The 2008 model with those 2012 early voting data would yield a 2% statewide victory for Romney today.
Old model. New data. Incomplete. But that’s the story.
Nate Silver’s final forecast: Obama, 314.6 EV; Romney, 223.4. Senate: Dem: 52.5, GOP, 47.5
If Romney wins, the Media got SOME SERIOUS SPLAININ TO DO....