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Romney Gains 3 to Tie Obama in CNN D +11 Poll
Big Government ^ | November 4, 2012 | Joel B. Pollack

Posted on 11/04/2012 8:51:01 PM PST by trappedincanuckistan

The latest CNN national poll of likely voters, which shows a 49%-49% tie between Republican challenger Mitt Romney and incumbent President Barack Obama, is either absurd, or very good news for the GOP--or both.

Romney has gained 3 points since the last time CNN ran its poll, in late September, when Obama led 50%-47%. That is good news for the Republican ticket, especially since the poll was conducted after Hurricane Sandy.

Yet there is something odd--and even ridiculous--in the poll's sample: of the 693 likely voters in the total sample of 1,010 adults polled, "41% described themselves as Democrats, 29% described themselves as Independents, and 30% described themselves as Republicans."

In other words, the poll is a D+11 outlier. It presents a picture of an electorate that is far more pro-Obama than it was in the historic 2008 election. That is extremely unlikely.

(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; polls
For all the bedwetters :)
1 posted on 11/04/2012 8:51:04 PM PST by trappedincanuckistan
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To: trappedincanuckistan

“For all the bedwetters :)”

Describes most reporters at CNN.


2 posted on 11/04/2012 8:57:30 PM PST by Huskrrrr
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To: All


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3 posted on 11/04/2012 8:58:09 PM PST by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: trappedincanuckistan
Yea, I saw this earlier. This poll, along with Michael Barone & George Will, will let me sleep tonight.
4 posted on 11/04/2012 9:01:09 PM PST by outofstyle (Down All the Days)
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To: trappedincanuckistan

I’m going to go back to Breitbart tomorrow morning. Seems like a couple of trolls have been hitting up their boards saying Obama is a shoe in because of over sampled Dem polls, Nate Silver, and Intrade. It’s going to be real interesting to see if they show up on that thread.


5 posted on 11/04/2012 9:03:31 PM PST by erod (I'm a Chicagoan till Chicago ends...)
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To: erod

I used to post there, but I’ve forgotten my p/w.


6 posted on 11/04/2012 9:05:32 PM PST by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: trappedincanuckistan

CNN had the exact poll results for the Walker recall blow out !
How sadly awful their push poll group is .


7 posted on 11/04/2012 9:09:50 PM PST by ncalburt (Axelrod Psych OPS has gone to 24/7 non stop - "The election is over " status until Nov)
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To: outofstyle

I don’t think much has changed since 2010 when there was a massive shift to the GOP in the midterms.

My conservative estimate is a five percent margin of victory for Romney (52-47) with 300-325 electoral votes.


8 posted on 11/04/2012 9:18:47 PM PST by Nextrush (PRESIDENT SARAH PALIN IS MY DREAM)
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To: trappedincanuckistan

                              


CNN D +11 Poll

9 posted on 11/04/2012 9:21:37 PM PST by tomkat ( PAlabama '12 = RR = 300 +)
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To: trappedincanuckistan

Boy, the polls over the last 72 hours have been back and forth like a belly dancer’s hips.

What is the deal with these? Are they getting their data from people in the state hospitals?


10 posted on 11/04/2012 9:27:47 PM PST by lurk
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To: lurk

I would assume that some of the fluctation was due to a small Sandy bounce Obama got that is now evaporating.


11 posted on 11/04/2012 9:32:11 PM PST by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: trappedincanuckistan
What makes you wonder is why even bother having a poll this ridiculous?
12 posted on 11/04/2012 9:35:14 PM PST by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: fortheDeclaration

I have a few ideas....

To create news

To keep from disheartening Democrats which would lead to huge losses downticket

To begin delegitimizing Romney right away


13 posted on 11/04/2012 9:40:14 PM PST by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: trappedincanuckistan

to try one last desperate attempt to depress the republican vote.

watch what happens tommarow . The pollsters will all start playing square so they don’t look stupid.

There is also a little bit of western vote protection going on. They are terrified of Romney’s coat tails sweeping some unsuspecting republicans into office in places nobody is looking. (nevada and Cali).


14 posted on 11/04/2012 9:49:19 PM PST by ping jockey (Maybe we aren't going down the crapper after all.)
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To: trappedincanuckistan

Latest CNN/MSNBC Poll: shows a close race with D+60 sample.........don’t they know that people look at the sample numbers? The polls can never accurately predict voter turnout and we all know that is what wins or loses elections. I am hoping and praying for another “Chick-fil-a’ turnout day that sends Mitt to the White House with a MANDATE!


15 posted on 11/04/2012 9:58:07 PM PST by 2010Freeper
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To: 2010Freeper

I grabbed a six pack for Tuesday. Planning on watching CNN MSNBC all night.


16 posted on 11/04/2012 10:01:08 PM PST by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: outofstyle

sleep for me will ya?...because this stuff is making me crazy...


