(the three of us) Flutters, Whenifhow, and LasVegasDave.
Posted on 11/06/2012 12:49:06 AM PST by Arthurio
Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report has analyzed the early voter data from Ohio and seems to have concluded that Obama has done horribly in Ohio early voting. We are no longer talking about polls. He has analyzed hard data that was reported today by the Ohio Secretary of State.
Here are some of his tweets. Nate Silver is NOT happy.
Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) tweeted at 12:22am - 6 Nov 12:
@fivethirtyeight OH data seems high quality, and we're possibly on track for a significantly different turnout model vs. '08...(1/2)
Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) tweeted at 12:27am - 6 Nov 12:
By my calc, in '08, 24.8% of registered voters in Obama's OH counties voted early, 19.1% in McCain. Today, 21.7% Obama and 21.3% McCain
|
If that means anything it means something powerful. |
No, he’s comparing 2012 to the counties McCain won in 2008.
Wasserman tweeted that he still thinks Obama will win Ohio. I’m thinking Romney is going to squeak by there. Guess we’ll find out soon enough.
Note that Romney is bout 15 years older than Obama, yet appears healthy and well-rested.
Nah, I still think Obama wins OH, just not by the 3.8% margin"
Wasserman & Silver look to be grasping at straws....not quite believing what they are seeing if I read this right ?
Lol, good clean living Mitt:)
“Just the ‘thought’ that America would re-elect him tells me it’s time to prepare for WWIII.”
The GOP candidate needs to turn only about 6 of 100 voters from 2008. Given the very poor condition of the economy and our status in the world, and nothing but a greater recession and a more dangerous world ahead, an above average candidate like Romney would be ahead by 15 points in any other year in American history.
We have arrived at the point where we deserve who we vote for.
who is the twitter and who is the twitee..”
Doesn’t matter. They are for sure both twits.
According to the Urban Dictionary, a twit is the kind of person that makes a retarded chimp look smart.
Thanks Arthurio. Today we feed the Obama Era into a live wood chipper.
Yeah, being lazy and a drug addict will do that to ya.
The 2008 model with those 2012 early voting data would yield a 2% statewide victory for Romney today.
Old model. New data. Incomplete. But that’s the story.
Liberals on twitter are beginning to tear into one another about this. Some seem to recognize how serious this is, others in denial.
I would suspect his healthy appearance is largely due to his clean living, peace with himself and a wife who really loves, likes and cares for him. He also looks a whole lot better in jeans than BO does.
Yup...and notice how Wasserman was in a near panic then backed off quick. They lose Ohio if GOP GOTV matches these figures today.
No. Just turn 3.5 voters
The President won D:53 R: 47
If you get 3.5 voters on your side you win D:49.5 -
R:50.5
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