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Posted on 11/04/2012 8:51:01 PM PST by trappedincanuckistan
The latest CNN national poll of likely voters, which shows a 49%-49% tie between Republican challenger Mitt Romney and incumbent President Barack Obama, is either absurd, or very good news for the GOP--or both.
Romney has gained 3 points since the last time CNN ran its poll, in late September, when Obama led 50%-47%. That is good news for the Republican ticket, especially since the poll was conducted after Hurricane Sandy.
Yet there is something odd--and even ridiculous--in the poll's sample: of the 693 likely voters in the total sample of 1,010 adults polled, "41% described themselves as Democrats, 29% described themselves as Independents, and 30% described themselves as Republicans."
In other words, the poll is a D+11 outlier. It presents a picture of an electorate that is far more pro-Obama than it was in the historic 2008 election. That is extremely unlikely.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
“For all the bedwetters :)”
Describes most reporters at CNN.
I’m going to go back to Breitbart tomorrow morning. Seems like a couple of trolls have been hitting up their boards saying Obama is a shoe in because of over sampled Dem polls, Nate Silver, and Intrade. It’s going to be real interesting to see if they show up on that thread.
I used to post there, but I’ve forgotten my p/w.
CNN had the exact poll results for the Walker recall blow out !
How sadly awful their push poll group is .
I don’t think much has changed since 2010 when there was a massive shift to the GOP in the midterms.
My conservative estimate is a five percent margin of victory for Romney (52-47) with 300-325 electoral votes.
CNN D +11 Poll
Boy, the polls over the last 72 hours have been back and forth like a belly dancer’s hips.
What is the deal with these? Are they getting their data from people in the state hospitals?
I would assume that some of the fluctation was due to a small Sandy bounce Obama got that is now evaporating.
I have a few ideas....
To create news
To keep from disheartening Democrats which would lead to huge losses downticket
To begin delegitimizing Romney right away
to try one last desperate attempt to depress the republican vote.
watch what happens tommarow . The pollsters will all start playing square so they don’t look stupid.
There is also a little bit of western vote protection going on. They are terrified of Romney’s coat tails sweeping some unsuspecting republicans into office in places nobody is looking. (nevada and Cali).
Latest CNN/MSNBC Poll: shows a close race with D+60 sample.........don’t they know that people look at the sample numbers? The polls can never accurately predict voter turnout and we all know that is what wins or loses elections. I am hoping and praying for another “Chick-fil-a’ turnout day that sends Mitt to the White House with a MANDATE!
I grabbed a six pack for Tuesday. Planning on watching CNN MSNBC all night.
sleep for me will ya?...because this stuff is making me crazy...
More crap.
BTW, I will stop pinging the Poll ping list on Wednesday.
I know it has been busy.
These heavily skewed polls are necessary to create the plausibility needed to cover massive voter fraud.
I saw on another thread that Pat Cadell reported on FOX that he sees movement towards Romney in the internals of various polls. Did anyone else see that and if so, can you confirm? I trust Cadell to read poll entrails as well as anyone.
As for this CNN poll, the D+11 seems absurd but Romney leading indies by 22 likewise seems too good to be true. The top line is consistent with many other polls. Many polling outfits can’t be trusted - PPP and Marist for example - but I sure would like to see Romney leading in one. maybe Gallup tomorrow.
Good news indeed. This means that the independents are breaking big for Romney
In the poll were 50 D and 50 R Romney would win by about 3. Obama is not as popular as he was even among Democrats.
When the polls try to present such a liberal/Democrat bias, I feel really good about the outcome!
There is your bottom line number the media isn’t bothering to mention - no wait - two bottom line numbers:
Romney will win 60% of the white vote.
He will win two thirds of the Indies.
And undecided voters will break two to one for him.
Obama can’t win in the face the kind of strength Romney is displaying. Its over.
“For all the bedwetters :)”
Describes most reporters at CNN.
Chris Matthews. (lol)
“I grabbed a six pack for Tuesday. Planning on watching CNN MSNBC all night.”
An amusing game to play Tuesday night would be to drink every time a CNN, NBC, ABC, CBS anchor utters the word “unexpected.”
Cheers! :-)
Got to thank you and LS and Perdogg and Ravi and all the rest who have been on top of the campaign developments....
It’s SO good to be a Freeper....
Thank you so much for researching and posting all these poll pings. You’ve done a great job, and it’s much appreciated.
“OK, so what were the results of the poll?”
“Romney up by 12.”
“Well, what would it take to make it a tie?”
“Oversample democrats by 11 should do it.”
“Do it. That’s the only way to make ‘the base’ show up to vote at all.”
If I drink everytime an MSM anchor or analyst uses the word unexpected my 6 pack will have a short life. RIP 6 pack.
I saw movement in the internals of some polls today. I can’t recall exactly which. Maybe someone else can comment. I saw independents starting to move back towards Romney as Obama’s Sandy bump started to fade. Anyone else see this movement?
I’m not concerned about the topline of any poll. It is dependent on the internals. As long as these polls continue to oversample Democrats ridiculously and the topline shows a close race I feel good.
Yup .. but when the joke’s no joke > grrrrrrr
D +11 is predicting the electorate is 160% of what it was in 2008 (an historic year for turnout advantage).
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