinos solution, which was Romney's solution, is to focus exclusively on economic issues and run a white bread campaign. This means that Romney presented himself to be reassuring to independents, to women, as especially single women. The conservative rejoinder, of course, is that a passive stance in which one achieves a neutral nonaggressive posture, nonthreatening to women, is not a winning stance which must come from a more aggressive issue oriented campaign driving home conservatives truths. But wait! We run such a campaign and the Democrats counter with race. The truth which we must face is that we have not found the solution to this demagoguery.
Others will point to the media and say that it is almost impossible for a Republican to win nationally against the Democrat especially when the media will do everything short of committing murder to support a black president. There is a lot of truth in this but to acknowledge the reality is not to provide the solution. Conservatives want an aggressive campaign such as that conducted by Newt Gingrich in the primaries against the media as well as an aggressive campaign against the Democrats. Romney decided to simply absorb much of the media bias and ignore the issue to death, much as he attempted to deal with the gender gap. I observed at the time that as a conservative I want a crusade against Obama and Romney was running a campaign. In the event, we got neither.
Mechanics, or "architects" if you prefer, such as Karl Rove will tell us whether we failed on the ground or in the air. When Karl Rove ran the ground campaign in Ohio he prevailed. We were assured this time that our ground game in Ohio was far superior to 2004. We had evidence that our ground game in Wisconsin was superior to what the Democrats could muster in three previous statewide elections. Yet we failed. My problem is that I credit Karl Rove with the ability accurately to diagnose the problem but I am wary of his politics. I am satisfied with Rush Limbaugh's politics, but I am dubious of his ability to understand the nuts and bolts of the mechanical apparatus. This is important because ultimately we must accept that this election is so devastating under these circumstances that we must submit to an agonizing reappraisal of our basic politics and not seek rationalizations in the mechanics. Was this election a perfect storm of minor mistakes, bad weather, poor ground game, and media bias that caused America to cruise toward its own destruction or is there simply no denying the obvious, the Republican Party is not succeeding as a messenger for conservatism and conservatism has not crafted a message which works with the public?
Consider how we were handcuffed in this election. We are in a political world in which Obama could blatantly play the race card without any negative consequences. We can review the entire administration of Attorney General Eric holder or we can simply look at Obama's transparent grab for Hispanic votes with amnesty to see how cynically he has governed and campaigned. Normally every political decision, like YING and Yang, has an upside and a downside but there seems to have been no downside to Obama in playing the race card. Where was the blowback among white voters? How can Elizabeth Warren, for example, be exposed for fraudulently advancing herself by claiming American Indian heritage at the expense of honest white job applicants, and suffer no identifiable loss at the polls? Are we as a society destined to be Balkanized by the Democrat party playing sex against sex and race against race to its selfish electoral advantage but to the destruction of the country? Why were we so ineffective in making the world see the world the way we see it? We see the world hurtling toward a fiscal cliff and the destruction of our prosperity. Obama wins the election not by addressing the massive deficit which is turning America into Greece but by handing out birth control pills like Halloween candy. How did it happen that Obama ran the campaign on his terms and not on reality-at least reality as we see it? Why did small ball win?
Is it that we fail to see the world as it really is? Are we wrong and the people who vote their gender, their color, their tribe, their purse, right? No! Our conservative worldview is the right worldview and the leftist worldview is wrong. That is not up for discussion among conservatives. But it is the way of political folly to blame the electorate for one's failure at the polls no matter how easy the temptation. It is easy to say that women who are voting their vaginas are condemning their children to penury but they did not hear us say so or, if they did, they did not heed us. We spent $1 billion and still could not convince them of our view of the world. We are in a game of politics to gain political power and govern according to our world view. When we fail to win, we fail utterly. The real question is why could we not win against a demonstrably failed president with failed policies who ran a racist campaign, a sexist campaign, and played small ball on every issue when we had $1 billion, a squeaky clean candidate, the House of Representatives, the majority of governorships and state legislatures, and the best economic statistics since Franklin Roosevelt?
Before we take refuge in blaming the electorate we should look in the mirror. Before we look for easy answers by blaming Romney, by blaming the media, by blaming tactical decisions such as the selection of Paul Ryan with which we agreed at the time, we should look long and hard into the mirror.
Perhaps we went wrong last cycle in blaming the loss on John McCain. Perhaps there is a dimension to the electorate that we simply do not understand. I posted long and hard at the time that John McCain would lose the election unless he morally destroyed Barack Obama and depicted him to be the Marxist that he was. Many of us in the beginning of this election season questioned whether Romney was correct in attacking Obama is "incompetent" rather than as a radical leftist. When the campaign appeared to be prevailing, I withdrew the criticism. I think we have to thoroughly examine the issue whether we can ever beat a Democrat candidate without personally destroying him. This is not cynical, this is only to bring a gun to a gunfight. So far, in the last two election cycles our campaigns have failed to take Obama on for his radicalism, probably because of fear of his race.We all know a demographic tsunami is about to engulf conservatism. We must decide how to cope with the threat. Do we cope by destroying our opponent the way attempted to destroy Romney or do we cope by pandering to African-Americans, or do we find a Marco Rubio to ingratiate us with Hispanics? Can we run successfully as conservatives by ignoring race as Romney attempted to do?
Before we take refuge in disdain for the electorate and find sour grapes satisfaction by saying they deserve to suffer in the implosion which we believe will come, we should figure out how to compete and win. Remember, it is human nature to rationalize failure by blaming others. Remember also that it is human nature to try to cure failed socialism with more socialism. That is the real reason why Obama was reelected. The electorate does not associate the great recession with government action, rather it associates salvation from the recession with government intervention. The electorate does not believe that government insistence on granting mortgages to risky homebuyers helped precipitate the great recession. They have come to believe that the government should step in to protect mortgagors who are underwater. The electorate wants more socialism to fix failed socialism. We lost the argument.
