Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Ohio: Romney 49%, Obama 49% (Romney Must Win VA, FL, And Either OH/WI)
RasmussenReports ^ | November 05, 2012

Posted on 11/05/2012 10:37:02 PM PST by Steelfish

Ohio: Romney 49%, Obama 49%

An Unpredictable End to a Very Predictable Election By Scott Rasmussen Virginia: Romney 50%, Obama 48% Wisconsin: Obama 49%, Romney 49% Sign up for free daily updates

November 05

The pivotal presidential state of Ohio remains all tied up on the eve of Election Day.

The final Election 2012 Rasmussen Reports survey of Likely Ohio Voters shows Mitt Romney and President Obama each earning 49% support. One percent (1%) favors some other candidate in the race, and another one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Ohio is still one of eight Toss-Up states in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections, along with Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Virginia and Wisconsin. Polls in Ohio close at 7:30 pm Eastern tomorrow. If Romney wins Virginia and Florida, he also will need to win either Ohio or Wisconsin to be on track to capture the White House.

The race in Ohio was tied late last week after Romney posted a slight 50% to 48% advantage a few days earlier. The candidates have been within two percentage points of one another or less in every survey in Ohio since May.

Forty percent (40%) of likely voters in the Buckeye State have already voted. Obama leads 60% to 37% among these voters.

Ninety-three percent (93%) have made up their minds whom they will vote for, and it’s Obama 50%, Romney 49% in this group.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS:
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-6061-8081-82 next last

1 posted on 11/05/2012 10:37:09 PM PST by Steelfish
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Steelfish
"Forty percent (40%) of likely voters in the Buckeye State have already voted. Obama leads 60% to 37% among these voters."

That can't be good...

2 posted on 11/05/2012 10:39:06 PM PST by MrShoop
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Steelfish

Forty percent (40%) of likely voters in the Buckeye State have already voted. Obama leads 60% to 37% among these voters.


If that is true it is over for Mitt in OH. There is no way the remaining 60% will tilt the other way.


3 posted on 11/05/2012 10:42:05 PM PST by cicero2k
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Steelfish

Romney will win Florida, Virginia, and a combination of one or more of OH/PA/WI. If Obama loses Ohio or Pennsylvania Romney will win. Losing Wisconsin isn’t necessarily a deathblow for Hussein, but it would be indicative of bigger problems.


4 posted on 11/05/2012 10:42:41 PM PST by xuberalles ("The Right Stuff" Conservative Novelties http://www.zazzle.com/xuberalles)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MrShoop

That’s scary!


5 posted on 11/05/2012 10:43:13 PM PST by Steelfish (ui)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: MrShoop

Or accurate. I believe that the actual early vote percentage in Ohio is more like mid 20’s percentile


6 posted on 11/05/2012 10:43:34 PM PST by johncocktoasten (Practicing asymetrical thread warfare against anti-Palin Trolls)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: MrShoop

It’s not 40%. The Secretary of State website shows that 1.6MM voters have voted. Based on 2008 turnout that’s about 28%.


7 posted on 11/05/2012 10:44:03 PM PST by hawaiian
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: xuberalles
but what do you make of this last minute Rasmussen crap?....a large majority of votes are already in for bamey?....

I thought this state was winnable?

8 posted on 11/05/2012 10:44:30 PM PST by cherry
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: MrShoop

Obama’s early vote totals are way down in Ohio from 2008. Mitt is fine being Republicans outnumber Democrats in the state. Plus, he will carry independents.


9 posted on 11/05/2012 10:45:12 PM PST by xuberalles ("The Right Stuff" Conservative Novelties http://www.zazzle.com/xuberalles)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: cherry

It’s very winnable. Dems always try to get the early vote but they are outnumbered. Trust me, Obama will not runaway with this state.


10 posted on 11/05/2012 10:46:52 PM PST by xuberalles ("The Right Stuff" Conservative Novelties http://www.zazzle.com/xuberalles)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: MrShoop

Based on those number Romney needs 59% of the remaining voters to win OH EVs

Its all down now to GOTV in FL, OH, WI, PA, VA.

Romney has a very good shot at being the next President provided these states Vote.


11 posted on 11/05/2012 10:48:06 PM PST by Bailee
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: xuberalles

That is what I understood from all I’ve read about early voting in Ohio. Obama does lead in early voting, but his numbers are way down compared to 2008.


12 posted on 11/05/2012 10:48:09 PM PST by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: xuberalles

Even John McCain won the Election Day vote by 75,000. Mitt will do much better than that.


13 posted on 11/05/2012 10:48:53 PM PST by Arthurio
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: MrShoop

How do they know what is inside of the votes. Is it by exit polling or do they assume democrat votes turned in will be votes for Obama. Do you think every democrat will vote for Obama?


14 posted on 11/05/2012 10:48:53 PM PST by funfan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: hawaiian

It’s not 40%. The Secretary of State website shows that 1.6MM voters have voted. Based on 2008 turnout that’s about 28%.


That is small comfort. Both the % of votes already counted and the split have to be way off. 60 to 37 is a landslide of the wrong kind, if it represents much more than 5% of the vote .


15 posted on 11/05/2012 10:49:45 PM PST by cicero2k
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: trappedincanuckistan

It is my understanding from early and provisional voting, the race for OH is a dead heat. Which means the OH will be won on Election Day with GOTV.


16 posted on 11/05/2012 10:50:14 PM PST by CatOwner
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: trappedincanuckistan

Exactly. Obama’s early vote totals in Ohio are significantly down in Ohio, while Republican numbers are notably higher than 4 years ago. Romney has an excellent chance of winning Ohio. Their own polls show them up by one point and the Republican electorate will be larger than in 2008. Add this to the fact Romney is winning the indy votet by a good margin and common sense tells you who really has more to worry about.


17 posted on 11/05/2012 10:52:13 PM PST by xuberalles ("The Right Stuff" Conservative Novelties http://www.zazzle.com/xuberalles)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: Arthurio
Even John McCain won the Election Day vote by 75,000. Mitt will do much better than that.

1) Obama was not an incumbant then.

2) There are a lot more government workers now who will vote for Obama.

3) There are a lot more people riding the wagon now than there was 4 years ago. Just look at the food stamp/ disability data now compared to 4 years ago.

18 posted on 11/05/2012 10:52:52 PM PST by tsowellfan (KEEP WORKING like we are 10 POINTS DOWN!!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: cicero2k

Democrats also go for the early vote....nothing new. The real solace is in comparing it to the 2008 numbers. Much different. People just need to get out and vote and the rest will take care of itself!


19 posted on 11/05/2012 10:54:17 PM PST by xuberalles ("The Right Stuff" Conservative Novelties http://www.zazzle.com/xuberalles)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: Steelfish

All I can say is “Come on WI and IA!”.


20 posted on 11/05/2012 10:55:35 PM PST by CatOwner
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-6061-8081-82 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson