[SoftwareEngineer]

Goldstategop,

Basically at a 95% R voting for Gov Romney, for every 1 point you take away from D turnout, add 1 to Gov Romney

So, in my commentary above, I said it was R:52 O:46 if it was D+2

So if you went to R+1, you would add three points to the Governor and remove three from the President:

So: R: 55 O:43

[goldstategop]

SE,

That’s exactly what MO seems to indicate 55-43.

If Gallup is right, its gonna be a blowout and people will be asking for years to come how the media and the pollsters got it so wrong.

Every one is playing this safe. But it looks more like 2010 than 2008.