Tell me if I am wrong, but some “pundit”...don’t know if it was Carville or Rove or someone else...but was there or was there not some “rule of thumb” that said an incumbent under 50% generally gets 1 or 2 points FEWER than his last poll number?
Ed Goeas is quoted in the Weekly Standard yesterday that they project Romney’s vote total to be 51% FWIW. In past elections, these guys have been very, very good.
http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/why-romney-will-win_660391.html