Kaslin ? have you seen the latest Drudge Report about a Russian Nuclear Attack Sub was detected 200 miles of the East coast of the USA ?
Hey Rush... I heard you ask this today. Let me answer you with one of your own famous quotes. “It doesn’t fit their template” for the election.
LLS
Rush, 'tis irrelevant...
ALL - #1...I believe, to the Obama campaign right now, they've already inwardly ceded the popular vote...but are forging their firewall to take Wisconsin, Iowa, Illinois and Michigan in the Northern Midwest...and then, jumping Indiana, Ohio & PA toward the East...
So, they think they can get 47-48% of the popular vote & still win the electoral vote count...
#2: Why Is Nobody Calculating 2010? And to quote Rush: In 2010, the electorate turned out to reject Barack Obama, and nothing has changed except it's gotten worse -- which, to me, 2010 is a far-more-relevant turnout model and election model than 2008 is...
Again, Rush, not relevant...
34% of the 2010 vote were Evangelicals...that's not 34% of the GoP vote...that was 34% of the ENTIRE ELECTORATE!
Now do you think the GoP-establishment appreciated that by securing a candidate the Evangelicals could rally behind in 2012? (Not on your life, unless you think a socialist healthcare pioneer, pro-abort, idolatrist 'god-in-embryo' qualifies)
It is true that among SOME Evangelical leaders & local pastors, they've been able to glean enough excitement to make some swing states close. But will that be enough?
At this point, I'm thinkin' all roads lead thru Ohio...If Romney didn't get the Ohio Evangelicals to rally enough, then I don't think he's going to pull it off...I think it'll all come down to Ohio...and I think it'll be razor-thin there...either way...
Yeah, I know Michael Barone and Dick Morris are forecasting 330 electoral votes for Romney...I know Newt Gingrich is saying 300+ electoral votes for Romney...
I know Karl Rove is saying a narrow Romney victory...
But even some talk-show hosts like Michael Medved today was starting to show his uncertainty...
The Democratic machinery could have enough in place to pull out a given swing state...(especially as you size up normal Dem-party chicago-like chicanery)
And conversely, the Evangelical excitement just isn't there this year...Evangelicals will NOT repeat its 34% of the electorate performance of 2010...Not even close...
The GoP-e just didn't think Evangelicals were an important piece of the 2012 puzzle...Even bringing Billy Graham on board was a late after-thought...
Signed...An Evangelical...
Apples and oranges ... Obama’s base coalition consisting of minorities and younger voters didn’t really have a stake in the midterms .
This time around the minorities are out in full force and the younger voters, to a much lesser extent.
The younger voters did most of the leg work in ‘08, so this election will reflect their abscence or engagement.
The reasons that no one is calculating 2010 in this election is that Democrats just stuck their heads in the sand during that shellacking and PRETENDED that it did not happen. So, they think that if they keep on pretending, that it will not affect 2012. - Republicans, on the other hand, aren’t figuring 2010 in because it would tend to almost seem overly optimistic and might suppress otherwise enthusiastic voting for R/R. - With the advent of the unruly “Occupy” crowd and Obama’s attempts to blur it with the Tea Party demonstrations, a lot of Tea Party people just went underground. I think we knew Obama and company was about to sabotage us with “fake” incidents at Tea Party rallies; and we didn’t have to meet and wave American flags to KNOW what we were going to do - and it was NOT to vote for Obama’s re-election.
Silent Tea Party Twinkie