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Dems concede GOP majority could get bigger in the House
THE HILL ^ | November 6, 2012 | Russell Berman, Mike Lillis and Molly K. Hooper

Posted on 11/06/2012 3:24:38 AM PST by SoFloFreeper

Both Republicans and Democrats head into Election Day with a legitimate shot at picking up seats in the House, with the GOP virtually assured of keeping control of the lower chamber.

The electoral landscape has shifted significantly from just one month ago, when Democrats were hopeful that they could gain more than a dozen seats and possibly recapture the majority they lost in 2010. Democrats would need a net gain of 25 seats to win the House.

(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012
Pray that this is only the FIRST of many concessions the Democrats make today...the final one being by Obamugabe in Chicago at about 10:00 tonight...
1 posted on 11/06/2012 3:24:43 AM PST by SoFloFreeper
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To: SoFloFreeper

What? Don’t the Democrats stand an equal chance of winning? What happened to the “too close to call” election meme?


2 posted on 11/06/2012 3:28:12 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: SoFloFreeper
Wasserman attributes the freshmen’s success to their effective job in “ducking the Tea Party label.” He noted that most of the rookie Republicans did not actually join the new Tea Party Caucus in the House.

Anybody else see a problem with this?

3 posted on 11/06/2012 3:29:59 AM PST by Timber Rattler (Just say NO! to RINOS and the GOP-E)
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To: Timber Rattler

What happened to all the talk of 2008? I thought the Democrats had everything in the bag this morning? Where is their self-assured braggadocio?


4 posted on 11/06/2012 3:33:33 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: SoFloFreeper

What??!? Nancy Pelosi was already measuring the drapes for her office as Speaker of the House. She wouldn’t lie would she? /sarc


5 posted on 11/06/2012 3:36:05 AM PST by Traveler59 ( Truth is a journey, not a destination.)
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To: SoFloFreeper

and you don’t get that on a D+7 turnout, if that happened we’d lose seats hand over fist.


6 posted on 11/06/2012 3:36:49 AM PST by sunmars
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To: Traveler59

If 0bama wins it will be the first time in a long time a president gets reelected but his party loses House seats, if that happens. He would also be the first president since Wilson to get a second term by a smaller margin than his first election, assuming the race really is close. Would be good if he comes in with less than 50%, even if he manages to win.


7 posted on 11/06/2012 3:37:59 AM PST by TNCMAXQ
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To: sunmars

If the GOP is going to expand its House majority, we’re looking at a minimum at an even or at best an R+1 electorate.

This would tell us all the D+ oversampled polls are so much trashfill!


8 posted on 11/06/2012 3:38:54 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: TNCMAXQ

If O has a friendly electorate today - he needs at least D+3 or D+4 to stand a chance.

I don’t see it happening.


9 posted on 11/06/2012 3:40:24 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: SoFloFreeper

Charles “Charlie” Bass (Uber-RINO) in NH-2 is toast.

I hope we can drag Frank Giunta (semi-OK standard R) in NH-1 over the finish line, but it will be close.

These two House races will (hopefully) have instructional value for the GOP after this year.

2010 was an enormous wave election in NH, with huge GOP landslides in the State Senate and House. Both houses have 2/3 GOP majorities, and the House is quite pleasingly radical.

Our two Congressthings are being opposed by outright commies, but strong believers in their cause. Both (R) representatives are running a prevent defense, Bass because he’s a disgusting RINO with nothing to say, Giunta because he does what he’s told.

Both of them are running on cutting taxes while preserving high levels of Federal spending. This, of course, is a delusion and leaves a gap in the defenses for the commies, who are at least consistent and don’t have to constantly double-talk about what they believe.

In a close POTUS race, this situation could tip the balance. We needed better candidates in both House districts, especially NH-2, and didn’t get them.


10 posted on 11/06/2012 3:40:49 AM PST by Jim Noble (Diseases desperate grown are by desperate appliance relieved or not at all.)
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To: SoFloFreeper

Maybe Romney/Ryan can ride the coattails of these down-ticket decisions.

Ha, ha, ha, ha...


11 posted on 11/06/2012 3:41:53 AM PST by ProtectOurFreedom
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To: goldstategop

exactly if it was even going to be a D+3/4 election we’d be losing a lot of seats.....so the polls are a crock, this is what Barone said, he monitors it at precinct level and that tells the true story.


12 posted on 11/06/2012 3:43:03 AM PST by sunmars
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To: SoFloFreeper
MONGOL GENERAL: "What is best in life?"

CONAN: "To crush your enemies, to see them driven before you, and to hear the lamentations of their women."

13 posted on 11/06/2012 3:47:32 AM PST by Gaffer
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To: SoFloFreeper

If this is true (and I pray it is), how now does Obama win the election?


14 posted on 11/06/2012 3:47:42 AM PST by Publius Maximus (It was a nice Republic, while it lasted.)
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To: SoFloFreeper

If the GOP keeps the house, how can they not also win the Presidency. Seriously, I know it’s not an exact correlation but, it sure seems like the two go hand in hand.


15 posted on 11/06/2012 3:58:12 AM PST by Mustangman (The GOP)
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To: Traveler59

Maybe Nancy was measuring drapes for Eric Cantor (or someone. Michelle Bachman?) who could replace the pathetically ineffectice John Boehner.


16 posted on 11/06/2012 4:07:45 AM PST by shalom aleichem
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To: Mustangman

In 2008 we went from 199 down to 178 and that was a big Dem wave, in 2010 we went from 178 to 242 in a GOP wave.....to even hold that position we would be looking at more or less the same % as 2010 as its a high threshold, maybe more. The higher the number, the harder to hold onto.

If the pollster are saying this is a D+5/6/7/8 election there is no way in hell we could hold 242 seats, its impossible.


17 posted on 11/06/2012 4:13:52 AM PST by sunmars
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To: SoFloFreeper

Exactly. It is the first semi-honest leak that the RATS anticipate a 2010-type election result and not 2008 with Greek columns and ocean lowering.


18 posted on 11/06/2012 4:18:52 AM PST by rod1 (CTLY)
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To: SoFloFreeper

Obama has always wanted us to view him as Zeus. I am almost there - Zeus was one of the Magnum P.I.(TV show) ‘stars’ as I recall.


19 posted on 11/06/2012 4:21:36 AM PST by rod1 (CTLY)
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To: sunmars

That’s exactly what I’m saying. Ive been making this point at work for weeks, too. How can the GOP basically hold all of their house seats and also lose the presidency? It just doesn’t seem possible in today’s partisan environment. I wonder why this hasn’t been discussed by the talking heads?


20 posted on 11/06/2012 4:23:21 AM PST by Mustangman (The GOP)
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To: SoFloFreeper

My prediction on these pages:

House +3
Senate 50/50
Romney 301 EVs


21 posted on 11/06/2012 4:45:26 AM PST by G Larry (Which of Obama's policies do you think I'd support if he were white?)
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To: Mustangman

These days the “talking heads” must talk “close race” or “horse race” to help their bosses sell advertising to political campaigns. When big bucks are on the line liars are like ants at a picnic.

They apparently got to Charlie Cook this year. He is pushing the “horse race” kool-aid in public—he is a smart guy and must know it is complete garbage.


22 posted on 11/06/2012 4:53:23 AM PST by cgbg (Crying MSNBC lefties on election night=Victory!)
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To: Jim Noble

The NRSC is running an anti-Kaine ad in Virginia with that same message. First they say “Kaine expanded wasteful spending”, then Kaine supports a proposal to cut defense spending and supported a proposal to cut education spending while Gov of Virginia. By the end of the ad I can’t figure out if Kaine wants more or less spending. The NRSC should be spending money pumping their candidate (Allen) or discouraging Dem turnout (this ad does nothing for that).


23 posted on 11/06/2012 4:54:41 AM PST by palmer (Jim, please bill me 50 cents for this completely useless post)
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To: SoFloFreeper
With all of the 08 Democrat sampling, why isn't the House in play?

That is why I say the polls have been bogus and the pollsters know it.

24 posted on 11/06/2012 4:59:05 AM PST by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: SoFloFreeper
“Democrats never really were poised to pick up a significant number of seats, [and] their ‘momentum’ was always more of a mirage,” said David Wasserman, House editor for the Cook Political Report, a widely followed election handicapper.

So much for the 08 Democrat turnout!

25 posted on 11/06/2012 5:03:02 AM PST by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: SoFloFreeper

There’ll be MORE CONSERVATIVE House members is the important fact here.

About ten, and that will make a huge difference if RINOs win either the Senate or presidency.

And some difference even if they don’t.


26 posted on 11/06/2012 5:09:51 AM PST by mrsmith (Dumb sluts: Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat Party!)
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To: SoFloFreeper
Remember Obama's boast before the 2010 elections and how it would NOT be like Clinton losing the Congress in the 90's?

"This time will be different. You've got me."

27 posted on 11/06/2012 5:12:29 AM PST by N. Theknow (Kennedys=Can't drive, can't ski, can't fly, can't skipper a boat, but they know what's best for you.)
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To: mrsmith

First House results will be after 6pm from IN and KY.

In2 and Ky6 are competitive.


28 posted on 11/06/2012 6:24:37 AM PST by mrsmith (Dumb sluts: Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat Party!)
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