Posted on 11/06/2012 3:24:38 AM PST by SoFloFreeper
Both Republicans and Democrats head into Election Day with a legitimate shot at picking up seats in the House, with the GOP virtually assured of keeping control of the lower chamber.
The electoral landscape has shifted significantly from just one month ago, when Democrats were hopeful that they could gain more than a dozen seats and possibly recapture the majority they lost in 2010. Democrats would need a net gain of 25 seats to win the House.
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
What? Don’t the Democrats stand an equal chance of winning? What happened to the “too close to call” election meme?
Anybody else see a problem with this?
What happened to all the talk of 2008? I thought the Democrats had everything in the bag this morning? Where is their self-assured braggadocio?
What??!? Nancy Pelosi was already measuring the drapes for her office as Speaker of the House. She wouldn’t lie would she? /sarc
and you don’t get that on a D+7 turnout, if that happened we’d lose seats hand over fist.
If 0bama wins it will be the first time in a long time a president gets reelected but his party loses House seats, if that happens. He would also be the first president since Wilson to get a second term by a smaller margin than his first election, assuming the race really is close. Would be good if he comes in with less than 50%, even if he manages to win.
If the GOP is going to expand its House majority, we’re looking at a minimum at an even or at best an R+1 electorate.
This would tell us all the D+ oversampled polls are so much trashfill!
If O has a friendly electorate today - he needs at least D+3 or D+4 to stand a chance.
I don’t see it happening.
Charles “Charlie” Bass (Uber-RINO) in NH-2 is toast.
I hope we can drag Frank Giunta (semi-OK standard R) in NH-1 over the finish line, but it will be close.
These two House races will (hopefully) have instructional value for the GOP after this year.
2010 was an enormous wave election in NH, with huge GOP landslides in the State Senate and House. Both houses have 2/3 GOP majorities, and the House is quite pleasingly radical.
Our two Congressthings are being opposed by outright commies, but strong believers in their cause. Both (R) representatives are running a prevent defense, Bass because he’s a disgusting RINO with nothing to say, Giunta because he does what he’s told.
Both of them are running on cutting taxes while preserving high levels of Federal spending. This, of course, is a delusion and leaves a gap in the defenses for the commies, who are at least consistent and don’t have to constantly double-talk about what they believe.
In a close POTUS race, this situation could tip the balance. We needed better candidates in both House districts, especially NH-2, and didn’t get them.
Maybe Romney/Ryan can ride the coattails of these down-ticket decisions.
Ha, ha, ha, ha...
exactly if it was even going to be a D+3/4 election we’d be losing a lot of seats.....so the polls are a crock, this is what Barone said, he monitors it at precinct level and that tells the true story.
CONAN: "To crush your enemies, to see them driven before you, and to hear the lamentations of their women."
If this is true (and I pray it is), how now does Obama win the election?
If the GOP keeps the house, how can they not also win the Presidency. Seriously, I know it’s not an exact correlation but, it sure seems like the two go hand in hand.
Maybe Nancy was measuring drapes for Eric Cantor (or someone. Michelle Bachman?) who could replace the pathetically ineffectice John Boehner.
In 2008 we went from 199 down to 178 and that was a big Dem wave, in 2010 we went from 178 to 242 in a GOP wave.....to even hold that position we would be looking at more or less the same % as 2010 as its a high threshold, maybe more. The higher the number, the harder to hold onto.
If the pollster are saying this is a D+5/6/7/8 election there is no way in hell we could hold 242 seats, its impossible.
Exactly. It is the first semi-honest leak that the RATS anticipate a 2010-type election result and not 2008 with Greek columns and ocean lowering.
Obama has always wanted us to view him as Zeus. I am almost there - Zeus was one of the Magnum P.I.(TV show) ‘stars’ as I recall.
That’s exactly what I’m saying. Ive been making this point at work for weeks, too. How can the GOP basically hold all of their house seats and also lose the presidency? It just doesn’t seem possible in today’s partisan environment. I wonder why this hasn’t been discussed by the talking heads?
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