Posted on 11/04/2012 11:56:33 PM PST by Arthurio
Dick Morris appeared on a special Sunday broadcast of FOX News' "On the Record" with host Greta van Susteren to reaffirm his prediction that Mitt Romney will win Tuesday's presidential election in a landslide. Morris discussed the states he believes Romney will win and the number of electoral votes he predicts the Republican candidate will end up with.
Morris says Romney will capture 325 electoral votes while Obama will get 213, a significant difference.
"It will be the biggest surprise in recent American political history," Morris said. "It will rekindle the whole question on why the media played this race as a nailbiter where in fact Romney’s going to win by quite a bit."
Morris tells van Susteren pollsters are oversampling Democrats and says a poll that claims Obama is up 3, really means Romney is winning by 4.
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
I knew I couldn't be the only one who caught that.
Bookies look to balance the bets on either side of the proposition. The bookies don’t care who wins just so long as the bets for either side balances. They adjust the bets to match the action. In this sort of situation when there isn’t a point spread they adjust the odds to protect their profit.
Newt is also seeing Romney with 300+ EV’s.
Oh, please... Let this be Dick Morris’ turn to be right!
He’s simply taking the acquired data and adjusting it to reflect the turnout model that he feels will be accurate in this voting cycle.
If you believe 11% more dems than repubs will be voting this November 6th when in ‘08 which was a record turnout for the dems they managed +8%, then take the pew poll at face value and Obama wins by 3% national margin. Ain’t gonna happen, and many ‘08 Obama supporters will cross over or not even bother to vote.
Tuesday is national Obama Repudiation Day...
Amen!
Pegita, thank you very much!
Bookies make their money off the handle. They get vig no matter who wins and could bascially care less unless thye have made the odds so onesided that they have no wagers on one side or the other. In that case they eat their mistake less the vig for the money wagered.
That is exactly what I keep saying. But, not only this election but every election. Every important election. It seems nearly impossible in my mind that this is always the case. How can that be? It just can’t.
Yes, and happily so...
I agree, lets see where this plays out. I will be very happy to see R&R win.
I called Obama in the primaries in 2008 and Obama in the general election in 2008.
Many Republicans hated McCain and refused to vote or work for him—he had stabbed them in the back too many times.
I never had a “bunker mentality” in 2008. I knew “the stupid party” would lose in 2008 and needed to rebuild and get a lot smarter in 2010 and 2012.
Mission almost accomplished.
I KNEW IT!!! I KNEW IT WAS TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE THAT obummer WOULD BE A ONE TERMER!!
I FEEL WORSE THAN I DID WHEN HE GOT ELECTED IN ‘08!!!
AAAARRRGHHH!!
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