Unless we fix what is wrong we will lose it again and again until there is nothing left in America to save.
We are running out of time, we are running out of money, and we are running out of white people. This election forces conservatism into a race against the forces of Obamaism to fix itself in time to win the next election before we are bankrupted or engulfed. Either way we lose not just our prosperity but our liberty.
This is what happens when you nominate the electable candidate.
It also doesn’t help that election day comes right after Halloween instead of after Thanksgiving.
+++++++++++++++++++++
Election Day on April 15 would work magic....
I don't know what election you were watching, but Romney didn't lose on the issues of abortion and gays. If anything Obama won by the pro-aborts and gay marriage folks. And a blind armadillo could see that Obama is the big government choice.
We certainly could have had a stronger candidate - I don't know who that would have been among those who ran - but only the politically stupid conservative would not vote for Romney on those issues.
In the case of yesterday - a Liberal Democrat lost to a Marxist.
It’s not so simple for these reasons:
1) tough on illegals (compare with McCain and Perry) and that turns off hispanics
2) “47%” was the fiscal version of Akin’s comments
3) hard to be against unions and auto bailouts in Ohio
4) a libertarian stand on FEMA doesn’t help after Sandy
But if Romney was more conservative on the issue that counts, Romneycare, he probably wouldn’t have to prove his credentials with these edge cases.
My priest told me six months ago that it would be hard to elect Romney when 52% of the people receive a check when 48% pay for it. Beware of timely jokes...as the joke of the day was that the Romney supporter signed the front of the check and the Obama supporter signed the back of the check. These are truisms and I mourn the fate of our country. But what can you expect? Sixty years of NEA teachers have indoctrinated marginal students...no economics...socialist spin on history...no math...all lead to a stupid electorate, but not so dumb that they don’t know how to max the system. A stupid, stupid Supreme Court judge who lets Obamacare stand...people who say the number one problem is the economy, bush’s fault, and they re-elect this ass...dumb, dumb, dumb.....
“If they can’t beat this America-hating tyrant in these circumstances...”
Exactly. And they will thwart attempts to do so. They have no intention of crushing the Dems. None whatsoever.
They are worse than worthless. They are our enemy’s friend.
I think it is as simple as the takers out number the producers.
We’ve reached critical mass and there’s no going back.
The only choice now is hunker down and try to survive the coming storm.
The problem is the majority wants their free shit and they don't care where it comes from. This problem is insurmountable. We will have to go through pure unadulterated hell and decades of unimaginable pain before it can be turned around. We have turned the corner from a constitutional representative republic to a make it up as you go parasitic socialist nightmare.
God help us.
The $800 billion stimulus went into the pockets of Obama supporters, and came out for victory tonight.
I agree with Behind Liberal Lines. Conservatives have no long term strategies to dominate these institutions. Why not apply the principles they have used to beat them at their own game. We already know what they are but Conservatives, for whatever reason fail to execute successfully like the left has over these last forty years. It won’t simply sink us to their level to use their techniques, because our philosophy of conservatism is good and just. Theirs is corrupt to it’s core.
Turning the Hispanic population over to mostly conservative is a good, long term goal. Why don’t we start there.
“West and Bachmann may lose. See a pattern?”
They made red meat statements that turned off others. But even more moderate Republicans lost. Obama and MSM knew what they were doing and that’s what gets the other Dems along with him.
Appealing to all those liberal ‘big tent’ factions guarantees permanent mediocrity and forever losses at the polls to the party of liberal/Socialist/Marxists.
Scripture says ‘My people are destroyed for lack of knowledge” (Hosea 4:6).
We’re a house hopelessly divided, and the curses of Deuteronomy 28 are just beginning.
To hell with lack-luster feelings, or any feelings, when we have a marxist regime in power in America.
Do you really think that if Romney had not come out in support of Abortion and the Gay Agenda
Where do you get that crap? Were you paying attention to the general election campaign at all? Do you know what the president controls on those issues?
I think anybody that cares about abortion that didn't crawl to vote for Romney is stupid.
I think anybody that cares about gay rights that didn't crawl to vote for Romney is stupid.
I think anybody that cares about the growth of government that didn't crawl to vote for Romney is stupid.
It would have been great to see the second incarnation of Ronald Reagan but for conservatives this was a very clear choice.
Either/and Obama was very successful in turning out his stupid people or Romney was not successful in turning out our stupid people.
You’re right we got punched in mouth tonite. However half of our party being too far right and the other being moderate and not coming to some sort of compromise is only going to assure the Dems of control. Hopefully we’ll learn from this tonite. We can’t continue to alienate differences within the party. Heck the Dems did a good job of meeting in the middle and look what happened?
No one questioned his record as Governor. It was a total non issue. The candidate in support of abortion even for babies born alive and for the gay agenda WON so your idea Romney wasn't conservative enough for votes is a pathetic lie.
Romney ran precisely on a limited government message, so another lie.
I seem to recall you were for Santorum, Romney's primary stalking horse. Santorum as nominee would've been a blowout in Obama's favor akin to 1984.
Romney ran a winning campaign but more American voters decided to give the first black president of the United States a second chance. It's as simple as that.
If Romney was against John F. Kerry, Kerry loses handily. Now Kerry will take Hillary's place as Secretary of State.
It is what it is.
Part of the problem is that democratic-republicanism wasn’t meant to function with the inputs it’s working with. If we basically have to tell other adults to look both ways before crossing the street or you might get run over by a car, then something organic is wrong with the system. If people care more about weed and gay marriage and free contraceptives than a debt spiral which will bankrupt and destroy our society then there’s little to be done.
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