17 posted on 11/04/2012 10:02:42 PM PST by cherry
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To: trappedincanuckistan; SeekAndFind; LS; Perdogg; napscoordinator; God luvs America; nutmeg; ...

More crap.

BTW, I will stop pinging the Poll ping list on Wednesday.

I know it has been busy.


18 posted on 11/04/2012 10:03:56 PM PST by Jet Jaguar (The pundits have forgotten the 2010 elections.)
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To: trappedincanuckistan

These heavily skewed polls are necessary to create the plausibility needed to cover massive voter fraud.


19 posted on 11/04/2012 10:11:21 PM PST by null and void (Day 1384 of the Obama hostage crisis - Barack Hussein Obama an enemy BOTH foreign AND domestic)
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To: trappedincanuckistan

I saw on another thread that Pat Cadell reported on FOX that he sees movement towards Romney in the internals of various polls. Did anyone else see that and if so, can you confirm? I trust Cadell to read poll entrails as well as anyone.

As for this CNN poll, the D+11 seems absurd but Romney leading indies by 22 likewise seems too good to be true. The top line is consistent with many other polls. Many polling outfits can’t be trusted - PPP and Marist for example - but I sure would like to see Romney leading in one. maybe Gallup tomorrow.


20 posted on 11/04/2012 11:11:41 PM PST by Uncle Augie
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To: trappedincanuckistan
In other words, the poll is a D+11 outlier. It presents a picture of an electorate that is far more pro-Obama than it was in the historic 2008 election. That is extremely unlikely.

Good news indeed. This means that the independents are breaking big for Romney

21 posted on 11/04/2012 11:17:14 PM PST by Mike Darancette (Obama didn't fix it!)
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To: Uncle Augie
As for this CNN poll, the D+11 seems absurd but Romney leading indies by 22 likewise seems too good to be true.

In the poll were 50 D and 50 R Romney would win by about 3. Obama is not as popular as he was even among Democrats.

22 posted on 11/04/2012 11:23:36 PM PST by Mike Darancette (Obama didn't fix it!)
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To: trappedincanuckistan

When the polls try to present such a liberal/Democrat bias, I feel really good about the outcome!


23 posted on 11/05/2012 12:30:24 AM PST by Deagle (quo)
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To: Mike Darancette

There is your bottom line number the media isn’t bothering to mention - no wait - two bottom line numbers:

Romney will win 60% of the white vote.

He will win two thirds of the Indies.

And undecided voters will break two to one for him.

Obama can’t win in the face the kind of strength Romney is displaying. Its over.


24 posted on 11/05/2012 1:32:31 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Huskrrrr

“For all the bedwetters :)”

Describes most reporters at CNN.

Chris Matthews. (lol)


25 posted on 11/05/2012 5:01:25 AM PST by MNGal
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To: trappedincanuckistan

“I grabbed a six pack for Tuesday. Planning on watching CNN MSNBC all night.”

An amusing game to play Tuesday night would be to drink every time a CNN, NBC, ABC, CBS anchor utters the word “unexpected.”

Cheers! :-)


26 posted on 11/05/2012 5:05:29 AM PST by MNGal
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To: Jet Jaguar

Got to thank you and LS and Perdogg and Ravi and all the rest who have been on top of the campaign developments....
It’s SO good to be a Freeper....


27 posted on 11/05/2012 5:14:42 AM PST by matginzac
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To: Jet Jaguar

Thank you so much for researching and posting all these poll pings. You’ve done a great job, and it’s much appreciated.


28 posted on 11/05/2012 6:21:36 AM PST by TheOldLady
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To: tomkat

“OK, so what were the results of the poll?”
“Romney up by 12.”
“Well, what would it take to make it a tie?”
“Oversample democrats by 11 should do it.”
“Do it. That’s the only way to make ‘the base’ show up to vote at all.”


29 posted on 11/05/2012 6:29:00 AM PST by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: MNGal

If I drink everytime an MSM anchor or analyst uses the word unexpected my 6 pack will have a short life. RIP 6 pack.


30 posted on 11/05/2012 7:57:52 AM PST by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: Uncle Augie

I saw movement in the internals of some polls today. I can’t recall exactly which. Maybe someone else can comment. I saw independents starting to move back towards Romney as Obama’s Sandy bump started to fade. Anyone else see this movement?


31 posted on 11/05/2012 8:03:56 AM PST by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: Uncle Augie

I’m not concerned about the topline of any poll. It is dependent on the internals. As long as these polls continue to oversample Democrats ridiculously and the topline shows a close race I feel good.


32 posted on 11/05/2012 8:07:15 AM PST by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: MrB

Yup .. but when the joke’s no joke > grrrrrrr


33 posted on 11/05/2012 8:08:21 AM PST by tomkat ( PAlabama '12 = RR = 300 +)
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To: Mike Darancette

D +11 is predicting the electorate is 160% of what it was in 2008 (an historic year for turnout advantage).


34 posted on 11/05/2012 8:10:41 AM PST by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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